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Belmont 10/6/17
West Australian Racing
Gray
4,090 posts
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hash, RIO, RightOakAunt likes this post.
Race 1, Art Series $2 double your money for the day.
Race 2 Elegant Blast $5 Best each way of the day.
Race 7 Bergio $3.60 Been screaming out for this trip, Pike stays on. BEST
Race 8 Danefin $18 right barrier, right jock, great price. Trip is the only ???
hash, Darrbs, Jell likes this post.
hash likes this post.
It's ok don't get precious on me lol lol
hash likes this post.
Greg’s Saturday Belmont Preview
Greg Hooper’s Preview
RACE 1
It is hard to go past the talented filly ART SERIES who looking to make it four straight wins this campaign. She beat many of these comfortably last start and she has again drawn to get the run of the race. RUBIA MISS can lead and give a sight again. LOB CITY will again finish strongly. THE SHOE showed ability in his first preparation and has trialled well.
Numbers – 3 – 4 – 5 – 2
Suggested Bet – ART SERIES WIN
RACE 2
ELEGANT BLAST hasn’t been seen for five week where she finished a fast closing second to the smart Reveille. It has been 12 months since she last tasted success however both her career wins have come at this venue. Expecting her to find the line strongly and give this a big shake. LE PATRON has been knocking on the door all preparation. With some expected tempo on she will get her chance. The Simon Miller pair of BLACKLINE and KIMBO’S GIRL will plant on the speed and give this a shake.
Numbers – 7 – 3 – 8 – 10
Suggested Bet – ELEGANT BLAST WIN
RACE 3
DAINTY TESS produced a stunning last to first win at her most recent start. She takes on the older horses however get some significant weight relief. Think she measures up and takes a stack of beating. GIGANTE ran well in the Roma Cup. This is a big class drop. WOOLIBAR came from the clouds at his most outing. He can win again if he reproduce that effort. AGARCHAR CRUZ races right on the speed and is a track specialist.
Numbers – 4 – 1 -5 – 3
Suggested Bet – DAINTY TESS WIN
RACE 4
MINUS LOOKS appreciated the drop in distance and also the return to Belmont at his most recent start producing a very soft win. Expect he will go forward from his wide draw and if he can get outside the leader and control the tempo he is the one to beat again. TOP OF THE CLASS raced a bit flat last start. The winkers coming off and the wide draw are positives. COOL KNIGHT improved sharply second-up and Pike goes on. GANGBUSTER raced competitively in the best 3yo races of the Autumn.
Numbers – 2 – 5 – 6 – 1
Suggested Bet – MINUS LOOKS WIN
RACE 5
MAJINIKA seems to race best off these type of freshen-ups. He is drawn to lead and from there will give a big sight. METEROID didn’t see out a strongly run 1400m last week. She improves sharply with the drop back to 1200m. PROFIT STREET is racing well and usually goes super for Pike. UPTOWN FUNK ran well first-up and is drawn to get the run of the race.
Suggested – 5 – 6 – 4 – 10
Suggested Bet – MAJINIKA AND METEROID
RACE 6
JETOOMY was eye-catcher first-up. The 1400m suits and this is a track in which he has tasted success previously. MANTIME has been game in both runs this preparation working hard on the speed and getting bloused late. From gate 1 think he’ll move into a stalking role. WESTERN TEMPLE trialled well and should be ready for this assignment. HELM’S GATE races best for Glenn Smith and has claims.
Numbers – 11 – 12 – 7 – 2
Suggested Bet – JETOOMY AND MANTIME
RACE 7
ENTRECHAT is flying. She produced a career best win last start and looks the one to beat despite the rise in weight. BERGIO is a very honest type who should get a nice run for Pike. ROSEWOOD HILL and CAPPO D’ORO both have claims on their best form.
Numbers – 2 – 3 – 4 – 5
Suggested Bet – ENTRECHAT AND BERGIO
RACE 8
Wide open finish to the program. ASTRONOMITE isn’t the easiest horse for punters to catch however he is drawn to get the perfect run and gets his chance. MIKI TWO TOES was game in defeat last start after facing the breeze. He is a much better horse when ridden with cover. TONKATUFF is flying and just needs some luck the draw. MAGIC ROCKET gets in with 51kg and is suited with the drop back in trip.
Numbers – 2 – 1 – 4 – 12
Suggested Bet – ASTRONOMITE AND MIKI TWO TOES.
Race 3 Delicate Miss - Very consistent of late running nice races behind Caiparinha and Mr Motown, gets in here with only 51kg. Can give a great sight out in front and should get there from 7. Each way value around $8
Race 7 Entrechat - another consistent one winning last two in great fashion. F Bell gets the boot and Jerry Noske takes over, so no claim, but is a plus for mine. Hopefully gets some nice cover from 10 and can win again at $8.
Race 8 Magic Rocket - was ridden a bit close last start, second up over ground which was maybe found out at the end. First up at 1600 hit the line well and back to the mile and a bit certainly suits, with the claim and last race specialist FW Kersely only carries 51kg. Each way value at $23+ ..
Best of luck
hash likes this post.
feeding time, nappy change, bomber? :((
funny day tomorrow, I have a few roughies that i'll have a small e/w bet on.
will reveal tomorrow morning....
H-BOMBER, hash likes this post.
Best - Minus Looks
Value - Sigley pair in race 6
R8 Danefin 1x3
Who leads the field? (Salorski too take a sit to see if he can get 1400m) Where do you think Minus Looks will end up in running? Up 2kg,extra 100m and wide gate.Would not want a gutbuster before Guineas.
Very difficult race.
Jetomy and the magic filly best for me
hash likes this post.
Who leads the field? (Salorski too take a sit to see if he can get 1400m) Where do you think Minus Looks will end up in running? Up 2kg,extra
I think our horse will run a great race as well,especially at the odds
Sticks, hash, thefalcon likes this post.
but in one model it's got about a 4% chance and in the other >0 so in those terms it's not so much.
for instance in r3 blackline has a bigger variance than that.
the reason will be that each model has different factors and/or different weightings.
that said i could not even tell you offhand what factors are in either model.
i am only putting them up so that you or whoever can look at them, but i doubt they are much good presently.
for example i can't understand why salorsci is on top in both models, especially after reading the trainer comments after its last run.
but who knows more?
me or the computer??
stuffed if know.
these days maybe neither have a clue!!
guess pike is about $1.05 in the challenge..... 8-X
be in all arvo so will have a few small e/w's.
its it, one short, flytego, travelling (well in with the claim), rosewood hill/street bandit (ruffie of the day), politics (second ruffie).
will I take a multi???
=)) =))jum likes this post.