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Royal Randwick 18/4/2018 Cup Day - Oaks - Queen Elizabeth - Coolmore.
East Coast Racing
Ridersonthestorm33
10,809 posts
Another humdinger of a day coming up Saturday at Randwick with four Group One races. The previous Saturday 10 races and winning favourites were nowhere to be seen. How many races will it take to a favourite salutes ? With some wide open races perhaps no outright favourite until the Q.E. where Winx is an early $1.20 fave.
The Sydney Cup a twenty horse field and 2016 Melbourne Cup winner Almandin a clear cut favourite. An interesting runner the Japanese horse Pre Stwick to be ridden by Joao Moreira at odds of approx $12 - $14.
Two at a bit of value in the Oaks might be Kiwi horses Countess Vanessa and Danzadance both around $17 to be ridden by Craig Williams and Michael Walker respectively. Last Saturday Williams had some good rides and failed to run a place on all of them - long odds of that happening two weeks in a row.
The Sydney Cup a twenty horse field and 2016 Melbourne Cup winner Almandin a clear cut favourite. An interesting runner the Japanese horse Pre Stwick to be ridden by Joao Moreira at odds of approx $12 - $14.
Two at a bit of value in the Oaks might be Kiwi horses Countess Vanessa and Danzadance both around $17 to be ridden by Craig Williams and Michael Walker respectively. Last Saturday Williams had some good rides and failed to run a place on all of them - long odds of that happening two weeks in a row.
+1 -1
Thunderstruck, spinking likes this post.
Comments
First disappointment for me Luvaluva drawing 13 in the Oaks..not a tragedy but may end up back a bit further than i'd like.Dejavu moment with Shinn panicking off a similar draw at Flemington last November.Have to hope Mcevoy (who allegedly is in the top few hoops in Aus)rides her 11/10.
I think Savvy Coup is a big danger, she is starting for the first time in 4 weeks with connections electing not to race Luvaluva last week, but these kiwi trainers are astute so this is not of much concern.Drawn well and won the NZ equivalent last start this girl is flying..her last 4 runs have all been rippers(even the two 3rd placings at 1600).
Ridersonthestorm33 likes this post.
Now in saying that was thinking about risking both in the Coolmore. What a tough race to select the winner.
therealkramer likes this post.
You declaring it? I'm a knock on it although not as much now given Luvaluva's sticky draw.
Hughie will be shitting himself worried about the ride 40 mins later in which Winx has drawn the outside marble but only a field of 10 starting.Also a hardish/fast track seems likely again.
Couple of racing journos have speculated this might be her last race...
Can Happy run 2nd TRK? i think he is inferior at 2000m in top company Gailo might be hard to get past and Humidor what will this enigma do?
Race 6. #1.Aloisa,2.Hiyaam,4.Savvy Coup,5.Luvaluva,7.Contessa Vanessa,8.Danzdanzdance.
Race 7. #9.Winx.
Race 8. #2.Who Shot The Barman,4.Ventura Storm,6.Pre Stwick,8.Auvray,9.Lord Fandango,10,Aloft,13.Sir Charles Road,17.Patrick Erin,18.Peribsen,20.Ormito.
Race 9. #2.Foxplay,4.Prompt Respone,5.Silent Sedition,7.Spanish Reef,9.Oregons Day17.Alzee.
As soon as Unforgotten wins or Almandin, it's out in straight sets! Or Winx loses :-S
6 x 1 x 10 x 6 = $36 - 10%.
Thunderstruck likes this post.
It's still a good Quaddie but think the only way to get some value once Winx wins the first leg is either take Almandin one out or don't take him at all. It's becomes just a Daily Double if you can get Winx and Almandin home.
Don't know with Almandin..risk or no risk :-?
And Bowman will probably ride the Oaks fav better than Mcevoy did in the Vinery..horse still has to prove herself at the trip though..
I love Daysee too!! @Wedge however the awful gate means she may have to be used up a bit to go forward and 1600 is as far as she wants it.Might get double figure odds though and she will be in it for a long way!!
wedge likes this post.
Thunderstruck likes this post.
Lord Fandango ran a great race in the Caulfield Cup, probably should have finished closer and has Craig Williams on board - he's due!
Nevershowsurprise likes this post.
Two think are chances to figure in the top three are the underrated Payroll for Damian Oliver and a horse that was a great run in the Caulfield Cup finishing close up and that's Abbey Marie for Damian Lane.
They could be 20/1 or better - what an amazing race when horses of that sort of calibre are those odds.
Craig Williams $3 to ride one winner or more. Joao Moreira $2.50 one winner or more and Hugh Bowman $11 to ride four winners or more.
$1.40 for either Williams or Moreira get one or more home.
Moreira wont ride any not sure about Williams.
Mcevoy could ride at least a couple take out Winx and his book is almost on par with Hughie's imo.I like off the top of my head up to 3 of his rides..Fiesta r3, Luvaluva in the Oaks and Ravi in the last.
Thunderstruck likes this post.
A punter in NSW up for $1million in a tipping competition if Dixie Blossom can take out the Coolmore. Good luck to him.
Ridersonthestorm33 likes this post.
So just reversing the $1.40 bet that either Williams or Moreira ride at least one winner between them, that would equate to about $2.90 that neither will greet the judge in first place.
Gots lots of tips...and umm 13 black bookers today holy hell.. :-B
Couple earlier at Randwick see how the track plays..
R3 Fiesta
R4 Plaisir at juicy ew odds huge run(so was the winner)at Hawkesbury was juicu odds that day too.
Star Fall..Benny Thompson steers and is in good form atm.
2.5 is short enough the fav...
If he gets rolled $8,190 going on the next all from $1.