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GP 17/08/18
Harness & Greyhounds
Gilgamesh
4,719 posts
When you are relying on Kasey Kahne for a collect you know you are either doing it tough or nailing everything, definitely was the former last week.
R1: Tip: No1 Simba Bromac. Bet: FF:1/10/2,3,5/2,3,5,8,9. 100% costs $12. EQ:1
No rocket scientest coming up with these numbers. Leader, leaders back, one of the 2,3 will be 3 back and some other numbers. Prefer Arthur Lowe to Robert The Bruce. Danger to my FF is Lewis holding back which would let the other Turvey runners swoop on the placings out wide.
R2: No1 Raffaello. Bet: Small each way No1 Raffaello. EQ: 1,2,7,8,10.
I've liked how Raffaello was going prior to his last run, was nearly a great drive but couldn't quite squeeze in. I'm going to forgive it that run. It will either be leading or behind Whenmechief. Soft lead would be fantastic. A chance these 2 could over do it so that brings Livura into it first up and you can't knock The Freedom Fighters form but I do think this is a touch harder. Soho Wonder will get a run you can't ignore. Want to see Overboard Again finish a race off before I can have him.
R3: Tip: No7 Vampiro. Bet: Vampiro mid tote plc multi. FF:1,7/1,2,3,7/1,2,3,7,8/1,2,3,4,7,8. 100% costs $54. EQ: 1,7.
Johnny Disco gets an easy lead and can run a bloody quick mile but I thought Vampiro would get up outside him just as easily and might ultimately outstay him. I really like the 2 and 3 horses sitting just behind them. I actually think its going to be very hard for EL Jacko to even get into 3rd but small races with multiple from one stable are always hard to read.
R4: Tip: No12 Amelias Courage. Bet: Maybe something small EW Dontstopbelievin. EQ: 2,3,7,9,12. 100% costs $50.
Detroit Lilly is the class but she is a bit of an assassin and I don't think it's going to work out for her. Likely speed battle between Dontstopbelievin and Jingle Jolt. I thought Hawkins was likely to hold the top so I'll probably play her EW, either horse leading will run well. Tipping Amelias Courage as I think sat up is her go and the 2,3 may set it up for her but just expecting the 2 as a leader around GP with some ability to be decent value.
R5: Tip No1 My Hard Copy. Bet: No1 My Hard Copy fixed win multi. QD:1,2.
My Hard Copy looks the leader and the winner but he can get keen in his races so taking The Bucket List as precaution. That exacta likely to be massively over bet, probably similar in race 1.
R6: Tip: No1 Cracka Star. No Bet. QD:1,10,12.
Cracka Star looks to cop no pressure and can real off a very quick quarter under those conditions but it will want those conditions. I don't see Destined To Rule having any trouble holding leaders back this time so it will be very dangerous late and Sahleas Comand can win it if for some reason it us an upside down race.
R7: Tip: Better B Chevron. Bet: No6 Forever Remembered EW. QD: 2,3,6.
I thought Better B Chevron could cross Im Stylish making it hard to beat. I'm hoping they run a super fast lead time though for Forever Remembered who is not going to be too far from them in running. Little bit too fast early and she is in it up to her eyeballs.
R8: Tip No2 Aussie Jet. Bet: No2 Aussie Jet EW but i'd want closer to 10/1 than is currently available. QD: 2,4,5,8. 100% costs $72.
I thought I'd found one here but it looks like i'm not the only one. Aussie Jet has been racing well behind the placings prior to its last run were things didn't work out. It should cross the 1 easily and hopefully shoot for an all the way win. Tajies Girl has flown out her last two and went fantastic Monday, that run could win it here. Whoever leads has to hope not to cop too much pressure from Presidentmach which could happen but he may take up the running also. If they over do it Budd is the swooper.
R9: Tip: No1 Countess Grace. Bet: No1 Countess Grace mid tote win multi.
I was hoping for this one to be a better price but has come up short in the couple of early markets. It looks the leader, its run 2 back was massive (relative to these) and Tues just had a nice pipe opener for this. It looks the leader and the two dangers drawn out wide haven't shown anything that would say they are infinitely ahead of her so she should be winning.
R10: Tip: No1 Clarina.
Look he won his first start at his 20th go and is around a 2.02 horse who to this point has not wanted to go under 29 for a quarter but taking away time and just going by eye he really ran through the line well on Saturday has AC Lewis so that's enough for me. Likely to cop some pressure from the 2 who maybe crosses and the 4. On times you would have to go for No Wow Factor but the name might be apt, he has won 1 from 23 and it was there for the taking for him last start and he didn't. That said if the 2 comes out hard he may just lob straight into the one one again. Fight Song has got me a few times of late, gets a lovely run but he needs to win before he gets me again. Its actually a pretty competitive race if you can look past the ticks they have (or haven't) amassed in the win column.
Good luck all.
R1: Tip: No1 Simba Bromac. Bet: FF:1/10/2,3,5/2,3,5,8,9. 100% costs $12. EQ:1
No rocket scientest coming up with these numbers. Leader, leaders back, one of the 2,3 will be 3 back and some other numbers. Prefer Arthur Lowe to Robert The Bruce. Danger to my FF is Lewis holding back which would let the other Turvey runners swoop on the placings out wide.
R2: No1 Raffaello. Bet: Small each way No1 Raffaello. EQ: 1,2,7,8,10.
I've liked how Raffaello was going prior to his last run, was nearly a great drive but couldn't quite squeeze in. I'm going to forgive it that run. It will either be leading or behind Whenmechief. Soft lead would be fantastic. A chance these 2 could over do it so that brings Livura into it first up and you can't knock The Freedom Fighters form but I do think this is a touch harder. Soho Wonder will get a run you can't ignore. Want to see Overboard Again finish a race off before I can have him.
R3: Tip: No7 Vampiro. Bet: Vampiro mid tote plc multi. FF:1,7/1,2,3,7/1,2,3,7,8/1,2,3,4,7,8. 100% costs $54. EQ: 1,7.
Johnny Disco gets an easy lead and can run a bloody quick mile but I thought Vampiro would get up outside him just as easily and might ultimately outstay him. I really like the 2 and 3 horses sitting just behind them. I actually think its going to be very hard for EL Jacko to even get into 3rd but small races with multiple from one stable are always hard to read.
R4: Tip: No12 Amelias Courage. Bet: Maybe something small EW Dontstopbelievin. EQ: 2,3,7,9,12. 100% costs $50.
Detroit Lilly is the class but she is a bit of an assassin and I don't think it's going to work out for her. Likely speed battle between Dontstopbelievin and Jingle Jolt. I thought Hawkins was likely to hold the top so I'll probably play her EW, either horse leading will run well. Tipping Amelias Courage as I think sat up is her go and the 2,3 may set it up for her but just expecting the 2 as a leader around GP with some ability to be decent value.
R5: Tip No1 My Hard Copy. Bet: No1 My Hard Copy fixed win multi. QD:1,2.
My Hard Copy looks the leader and the winner but he can get keen in his races so taking The Bucket List as precaution. That exacta likely to be massively over bet, probably similar in race 1.
R6: Tip: No1 Cracka Star. No Bet. QD:1,10,12.
Cracka Star looks to cop no pressure and can real off a very quick quarter under those conditions but it will want those conditions. I don't see Destined To Rule having any trouble holding leaders back this time so it will be very dangerous late and Sahleas Comand can win it if for some reason it us an upside down race.
R7: Tip: Better B Chevron. Bet: No6 Forever Remembered EW. QD: 2,3,6.
I thought Better B Chevron could cross Im Stylish making it hard to beat. I'm hoping they run a super fast lead time though for Forever Remembered who is not going to be too far from them in running. Little bit too fast early and she is in it up to her eyeballs.
R8: Tip No2 Aussie Jet. Bet: No2 Aussie Jet EW but i'd want closer to 10/1 than is currently available. QD: 2,4,5,8. 100% costs $72.
I thought I'd found one here but it looks like i'm not the only one. Aussie Jet has been racing well behind the placings prior to its last run were things didn't work out. It should cross the 1 easily and hopefully shoot for an all the way win. Tajies Girl has flown out her last two and went fantastic Monday, that run could win it here. Whoever leads has to hope not to cop too much pressure from Presidentmach which could happen but he may take up the running also. If they over do it Budd is the swooper.
R9: Tip: No1 Countess Grace. Bet: No1 Countess Grace mid tote win multi.
I was hoping for this one to be a better price but has come up short in the couple of early markets. It looks the leader, its run 2 back was massive (relative to these) and Tues just had a nice pipe opener for this. It looks the leader and the two dangers drawn out wide haven't shown anything that would say they are infinitely ahead of her so she should be winning.
R10: Tip: No1 Clarina.
Look he won his first start at his 20th go and is around a 2.02 horse who to this point has not wanted to go under 29 for a quarter but taking away time and just going by eye he really ran through the line well on Saturday has AC Lewis so that's enough for me. Likely to cop some pressure from the 2 who maybe crosses and the 4. On times you would have to go for No Wow Factor but the name might be apt, he has won 1 from 23 and it was there for the taking for him last start and he didn't. That said if the 2 comes out hard he may just lob straight into the one one again. Fight Song has got me a few times of late, gets a lovely run but he needs to win before he gets me again. Its actually a pretty competitive race if you can look past the ticks they have (or haven't) amassed in the win column.
Good luck all.
+1 -1
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Comments
Race 2: Livura - Best Value: Change of Address
Race 3: Johnny Disco - Best Value: Mister Versace
Race 4: Detroit Lily/Jingle Jolt
Race 5: My Hard Copy - Best Value: Devendra
Race 6: I’m Soxy
Race 7: Better B Chevron - Best Value: Lady Luca
Race 8: President Mach
Race 9: Majorpride
Race 10: Devils Courage
I’m not going to say your wrong but of his 15 WA wins 9 have been leading would think your in a minority not rating him as a front runner
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Would have loved to see how courage tells finished if it got a clear run in the straight