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Ascot 31/10/20
West Australian Racing
Train
186 posts
R1- CLAIRVOYANCE looks the simple way to start the day in a small field. Was scratched from last week after having some minor foot issues when bar plates were supposed to go on. No bar plates this week suggests she’s back close to 100% and that would see her put panels on this field. Draws wide so if she is a touch slow she can still muster to be right over the speed and from there will wait for the button to pushed. Looks a lock for multis.
R2- LACEVINSKY has been luckless in his runs almost all prep. Is only a small horse and has been bumped and buffeted expect when fourth behind Ration Aly who would be very short in this field. There is good speed drawn out wide here so expect Carbery to have him just in behind them from an inside draw and that will be ideal for him. Was super consistent in these westspeed races last prep and with even luck should perform similarly this year.
R3- TRULY GREAT is super progressive and looks incredibly hard to beat in a moderate 72+ event. Was entitled to get beat last start when first up and having to out sprint his rivals from last in a slowly run race. The second horse took off and couldn’t beat him and made the form look good with a big run in the Northam cup. Draws inside over the 1800 which is a massive advantage and should be able to use the gate to be at worst three back fence and will just need a touch of luck.
R4- MY FAIR BALENTINE was a very similar run to the favourite here in HEAVEN’S GIFT and there is a big price discrepancy. My Fair Balentine was held up for a long way in the straight but hit the line nicely after getting out first up at 1400. Now gets to 1600 and drops 2kg on last start after the claim of Chris Graham. Barrier nine should allow her to stay away from the fence to help her try and avoid bad luck. Finished off similarly to the favourite but gets a weight swing and is double figures.
R5- TOMMY BLUE resumes in a race that should be run to suit. Has quality form around her from last prep including Cliffs of Comfort and Son of a God and runs here in a 60+ event. Blinkers went on at the back end of her campaign after a flop at 1400 in a small field but expect they will benefit her here at 1000m in a fast run race. She has the speed to sit just off the leaders in this and wait until straightening to make her move.
R6- Best Bet: COMES A TIME backed up his impressive trial with a victory in a fast time first up. Had to absorb pressure on that occasion when breezing with a horse to either side and was still able to find plenty when asked. With Some Sort coming out he should get a much easier time at the head of the field and that should suit on the seven day spin. Drops 1.5kg rising in grade but this isn’t a super strong 66+ event.
R7- FLOWER OF WAR isn’t known as a 1000m horse but was a good run at her first attempt last start. Jumped fast but couldn’t cross Mervyn or Indian Pacific and was forced to sit three deep the entire and never gave up chasing. Now draws directly outside Mervyn so should be able to follow him across and breeze which is a big plus. Picks up weight on most of the horses she faced last start at WFA and gets a head start on them.
R8- RED CAN MAN has been forced to do too much at his last two runs. Wide gates have forced him to work hard early and last start had to do it when they were flying early. Sat outside Money Matters who folded up badly and beat home Dance music who was leaders back but made the form look good after bolting in the Northam cup. Now draws middle of the line in a race without much tempo so expect him to lead and starting rolling through the gears into the bend.
R9- SPILLINOVA is in career best form this preparation and has only gotten better since positive tactics were employed. Was good when sitting back and hitting the line first up and second up but his best runs have always been when leading was a dominant winner in this grade two back when allowed to roll. Last start stretched Inspirational Girl in a 78+ race at his first go at 1400 for the prep. Sticks to 1400, drops back to a 72+ and finds another race he should be able to lead.
R2- LACEVINSKY has been luckless in his runs almost all prep. Is only a small horse and has been bumped and buffeted expect when fourth behind Ration Aly who would be very short in this field. There is good speed drawn out wide here so expect Carbery to have him just in behind them from an inside draw and that will be ideal for him. Was super consistent in these westspeed races last prep and with even luck should perform similarly this year.
R3- TRULY GREAT is super progressive and looks incredibly hard to beat in a moderate 72+ event. Was entitled to get beat last start when first up and having to out sprint his rivals from last in a slowly run race. The second horse took off and couldn’t beat him and made the form look good with a big run in the Northam cup. Draws inside over the 1800 which is a massive advantage and should be able to use the gate to be at worst three back fence and will just need a touch of luck.
R4- MY FAIR BALENTINE was a very similar run to the favourite here in HEAVEN’S GIFT and there is a big price discrepancy. My Fair Balentine was held up for a long way in the straight but hit the line nicely after getting out first up at 1400. Now gets to 1600 and drops 2kg on last start after the claim of Chris Graham. Barrier nine should allow her to stay away from the fence to help her try and avoid bad luck. Finished off similarly to the favourite but gets a weight swing and is double figures.
R5- TOMMY BLUE resumes in a race that should be run to suit. Has quality form around her from last prep including Cliffs of Comfort and Son of a God and runs here in a 60+ event. Blinkers went on at the back end of her campaign after a flop at 1400 in a small field but expect they will benefit her here at 1000m in a fast run race. She has the speed to sit just off the leaders in this and wait until straightening to make her move.
R6- Best Bet: COMES A TIME backed up his impressive trial with a victory in a fast time first up. Had to absorb pressure on that occasion when breezing with a horse to either side and was still able to find plenty when asked. With Some Sort coming out he should get a much easier time at the head of the field and that should suit on the seven day spin. Drops 1.5kg rising in grade but this isn’t a super strong 66+ event.
R7- FLOWER OF WAR isn’t known as a 1000m horse but was a good run at her first attempt last start. Jumped fast but couldn’t cross Mervyn or Indian Pacific and was forced to sit three deep the entire and never gave up chasing. Now draws directly outside Mervyn so should be able to follow him across and breeze which is a big plus. Picks up weight on most of the horses she faced last start at WFA and gets a head start on them.
R8- RED CAN MAN has been forced to do too much at his last two runs. Wide gates have forced him to work hard early and last start had to do it when they were flying early. Sat outside Money Matters who folded up badly and beat home Dance music who was leaders back but made the form look good after bolting in the Northam cup. Now draws middle of the line in a race without much tempo so expect him to lead and starting rolling through the gears into the bend.
R9- SPILLINOVA is in career best form this preparation and has only gotten better since positive tactics were employed. Was good when sitting back and hitting the line first up and second up but his best runs have always been when leading was a dominant winner in this grade two back when allowed to roll. Last start stretched Inspirational Girl in a 78+ race at his first go at 1400 for the prep. Sticks to 1400, drops back to a 72+ and finds another race he should be able to lead.
Comments
Looks logical, loved Comes A Times tenacity in winning last week also and he easily can repeat tomorrow.
The Asian Beau looks a beauty with 3 strong chances I was ready to declare Cup Night then saw the mare is in Inspirational Girl, am a big wrap on her wonder if she is Railway bound? A mile will suit big-time i think.
Anyway i think these two have Red Can Man's measure..just..finding it harder to split the other two though, will take a quinella or box exacta saver and back Cup Night at the better odds.
5 not out of the question. Anything less than a treble would be a disappointment with that book
Thunderstruck, thefalcon likes this post.
99% right this week.
JimmyPop likes this post.
R2-1
R3-2-10
R4-1
R5-9
R6-2-6
R8-5
R9-11
The stewards report last week said:
Race 7. CLAIRVOYANCE – Future nomination
Nothing to do with 95% right. What will it say this week?
Thunderstruck likes this post.
oldhendo likes this post.
the abscess has cleared up. (Just meant that where the issue started).
Just saving her for future nom when she’s 100%, not 99%
oldhendo likes this post.
8-X
Ngawyni likes this post.
engaged on.
Lost all touch & judgement.
As for Cup Night :-?? ...
JimmyPop, oldhendo likes this post.
Al Di La is non competitive beaten a combined 80 lengths it's last 6 starts, Slip should be counselled for tipping this cat :P ... and the horse needs a ticket to a Mt Magnet class B race as it's morphed into a CAMEL :))
H-BOMBER, oldhendo, The_Bull, thefalcon likes this post.
Thunderstruck likes this post.
What a beauty he was when at his peak.