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PGA Tour 2022/2023 Season

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  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Kirk gets it done in dramatic fashion at Honda!

    The last playoff hole was epic. Kirk mashs a driver behind a tree while Cole is safely on the fairway.

    Kirk chips out to a good spot and number while Cole smashes a woon to back right bunker.

    Kirk, with stones like basketballs, puts a 60 degree wedge to a foot.

    Cole chips out of the bunker to 15 feet, where he was 100% in that range for the week. Cruelly lips out for birdie leaving Kirk to tap in for the win!

    Most importantly, puts us right on track again with a nice big collect

    Overall +295.38

    Refund +6.6

    Win + 172.3

    Total +474.3 units

    Cooking with gas now!!!!

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  • jumjum    3,529 posts
    You are on Fire Bomber  ^:)^

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  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    The Arnold Palmer Invitational (Elevated event) at Bay Hill

    Another 25 million dollar event to bring out all the stars ahead of next weeks Players Championship.

    Bay Hill is notoriously long. In fact, it has statistically one of the most 200+ yards appraoches of all the course visited on the tour. Notably, the Par 3s make this course extremely challenging, coupled with water and a 3 inch rough. Long story short, its **** hard.

    What are the metrics this week.

    Approach and Off the tee are key here and go hand in hand. Approach can only be elite if you find the fairway.

    If you miss the fairway, you are in a world of pain. Try hitting a ball out of 3 inch grass, grabbing you club head. Its not fun.

    As these elevated events have shown, the cream rises to the top. My prediction of Rahm winning 5 times the year is already 60% done, and again looks his for the taking. But it is an elite field and Im not copping out with a single bullet on him this week.

    Heres the plan, based on the statistics and prices.

    Spend 40 units

    Rahm 5.8 units at $7. This is a cover bet for the week. He might win by 10 shots. Will take money back in the form he is in.

    9.73 units each on Scheffler and Rory.

    5.1 units Cantlay at $21

    4.65 units Morikawa at $23

    Collect outside of Rahm at 106 units

    Bonus bet

    5 units Rory first round leader at $19. Its hard to think he is going under the radar this week, but the chatter has been minimal. I can see him blasted a great first roud (64?). In the last few weeks, Scheffler and Rahm have landed the blows to get Number 1 in the world. Rory wouldnt like this and has something to prove. Well he doesnt but you know what I mean

    40 units out
    40 or 106 back for outright.

    Lets have a week again!

    Total +474.3 units

    This week -40

    Running +434.3 (40 alive)

    detonator likes this post.

  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    They are also playing in Puerto Rico this week for the sickos amongst us.

    No big spiel, just a few at odds for some interest

    Ashkay Bhatia $29
    Ryan Gerard $41
    Harry Higgs $51

    4 units out for 54.6 return

    Total +474.3 units

    This week -44

    Running +430.3 (44 alive)

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  • detonatordetonator    4,375 posts
    Excuse me if this has been mentioned before on here but just started watching series documentary on Netflix called Full Swing. 
    Excellent series. Episode 2 featuring Brooks and Scottie is a ripper.
    Must watch if you love golf. 
    :-B

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  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Watched the whole thing on a couple of days.

    My rating overall 6/10

    Best episodes are 2 (Brooks), 5 (Dahmen) and 6 (Finau).

    Worst for me was Episode 1. Could have been way better. Instead looked like rich white kids on private jets.

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  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Rahm quick out of the blocks and it's ominous for the opposition already. He fired a 65 to lead by two shots.

    Cantlay and Scheffler only 3 back on -4. Rory struggle to +1 as did Collin on +2.

    Glad I saved on Rahm, but it's looking more and more like the Rahm show this year (as predicted).

    I cheekily had a 50 on Rahm to make an eagle at 5.50. i love it when a plan comes together. My sole reasoning was that hole 16 is the easiest hole on the course, it's a par 5 and Rahm is one of the longest hitters on tour. I thought of He hits the fairway He has a mid iron in and then can nail the pitt.
    Turns out, he blasted a 312 hard drive down then centre. Then hot a 5 iron the 19 feet and then bang, nailed the putt. EASY GAME
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    On Puerto Rico, Bhatia is in second with a beautiful -6 day, only better by a blistering 63 by Carson Young.

    Gerard finished at -3 and Higgs at -1. I expect the elder to come back to them in round 2. Well placed here aswell
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    edited March 2023
    RAHMBO capitulated overnight with a 76 in tough conditions to sit at -3, 6 shots off Kurt kitayama who relished the wind. My best now at the Arnold Palmer are Cantlay at -5 and Scheffler at -4. Rory had a decent day and sits at-2 lurking in the shadows. Got a bit of a winning feel to him. Morikawa missed the cut at +3 and I vow never again with him. The weekend looks to be a ripper.

    Over in Pueto Rico, Carson Young continues to blitz and sits 4 clear of rivals. Best round of the day went to my man Higgs who shot 63 and sits tied 4th and only 5 back. Gerard sits at -8 while Bhatia sits at-7. All in contention on the weekend where anything can happen.
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Well round 4 has begun and we have a sweat with bother Scheffler and Rory, who sit 1 and 3 shots back from leader Kitayama on -9. Cantlay seems out of it 6 behind but you never know. There is a host of winning chances and hopefully it's one of mine in the end.

    Over in Rico, it appears Nacho Echavvaria has things wrapped up. Bhatia is 5 back and this event is really the definition of anything can happen. Both Gerard and Higgs look too far back, 8 shots behind.
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Classic last round at The API.

    Nobody wanted it. Nobody could hit a putt.

    Rory had a birdie chance on the last two get to -9. Missed. Clubhouse leader at -8.

    Scheffler at -8, needs birdie to get to -9. Makes a horrible bogey.

    Last chance. Kitayama nails a birdie on the rough 17th and heads to the last at -9. Drives the ball into heavy rough but is able to hit the green and 2 putt for the win.

    Up to 10 guys were within 1 shot of the lead coming down the stretch. The most disappointing for me was Spieth. He had it in his grasp and then missed a ton of less than 6 footers coming in.

    In the end, Cantlay finished 2 back and missed a million putts on the weekend. Scheffler finished 2 back and missed a heap as well. Rory misses by 1 and never looked comfortable over the last few holes.

    That is golf. We move on to this weeks Players Championship. More soon
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    In Puerto Rico, Bhatia has a scintillating 65 and -7 to miss by 2 shots from Echavvaria. Bhatia finishes second to be awarded a special tour card and is now a PGA tour member.


    2nd and 2nd this week. Stiff!
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    The Players Championship 2023

    TPC Sawgrass 7265 yards
    Bermuda greens
    Par 72. Tournament Record - Greg Norman (264)

    Its passively known as the fifth major. This year it has had another injection of funds to solidify this stance. 

    Last year, Cam Smith was able to come from behind to take the Championship, with his stunning shot on the island green 17 being the winning shot and nail in the coffin. Interestingly, the top 3 from last years Players are now with LIV, Cam Smith, Aniban Lahiri and Paul Casey. Its a shame they arent back. But we move on.

    The setup has been made progressively harder and harder and this year will be no exception for the Pete Dye designed course. Coming off such a big week last week with the Arnold Palmer, its hard to ignore the big dogs and try to find some value. As last week and seemingly a lot of these big dawg field tournaments, statistics off the tee and approach seem to be the most valuable. 

    LAst year, my tips weree victims of the dreaded PM/AM wave and were all KO'd early on. Rahm was still terrible on the greens. I eeked out a collect by having something on Cam Smith after round 3.

    This year, the weather forecast suggest that there will be rain on Friday afternoon. Let it be noted early that my tips are in the AM/PM wave in rounds 1 and 2, which is not ideal. But Id be suprised if they got consitions such as last year. It was a dogs breakfast as I described it. 

    Anyway, going to the well again with two favorites and one out of the box. I am dismissing Rahm and Rory this week, as their prices are disgusting. Not even saving on them, which wasnt a bad startegy last week with Rahm after his opening 65, however nobody would have predicted his capitualtion thereafter, mainly due to the driver, which is very suprising. But a good tough setup with challenging conditions found him out in rounds 2-3-4. Rory was solid, plodding away and realistically should have been a winner if not for a stumble in the last round and a missed 12 footer on the last to get to -9. He continues to play excellent golf with all the distarctiosn going on and I feel it might just spill over this week. 

    My guys are

    Scheffler $12.50 - continues to be elite everywhere with only the putter holding him back. Bermuda not his preferred surface at the moment AND he is in the AM/PM wave. Both negatives but this guy is playing rock solid.Its a rock bottom price but he fits the model so well it cant be ignored.

    Cantlay $19 - He should have won last week. No question. The amount of short putts under 5 feet he missed was atrocious and cost him the tournament, only going down by 2 shots in the end. Im hoping that was an anomaly and his 3rd at Riviera and 4th at API shows when he hits form, he sustains it. His off the tee, approach and ball striking is off the charts. Bullish again. The ONLY problem is - he has missed the last 3 cuts here........

    Keeeegan Bradleeey $56 - Keegan. Could win. Could miss the cut. But he is playing extremely well and has good course history here. Has been backed in from 80s the last few days, so i missed that unfortunately. Like Kitayama last week, he is one that could have a great week and remind us all that these events arent just for the big dogs.

    At the prices, the chop out is abou $6.65. Not bad I say. 

    Dropping 32.5 units this week n outrights for a collect for 216 units

    Additionally, having 3.5 units on the first round leader for these 3 at $23, $34 and $51. 3.5 out for 37.8 return

    Running +430.3

    This week -36 units

    Overall +394.7 units (36 alive)

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  • detonatordetonator    4,375 posts
    Thought you may have covered a couple more players Bomber……but who am I to question the master. 
    Good luck. 
    ^:)^

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  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Tough in these big events to find nuggets of gold and maintain a decent arbitrage price. Im relly most bullish about Cantlay this week and was on the cusp of a single bullet week, but talked myself out of it as it never ends well. 
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    A mixed bag overnight. Best for me was Scheffler at -4, closely followed by Keegan Bradley at -2 and a disappointment Cantlay at even par.

    They are all chasing Chad Ramsey with a round of his life 64 which is one shot better than ofcourse Morikawa, who decides to show up this week with -7. Collin has put the old driver back into play TaylorMade Sim 1 instead of the steth and it's paying dividends. Won't be surprised to see him win after I've been on him the last few starts :|
  • detonatordetonator    4,375 posts
    Get in the payout line Bomber. ;)
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Well here we are again, another week, another Scheffler sweat.

    Scottie leads by 2 going into the last round from none other than Min Woo Lee, who I was on a few weeks back ofcourse at only 30-1. Last week apparently he suffered allergies and missed the cut, this week as much as 400-1 available.

    It's Scotties to lose, who is an unbackable 1.40 favorite from Min at $6.

    They get underway 1am Perth time so I'll be up and about from about 3am at this stage. Fingers crossed Scheff can win again!!
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Scheffler gets it done in Ponte Vedra

    Absolutely rock solid last round from Scheff today after a shaky start. Min Woo Lee toed everything up after 3 holes after Scottie bogeyed the 3rd. Unfortunately this is where Min unravelled, taking triple bogey on the 4th after some weird decisions. The took the pressure off and it was Tyrrell Hatton who went out in 29 on the back to post -12 and give something for Scheffler to look at. The winning stretch of 5 birdies in a row sealed the deal and all he had to do was survive 17, where he put it to 9 feet. Conditions were tough with players falling by the wayside left right and centre, and Scheff nailed a long par putt on the last to win by 5 shots and be the 2023 Players Champion.

    And with that, 216 units jump into the coffers.

    Overall 2023 PGA tour season +610.7 units.

    Already have a special for Valspar this week as well...

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  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Getting in nice and early this week, always happens with a win under the belt.

    The Innisbrook course at Copperhead, Valspar.

    Back to these non designated events. Even so, the field is top heavy with a few "stars" and a lot of unknowns. Is the designated event model working? Time will tell. I think it has worked well thus far. Next they want to reduce the field to top 70 and no cut......sound familiar??

    ANyway, back to Valspar. Par 71 with 5 x par 3 holes, highlighted by the trecherous snakepit set of 3 holes deemd to be one of the toughest stretches on tour.

    Sam Burns is going for the famed 3 peat here after saluting in 21 and 22. Last year, he held off a game Davis Riley thankfully as my money was on. Its even harder to go three in a row, expecially with the way his recent form reads.......

    Approach is key here. Sound like a broken record but more and more this reveals to be the elite stat wherever the game is being played. Ive focused on weighted strokes gained approach and overall. Outside of this, the requirement for a better than average game is required (duh!).

    Big dogs in the field, who are poisonly short include JT, Spieth, Matt Fitzpatrick. Im avoiding them all like the plague.

    A bit of numbers, eye test and whispers this week to make up my lineup of 6 blokes, which at the prices comes to an arbitrage of $5.65

    Sam Burns $19 - Yes, I just mentioned 3rd time is rare air. He has shown glimpses the last few weeks of some sort of form returning, however this is a leap of faith, especially at the price. Confidence is massive in golf and coming back to somewhere that is familiar and has a winning glow to it could be the spark he needs,

    Adam Hadwin $26 - Charged up the leaderboard last week and had a very respectable T13 after TPC Sawgrass got him late. He has been playing well and finds a good spot here.

    Wyndham Clarke $36 - Has been in all the big boy events and now comes back in class, which suits his MO. T27 last week, another that faulted late. He relishes these drop in grade weeks.

    Davis Riley $46 - Last years runner up, he hasnt done heaps since. A coup,e of nice finishes here and there, mpst notably a few weeks ago at the Arnold Palmer. a repeat of that performance sees him right in the mix this week. 

    Ben Griffen $51 - My early special as mentioned. He has been playing awesome last 3 starts at Honda, Arnold Palmer and last week at the Players, where his weekend wasnt the best. He has mentioned in the past this is somewhat of a home course for him playing it regulary and knowing it like the back of his hand. Could be valuable.

    Bhatia $126 - Played awesome at Puerto Rico, just missing by 2 shots in the end after a sublime last round 65. He gained special tour exemption with that feat and now starts his PGA tour journey. He is an enigma which is feast or famine, but at $126 is worth the spec. 

    Ben Taylor $151 -  A bit from left field and purely a numbers play. He has been hanging around leaderboards of late and rates the best from a course fit perspective. Another spec where you dont need much on for a thrill.

    34 units on these blokes gross back 191.6 units


    And for some interst early on, playing the first round leader game for 6 units to retrun 41.4 units and covers this weeks betting

    Overall +610.7 units

    This week -40 units

    Nett +570.7 Units (40 alive)

    As usual, good luck!


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  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Round 2 in the books and Hadwin, Bhatia and Taylor all miss the cut. Bhatia was going fine until mid way through the back nine, where he had 3 bogies in a row to put him right back. Needed to birdie the last two holes and could only manage 1.

    So we head to the weekend with 4 bullets left. The best is Davis Riley at -5 only 2 off the pacesetter. Wyndham Clarke is another back at -4 who took advantage of the benign early conditions. Griffen and Burns had mediocre days and sit -1 and E. But they aren't too far back with the leader at -7.
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Close but no cigars this week.

    Clarke was the best of my bunch at -6 while Sam Burns flew home with a great Sunday round to finish -5. Both had the clubhouse lead at some point but it was short lived. Ultimately, the winner was Taylor Moore at -10, 1 shot clear of a gallant Adam Schenk and a futher shot to Spieth. All had their chances, Schenck had a gut punch of a last hole and was lucky enough to still make bogey even though par would have forced a playoff. His tee shot went leeeeft and was stuck next to a tree where he had to play a lefty shot. Hit the green in 3 and then hit the flag on the par putt from 30 feet but it cannoned off. 

    2 tournaments this week, one of my favorites in the Matchplay and then the lesser Corales Puntacana. lots of work to do so more soon.

    Oh and by the way, 24 days till the Masters.

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  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    WGC Match Play starts tonight!

    16 groups will battle it out in a round robin event where one from each group will emerge to the quarter finals final 8 matches. Then to 4, then to 2 where there will be the final on Sunday.

    Last year Scheffler got it done against Kisner in the final and "luckily" i had backed both at the strt of the tournament for a result.


    This year not too much different. Rory is playing amongst a host of new additions. Its a great viewing tournamnet and most importantly a better betting tournament. 

    The groups brcxaket can be found here


    My analysis has lead to me to have an outright and and each way bet on the tournament.

    Keeping it short and simple this week.

    12.5 units Scheffler at $9.50. He is by far the best player going around and excels at Matchplay. With Rahm WDing last start with the squirts and Rory no playing hs best an implenting more equipment this week before the Masters, he is my one out pick. 

    2.5 units each way at $91/2.50 (pays 1-2-3-4) on Min Woo Lee. He announced himslef last start at the Players and has the skill and moxie to go far in this event. Match play rewards bold and agrrresive play and Min has both to give this a shake.

    Total outlay 17.5 units for a decent return if they were to salute or even place with Min.

    Current +570.7 units

    Matchplay -17.5

    Total +553.2 units 

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  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Additionally, Carales Puntacanastarts Thursday night for the lesser lights. Its a chnace to really push the data and dig deep for those nuggest of gold. 

    Ive spent considerable time on this and wont go through the whole spiel but here are my suggestions for this week

    Saving 2.859 units to collect 20 units on either Wyndham Clarke/Stephen Jaeger to win at $7. 

    Now the real bets

    4.663 units Patrick Rodgers at $26
    2.957 units Chad Ramey at $41
    2.957 units Tyler Duncan at $41
    2.377 units Andrew Novak at $51
    2.377 units Cameron Percy at $51
    1.81 units Chesson Hadley at $67

    These return 121.24 units if succesfull

    Overall +570.7 units

    Matchplay -17.5 units

    Corales -20 units

    Total +533.2 units (37.5 unit alive)
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    H-BOMBER said:

    WGC Match Play starts tonight!


    16 groups will battle it out in a round robin event where one from each group will emerge to the quarter finals final 8 matches. Then to 4, then to 2 where there will be the final on Sunday.

    Last year Scheffler got it done against Kisner in the final and "luckily" i had backed both at the strt of the tournament for a result.


    This year not too much different. Rory is playing amongst a host of new additions. Its a great viewing tournamnet and most importantly a better betting tournament. 

    The groups brcxaket can be found here


    My analysis has lead to me to have an outright and and each way bet on the tournament.

    Keeping it short and simple this week.

    12.5 units Scheffler at $9.50. He is by far the best player going around and excels at Matchplay. With Rahm WDing last start with the squirts and Rory no playing hs best an implenting more equipment this week before the Masters, he is my one out pick. 

    2.5 units each way at $91/2.50 (pays 1-2-3-4) on Min Woo Lee. He announced himslef last start at the Players and has the skill and moxie to go far in this event. Match play rewards bold and agrrresive play and Min has both to give this a shake.

    Total outlay 17.5 units for a decent return if they were to salute or even place with Min.

    Current +570.7 units

    Matchplay -17.5

    Total +553.2 units 



    That should be 23.50 place for Min!
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Well here we are again, a double sweat on a Sunday night means potentially no sleep again!

    Scottie has made the final 4 in the match play. He has played off and on on his matches, he has got out of jail in his last 3 matches, the latest he was 2 down with 3 to play against JT Poston and won the last 3 holes to take it outright. He has an in form Sam Burns to compete with and if successful, faces a red hot Rory or Cam Young in the final, both are absolutely striping it at the moment.

    Over at Corales, both Wyndham Clarke and Tyler Duncan are 1 shot off the lead heading into round 4. Clarke is my money back saviour and Duncan is my hero. Cmon Tyler, be my hero.

    One would be great, 2 would be all time.
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Unfortunately both results didn't go the right way in the end.

    Scheffler lost his semi final on the 21st hole to Sam Burns, who eventually went on to win the whole thing. Scheff was 3 down through 3 holes and was tracking for a quick loss. He then proceeded to wake up as he did in previous matches and won 5 of the next 8 holes to get to 2 up and all was looking sweet. He gave up 3 holes between 12 and 17 and won the last two send it to sudden death. On the 21st hole, he blasts one down the centre while Burns finds the fairway bunker. Game over I'm thinking. Wrong. Burns puts his bunker shot from 160 to about 10 feet while Scheffler sprays the easiest shot of the day 40 yards right. He chips up to 3 feet and the Burns drives the putt home to put the final nail in the coffin. Livid, absolutely livid.

    Tuning over the Corales. Tyler Duncan was leading after 13 holes, playing solid Sunday golf. Playing partner Wallace then proceeds to birdie 4 holes in a row to take a two shot lead going to the last hole. Duncan had his birdie putt chances coming in but couldn't make them, giving Wallace a 1 shot win over N Hojgaard and a further shot back to Duncan.

    Once again LIVID.

    This week -37.5

    Update +533.2

    detonator likes this post.

  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    This week's is the Valero Texas open and then it's the big one. The Masters.

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  • detonatordetonator    4,375 posts
    Can`t wait for the Masters
    H-BOMBER said:

    Unfortunately both results didn't go the right way in the end.

    Scheffler lost his semi final on the 21st hole to Sam Burns, who eventually went on to win the whole thing. Scheff was 3 down through 3 holes and was tracking for a quick loss. He then proceeded to wake up as he did in previous matches and won 5 of the next 8 holes to get to 2 up and all was looking sweet. He gave up 3 holes between 12 and 17 and won the last two send it to sudden death. On the 21st hole, he blasts one down the centre while Burns finds the fairway bunker. Game over I'm thinking. Wrong. Burns puts his bunker shot from 160 to about 10 feet while Scheffler sprays the easiest shot of the day 40 yards right. He chips up to 3 feet and the Burns drives the putt home to put the final nail in the coffin. Livid, absolutely livid.

    Tuning over the Corales. Tyler Duncan was leading after 13 holes, playing solid Sunday golf. Playing partner Wallace then proceeds to birdie 4 holes in a row to take a two shot lead going to the last hole. Duncan had his birdie putt chances coming in but couldn't make them, giving Wallace a 1 shot win over N Hojgaard and a further shot back to Duncan.

    Once again LIVID.

    This week -37.5

    Update +533.2

    Wow. Can be a cruel game golf. How often do you see the worst drive end up getting the best result.
    I view those sorts of results and moments as character building. Got no other choice. Lol
    But at least you were in the hunt. Get it back this week.
  • GilgameshGilgamesh    4,795 posts
    Bomber donyou ever play draft stats? I'm considering using your mail to have a crack for an interest one week.
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