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GOLF PGA Tour Season 23/24

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  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    One of my favorite tournaments of the year, WM Phoenix Open. Definitely worth the watch from holes 13 onward and the Sunday back nine is always a cracker. A mix of scoreable holes, loud crowds and risk v reward make it a great watch down the stretch. Scheffler comes here off the back of winning the last 2 years in a row. He went head to head with Cantlay in 2022 and last year went head to head with Rahm. This year sure to be no different. At Phoenix, the reliance is on driving distance and approach. While the putter is always important, here the closer the hole you are the easier it is (duh). With a couple of big dogs pulling out, it leaves it thin at the top. Scheffler heads the betting at a prohibited 6.0 with JT second in line at $13. Spieth, Homa and Burns are at 17 and 19 and are the only ones under $20. Value aplenty of you dare take on the big 5.

    Like most of golf betting internet, I've firmly out my hopes into JT this week. He was 4 off the pace going into round 4 last week and was hotly favored to run down Windy C at Pebble. We'll never know. But we get another chance this week and I'm all in on Thomas who has found his game again. His course history is excellent and he rates highly across the metrics.

    For those who want some value, there are two. I'm going with Adam Scott again this week who continues to play well. He is $56 and well worth a go pre tournament. Another that is definitely over the odds with Tabtouchs is Eric Cole. Found some form again last week and is currently $56 on Tabtouchs. He is as low as half that quote else where so om the strength of that plus his game makes him a bet.

    Back these 3 blokes for 20 units to return 177.5 units

    Update -144.8 (20 alive)

    Best of luck

    jum likes this post.

  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    They will try and get 27 holes in at least for the Sunday of WM Phoenix. The weather hasn't been kind and now they are again running into problems with the Superbowl on later in the day.

    My best hope is Thomas who has 9 holes to play of his 3rd round and then a full 18. The bonus here is that he gets to play the back nine twice which is more amenable to better scoring. He is 5 back of leader Nick Hardy who ran second behind Scheffler last year.

    Theegala leads the betting at 4.50, with Hardy at 5.50 and Scheffler at 6.50. Scheffler is also 5 back but the bookies take no risk with him. Better value is JT at $13 who is knocking down pins but missing the putts.

    I've had 2.5 units on Hardy at 5.50 to add.to my book.
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    :x Taylor
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    I've just read above and got my Canadians mixed up. The price should have indicated the name mistake.

    jum likes this post.

  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    As predicted, it was a great back nine watch, especially with the money on Taylor. Thomas had checked out. Scheffler was absolutely charging and with nine holes to play was as little as 1.70. He opened his Sunday with 5 straight birdies in his to be completed third round and finished his third round 1 back. He then proceeded to birdie 4 in a row on the front and turned in 31.

    Then an all to familiar tune started to play. His putter left him. Completely. Between holes 12 and 15 he missed everything. He was striking unbelievably sweet giving himself short birdie looks. He just could not convert. He stuck one on 16 to about 2 inches but it was too late.

    Hoffman was in on 21 under. Taylor walked into hole 15 at 3 shots back. He birdies 15 with a layup on the par 5. He nails a 10 footer for birdie on 16 to be one back. He plays 17 conservative for a par and on the last, blasts his drive right into the bunker for it to ricochet out into a plum lie in the rough. He muscles a short iron onto the green about 12 feet away. Down hill slippery putt nobody has made all day. The putt rolls, it's going to miss and then beers left at the last cm to catch the hole and drop and to force a playoff.

    The playoff went two holes, both birdie the first in perfect fashion, both blast drives, both hot the green for 10 footers and both make the putt. Hardly surprising as they finished 1-2 in strokes gained putting this week.

    Second playoff and Hoffman pulls.one over the water into the bunker. Advantage Taylor. Then Taylor hits one left AGAIN and goes into the same bunker for it to ricochet out again.

    Hoffman has a tough second shot from the sand with a large lip in his way. Generates enough speed and power and lifts this ball to 15 feet from the pin. Amazing shot. Taylor, who is playing this shot for the third time, puts the ball 10 feet from the hole.

    Hoffman steps up and just missed, cruelly falling left. Taylor steps up and knocks his birdie in to take the WM Phoenix Open for 2024. He birdies 3/4 in regulation to make the playoffs then birdies 18 twice in the playoffs. Unbelievable win and gutting for Hoffman, who at 47 years young would have reignited his career with exemption in all signature events and majors.

    While the initial outright bets weren't successful, Taylor got something back in the end. As mentioned last season, this I think is the way to play these tournaments now with the field being so even. Still getting a decent price after 1-3 rounds gives at least something to cheer and be in contention.

    This week -22.5
    Collect +13.75

    Nett -8.75

    Overall -153.55

    Onto Riviera and Tigers return this week. Eat thoughts are with Sam Burns.....

    More soon
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    No long spiel this week....

    Riviera, the Genesis Invitational, is a signature event now, boasting a cut for top 50 and ties (out of 70 players) and anyone within 10 of the lead. So if you miss here well you are playing the worst golf of your life.

    All eyes on the big cat this week with his return to his first cut event since the majors last year. He can't win, plain and simple. But if he can put 4 x under par rounds together the saliva will be squirting for some with the upcoming majors season.

    Here, I've opted for 4 blokes around Riviera, which boast 7300 yards and a par 71. Driving distance and around the green play are the most telling metrics this week.

    Scheffler heads the betting as usual followed by Rory. Both will be looking to atone after they had indifferent last starts for very opposed reasons. Scheffler just cannot putt to tour average. It's actually a thing now. Rory was flying until a penalty derailed his whole tournament. Weird but it happened and some might say cracks are forming. We'll see.

    I've gone for 4 blokes this week around the $7 mark for the arbitrage

    Ludvig Aberg $23
    Sam Burns $26
    Adam Scott $31
    Cameron Young $34

    All boast either a great history, driving distance, around the green game and recency.

    Happy to dive in here for 20 units for 138 return.

    For a novelty, 2.5 units at $13 on wire to wire winner. Niemann did it a couple of years ago so it's possible.

    22.5 units out this week.

    Best of luck!



    Gilgamesh likes this post.

  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Well after 3 rounds, it's Patrick Cantlay who leads by 2 over good buddy Xander Schauffele and Will Zalatoris. While my blokes are way back, I am still alive with Cantlay who has managed to lead after rounds 1, 2 and 3. He is Shakey though. He lead by 5 at the half way point and carded the lowest 36 holes score at Riviera in the history of this tournament. He was sloppy coming home today, he bogeyed the easy par 5 17th and then scrambled a par on the last. While leading by 2 he is vulnerable and proves how hard it is to keep and lead and win.

    Because he has lead at each round, my wire to wire winner bet is alive and well. At $11 it looks.tasty compared to the $2.10. Hopefully the overs gods are with us tonight.

    If I was to dive in right now, I reckon Zalatoris is a great bet at 5.50.
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Well no luck again and the slump continues.

    Cantlay looked to be in a safe pairing with Xander, however he (literally) shat the bed it can be said with a weekend at even par. After the round it is reported he wasnt well at all, succumbing to the mystery illness that captured a few of the players, Tiger and Spieth included. Cantlay had lead rounds 1-3 and my wire to wire prediction was looking good. But alas, the overs gods stepped in and shat all over me.

    With that said, it was Hideki who sizzled with a sunday 62 to take the win by 3 shots, from a game Will Zalatoris and Luke List.

    Hideki, who has been in the wilderness, showed no signs of any weakness, stuffing shots and draining putts left right and centre.

    So no collect here agin this week. As a side, I did salvage a nice collect with a Same Tournamnet Multi of my 4 picks finishing in the Top 20. Adam Scott chipped in on the last to get under the target so cheers to man for slavaging something to the account late in the piece.

    Update

    Overall -176.05

    This is getting ugly.

    This week we head to Mexico for a terrible field. Finau is the reigning champ who beat Rahm last year (whom i was on).

    There will also be a European tour fill up this week in Kenya, so stay tuned.......

  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Early preview this week, get it done. 

    This is the week the flood gates open. I can feel it.

    Mexico Open at Vidanta

    Par 71 at 7456 yards.

    Back to a regular "mule" event this week and the filed stinks. Its terrible. But there is a winner to be found and really, all these guys are amazing players. Just no big dogs here this week except one Tony Finau, and he is only here because he is defending champion.

    Spoiler alert, i wont be diving into the $8.50, especially with the winners we have had this season.

    This tournamnet apears to rely heavily on approach.Im also focusing on accuracy and greens in regulation.

    Recent history also suggests that players do enjoy coming here. Finaus the best with a second and a first. But again, not at $8.50.

    In odds order i like the following

    Hubbard $36
    Doug Ghim $46
    Erik Van Rooyen $46
    Maverick McNealy $56

    All nice prices in the same area. The best of these for me ar Ghim and McNealy. 

    20 units at 11.22. Returns 224.4 units.

    Ramping things up in prep for the Players Championship in a few weeks. 

    Stay tuned for Euro Tour selections. 
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    edited February 20
    Magical Kenyan Open Euro selections

    Some juicy prices about some bad golfers here...

    Lacroix $26
    Cockerill $29
    Kawamura $41
    Catlin $41
    Ashun Wu $46

    10 units here at 6.97 for 69.7 return
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    such is confidence (or recklessness this week), having doubles across the tournaments

    20x selections at 0.5 units per dselection at the above prices equals 10 units out

    Shortest price at 936-1
    Longest at 2576-1

    This week out for a total of 40 units!

    Good luck
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Absolute donuts again this week. Had both Erik Van Rooyan and Ashun Wu in contention on Saturday only to plod to the finish line and finish way off.

    Winners were Jake Knapp in Mexico and Darius Van Driel in Kenya.

    The grind is officially on. Getting tougher to front up every week at the moment but we shall over come.
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Apologies, no preview this week. It's been a busy one.

    Rory headlines the field. He should win but there's no value.

    Not too busy to have a bet though

    20 units out on the following for.the Cognizant Classic (formerly known as the Honda)

    Cam Young 25
    Eric Cole 26
    Rasmus Hojgaard 51
    Matthieu Pavon 51
    Doug Ghim 56
    Billy Horshal 91

    20 out for 136.5 return

    5 minutes till tee off!

    Good luck!
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    No a bad start from all in sundry, except for one Eric Cole. There must be something wrong there as he sits dead last at +7, on a day where PGA National, a notoriously hard course, played toothless to most of the pros, especially the morning groups.

    Young -6
    Cole +7
    Hojgaard E
    Ghim -3
    Horshal -5 

    Min Woo Lee ** -4

    A good spread and all should make the weekend except Cole. Cam Young impressive, was +2 early on and then rallied with plenty of birdies coming home. He looks well placed. Impressive by Horshel to card -5. At $91 he is giving us a look for our money. Min Woo Lee played a nice afternoon round of -4 and he sits well for my 1+ PGA Tour win for the season bet.

    I mentioned the course was toothless today. After complaints from pros and probably a change in sponsorship, the course has been made easier this year. The fairways have been widened to increase in 1 acre area of fairway compared to normal. The rough is cut the lowest it has been for as long as anyone can remember. Finally, hole 10, which was always a beast of a par 4 at 515 yards, has now been lengthened by 30 yards to 545 yards BUT plays as a par 5 now! The pros are licking  their lips at the prospect of easy birdie or eagle on this hole.

    In my opinion, this is a miss from PGA National and the tour. The reason this tournmant has been good is the tough test it gives and also the uncertainty of the closing holes (the Bear Trap 15-16-17) and also the tight, water laden last par 5 where anything and everything can and has happened. The pros are eating this up and unless the wind starts blowing a gale, scores will continue to be low. 

    Min Woo Lee at $23 is a good bet after round 1. He gets a morning tee time tomorrow and is a proven winner. 
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    edited March 1
    Had another 2.5 units MW Lee at $28.5. Boosted.

    Good luck!
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Another week, another weather delayed tournament, another duck egg.

    This week, we had a few in contention going into round 4, the main guy was Min Woo Lee. Billy Horshal and Cameron Young were thereabouts and their last rounds were very steady and good, but they were just too far back.

    Min Woo started the 4th round 3 back and got into gear with a couple of early birdies, only to give them back on the par 3 5th hole. Just when I thought he was donr and dusted, in the resumption on Monday, he gets 2 birdies and an eagle early on through the middle stretch and all of a sudden he is one back with 7 holes to go. With the leaders faultering, Ecroat was steady as she goesand was putting everything close to the pin, but not hitting the putts. On the back nine, those putts started to roll in while Min Woos birdie putts were shaving the hole constantly and in the end, he ran out of par 5s, where he lead scoring for the week. Ecroat nailed a couple of birdies coming home and negotiated the bear trap successfully of 15-16-17 and just had an easy par on the last to secure the 3 shot win.

    Min finished T2
    Young T4
    Horshal T8

    Getting close but not close enough.

    The tour has a quick turnaround now for the API (Arnold Palmer Invitational) this week at Bay Hill CC where this signature event gets all the big boys back. Notably, Min Woo after his T2 this week gets entry into the event.

    Then its Majors season with the Players the week after then only 2 weeks till the 2024 Masters.

    Update YTD -238.55 :-&
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Another Signature event is upon us, this time we head to Bay hill for the annual Arnold Palmer Invitational.

    Historically playing tight fairways, fast greens and thick rough, this is one of the toughest challenges on tour. With its Signature status, players will be vying for 20 million in prizemoney.

    Significantly, Tiger has won here 8 times, including 4 in a row through 2000-2003, where he won by 11 shots in 2003!

    Enough of the history lesson. Time for a statisical view..

    Parsing the field out into statisical metrics for course fit, we find that approach and Off the tee stats are most prominent here. This is no suprise, given the fairway widths and whether you play from them or not. Combining these two metrics to get Tee to green statistics and again its no suprise to see Scottie Scheffler at the top of the list. By a long way. Notables in this area include Tom Hoge, Adam Scott and Victor Hovland.

    If we dive a little deeper and look at the last 3 yeras with an 8 round minimum, overall we see Scheffler again on top from Hovalndm, Rory and Zalatoris. Startifying this into separated metrics of approach (Homa-Scheffler-Hovland), off the tee (Hovalnd-Young-Zalatoris) and Tee to green (Scheffler-Mcilroy-Homa-Young), we get a more eclectic view (as bracketed).

    Suggested plays

    If you are going one out, set and forget and watch the tournamnet, then Scheffelr is your man. His statistics are so dominant that even without his best stuff, he still contends. Last start, he was his worst approach numbers for the season and he was last in putting. STILL, he finished T10. It cannot be understated how far ahead he is of the game. He just cannot win at the moment with the primary reason being the putter. BUT. This week he is putting a new putter in play. The Taylormade Spider GT Mallet putter is a go to for the pros when they have their putting woes. He has resisted a change up until now and maybe a little prompting by McIlroy in an interview at the Genesis made him rethink what he might need to do to capitalise on this historic statistical dominance. At $9 enhanced (TabTouch) a one out bet is pretty juicy. He'll contend and if he is on song with evertything he could win by 11 shots.

    If, like me, you need to spread yourself out a bit pre tournmant, then some more suggestions as follows

    Scheffler $9 (as mentioned)

    Ludvig Aberg $23 - definitely in the category of getting way too much respect odds wise. He is elite in all parts of the game, but hitting the ball a long way down the fairway and playing from a closer proximity than most gives him an edge here. He has settled into tour life well and looks to be a permanent fixture for a long time coming. He can aquit himslef well here in this big event. While I think its a year too early for him on the majors front, this and these signature events will go along way to creating a well rounded, elite physical and mental specimen in years to come. He'll be in the mix on Sunday

    Cameron Young $31 - Cameron Young has sucked us all in for a while now, but his last two starts have shown that he is on an upward trajectory at the right time of year. One of the longest players on tour, he has tweeked the swing slightly and has resulted in more control off the tee. He is also rolling the rock beautifully on the greens and he finsihed off as well as he could at the cognizant classic on Monday rolling in 2 birdies from his only 2 holes played on the Monday. Mentally, he is getting better and better. He still looks like he want to stab everyone within arms length all the time, but a smile cracked here and there makes me think he is enjoying his golf more at the moment and while he is still yet to win on tour, he isnt far of it.

    Austin Eckroat $126 - Y'all thought i was going to back Zalatoris this week. No, Im waiting for the Masters for big Will. Eckroat was last weeks Cognizant Classic winner, in the end winning by 3 shots. While its rare for players, especially first time winners, to come out and win back to back, the eye test on him last week showed to me how good this bloke actually is. And why not strike while th iron is hot in a reduced field event coming off a Monday win? He was absolutely unable to miss a fairway last week, which is saying a bit becuase those fairway were narrow and laden with traps and water. His tempo was exceptional and he amplified his off the tee game with an unbeleivable approach game. He ONLY won by 3 last week. It could have been 10 if he hit a few putts early on. He hot 7 out of 10 approaches under 15 feet through the middle stretch last week to set up the victoryna dto be honest, when you are hot, especially these guys, it doesnt go away over night. I expected him to be 50s, but $126 is stealing here, especially if you lob an each way bet.

    So playing these 4 blokes at the proposed prices for 20 units will return 95.84 units.

    YTD -258.55 (20 units alive)

    Best of luck!
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Bonus play this week for the absolute sickos amongst us.

    The tour has a complimentary event running this week in puerto Rico. Last year, Nico Echavarria outlasted Akshay Bhatia (which i was on) by the skin of his teeth. 

    If playing this event, two players I think will acquit well with excellent course history and/or form

    Nate Lashley $34
    Brendan Wu $34

    Play these two blokes for 5 units to return 85 uniyts

    YTD -263.55 (25 units alive)

    jum likes this post.

  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Finally, LIV are having their Hong Kong event this week starting Friday. 

    LAst week, Niemann killed them. Again. He would nearly be, if not the best player in the world at the moment. 

    While not posted here, I had a crack at him after round 1 where he was still $10+. He can keep the ball rolling so to speak and he turns up in Hong Kong at $8. With Rahm now at LIV, you can get a good price about other bolkes. One other bloke I think will go very well here is Bryson. He has been inserting 1 bad round in each of his last 3 tournamnets to kill his chances. On all ocassions, a par round would have seen him win or force a playoff. So Im willing to bet he has 3 good rounds in him in Hong Kong. If he does he'll be right there near the top.

    Niemann $8
    Bryson $15

    play these two at 5 units 26.1 units returned

    YTD -268.55 (30 alive)

    That will do. Plenty of tournamnt golf to watch this week. Lets hope for a clean sweep.

    jum likes this post.

  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    H-BOMBER said:

    Bonus play this week for the absolute sickos amongst us.


    The tour has a complimentary event running this week in puerto Rico. Last year, Nico Echavarria outlasted Akshay Bhatia (which i was on) by the skin of his teeth. 

    If playing this event, two players I think will acquit well with excellent course history and/or form

    Nate Lashley $34
    Brendan Wu $34

    Play these two blokes for 5 units to return 85 uniyts

    YTD -263.55 (25 units alive)



    Last round begins with Brandon Wu 11 shots back from the leader at -18. Lashley missed the cut. So no hope here
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Over at LIV it was a bit more exciting. Niemann started round 3 a whipping 10 back of leader Ancer and got within 1 shot of a 3 hole playoff between Ancer, Smith and Casey. It was a case of running out of holes for Niemann who had a few costly bogies in the final round while still shooting 7 under 65. He birdies his last 4 holes to just miss. Ancer lead the field by 5 going into round 3 and eventually won the playoffs.
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    The API finishes tonight and it's Scottie Scheffler on top at -9 with Lowry.

    Scheffler has played his customary same tune this week, unbelievable tee to green with average putting. The new putter hasn't really done anything new but he is striking it so well it compensates for this loss.
    If he could putt he'd win by 10 shots.

    Cmon Scottie!!
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Scheffler gets it done at API Bay Hill!

    For those that follow golf closely, this was coming. Scheffler for nearly 12 months to the day, after winning the Players Chapionship by a big space, has been absolutely tearing it apart on the golf course except for the putter. If you look back throughg the thread this year and last, it was the same old tune for poor old Scheffler.

    This morning, the Scheffler Tsunami broke the dam wall emphatically with the putter and if this continues, we could be looking at a record breaking season.

    Starting the day at -9, tied for the lead, it was an ominous start with Scheffler, birdieing the first hole. It has been troublesome for him all week with bogies on Friday and saturday and a short miss on his first hole of the tournament.

    While everyone on the course was struggling with the tough conditions, scheffler revelled. He once again proved his greatness and separation from the rest of the field with a bogey free 66. That may not mean much on face value, but it should be noted that the field average for Sunday was 73.1.

    He won by 5!

    Yes you read that correctly. He was more than 7 shots better than the field on Day 4 and this was comprehensively aided by his putting. He gained over 4 strokes to the field on the greens and he was 17 from 17 under 15 feet for the day. On the previous days, he missed 5, 5 and 3 putts under 15 feet for the day and he still was leading at the end of day 3.

    It was only a matter of time before this happened and it seems to be thanks to the addtion of the mallet putter (see above post pre tournament).

    Another nugget of gold is that this season, his scoring average is under 68 shots per round for the year and his statistical numbers are only beaten by one player in one year in history. 2006 Tiger rates better than Scotties YTD.

    Finally, one of the big dogs steps up, and it was the biggest of all, to get a few sheckles back in the kick and start eating into this deficit.

    YTD -263.55 (35 alive)

    This week +95.84

    YTD -167.71 (5 units alive - Min Woo bet for the season)

    Onward and upward.

    Genuinely think Scheffler could romp in the Players next week and The Masters complexion has has changed dramatically after this one round. It wouldnt be out of the realms of possibility that Scheffler wins 6+ times this year and snags a major or two. He is my early prediction of the 2024 US Open and when have time will do an early look at the Majors this years (sneek preview - Ive had a $10 multi across the 4 majors for around 900K ;) )
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    The Players Championship starts this evening at 7.40pm WA time in what is the start of what I would call Majors season. With the Masters only but a month away, all the big dogs should be in full attack mode. With that said, it has been a lack lustre start to the year for most if not all of them. I think this week changes that. 

    TPC Sawgrass is the home of the Players Championship and provides a gruelling test of accuracy and endurance. Playing at over 7200 yards and a par 72, its a monster with trouble everywhere. If you play out of the fairway all day you can shoot 63. If you are errant off the tee, you can shoot 80. The rough here is long. There are bunkers everywhere. There is also water everywhere. Do not be suprised to see some double figure scores on certain holes this week, effectively killing the players chances on one hole. 

    The most famous hole from TPC sawgrass is the island green 17th. Many a player has become undone down the stretch and the 17th can make you a hero or a zero pretty quickly. Playing at only 134 yards, its amazing what the island green does to the mental side of things.

    To compliment, or maybe compound the closing stretch is the 18th hole. It statistically plays the hardest hole on the property and is fitting to finish with this test of mental and accuracy strengths. Players walk off the easiest hole on number 16 with a smile on their face but this is quickly erased coming 17 and 18. Facsinating veiwing, especially on the final day.

    Where does this leave us statistically and who is going to perform well. After last week, its all about Scottie Scheffler. He has it all and now has a putter that is at tour average. All combined, its makes for a lethality that hasnt been seen since the golden Tiger years. 

    An elite off the tee game puts players into Position A but its then approach which is vital to success here. You cannot have one without the other though. Statistically it makes complete sense that Scheffler is absolute light yeras ahead of the field. As like last week, if a one bet, set and forget option is what you want, then pile into the 6.50ish and sit back and relax. 

    While this is very tempting, im a little more cautious. The only reason is that in history, nobody has gone back to back at the Players. Will this be the year. Maybe. Is Scheffler the man to do it? If anyone can its him.

    But im looking each way elswhere for a bit of a thrill with my head is outweighing my heart. Id love to see Scottie absolutely murder them all year, but there is one guy that has been trending beautifully and its too hard to ignore at the price.

    Will Zalatoris fits the profile perfectly. 

    He has got better and better since his return at Hero earlier in the year. His last two starts have convinced me he is back, better than ever. He is a big gma ehunter and he is my early Masters prediction. I feel he is well suited here and the stats back this up. He has gained over 4 shots on the field off the tee over the last two starts. Couple that with the elite ball striking he possess and you have a greens in regulation machine that has improved his putting dramatically with the addition of a broomstick. Last week he finshed T4. His closing 5 holes on Saturday were played in 5 over and if not for that stretch, he may have contended and even won the whole thing. I think that and his T2 the week before has set him back to where he was after winning the Tour Championship event at the end of 2022, except now he is healthy. If his off the tee game shows up again and he continues to stirike it like the last month, he is not only contending but i think he can slay the giant.

    At $26 to win and 6.50 for Top 7, its an each way special for me. 

    3.5 units each way at this price to collect 113.75 return

    If looking for a novelty bet, take the straight forecast of Scheffler/Zalatoris and Zalatoris/Scheffler, each at 141-1, have 2.5 units collectively on these (both way) and collect 176.25 units.

    Units out this week 9.5

    Overall -177.21 (9.5 alive)

    Best of luck
  • BushbookieBushbookie    140 posts
    Dead right about the 17th HB . Claimed another Pros Club this time .
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Very average round overnight for Zalatoris who carded a +1 in the afternoon groups. He sits 8 back from three big dogs Rory, Xander.and Windy C. Rory had 10 birdies in his 7 under 65 and there was some pointy times with him and his group players Spieth and Hovland. Rory hit the water on 18 and 7 and emotions were high about where to drop the ball. Worth a watch of 10 minutes of back and forth.

    Xander did his normal thing and carded 7 under.in pretty all over the place fashion. The one I'm frustrated about is Wyndham Clarke, who was $56 before the tournament and was who I was swapping and changing with Zalatoris. Clearly pulled the wrong rein here but still the is tomorrow where I expect Zalatoris to fight back.

    Scheffler just lurks on 5 under after a short putt missed on the first for bogey. Then he reeled off three birdies and carded a 67 without even breaking a sweat. It's looks his to lose again even at this early stage.

    Bushbookie likes this post.

  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Zalatoris misses the cut by a mile shooting +3 for the day. I'm shocked he was this bad but he wasn't alone with a lot of great players falling by the wayside.

    Wyndham Clark has broken away from the field with another 65 and sits at 14 under with closest being Schauffele at 10 under. Rory shot a very disappointing +1 to be at -6 while Scheffler sits at -8 but had some injury concerns during the round getting massage treatment around his neck. He still managed to eek out a -3 for the day. If he is fit then he might be worth a bet at $6 but it's very short. Clark sits at 2.63 and Xander at 6.50.
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    edited March 16
    A scintillating 65 from Xander and a pretty lack lustre 70 from Clark sees Xander take a one shot lead into Sunday from Clarke. Right on their heels is Brian Harman who shot 64 and Maverick McNealy. It's not lost on me that I have been on McNealy and Lashley over the last few weeks and of course they are showing up here at one of the biggest events.

    Will be a big wipe this week after gaining some confidence last week. May delve into the leaderboard before round 4 to have something to cheer.
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Had 5 units Scheffler at $12. He is 5 back but he has the ability to erase the deficit pretty quickly.
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,339 posts
    Scheffler gets in at 20 under and shoots 64. He left a few out there as well.

    Clark and Schauffele are on 17 now 1 back. Harman on 18 one back as well [-O<
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