Bomber , you must be close to breakling square after Xs win , hey whats Billy Horshels story. Watched him shoot a 7 under and asking you if hes got potential to win a big one in 24.
Update is at -13.4 units. We are well on the road back!
I was on Horshel a start early at $91 in the signature event just before his win at Corales last month.
He is trending upward and continues to do so after going through a full swing breakdown and overhaul.
It was a great finish for whom I think is a great bloke on face value. He cops a lot of shit but I like his outlook.
Can he win again this year? He won't win the US Open or the Open Championship. Any of the signature events?
I'd be willing to have a go at him this week (price dependant) as he he fronts up in the Charles Schwab challenge. It's not a signature event however Scheffler and Homa are in the field currently along with a few other big dogs. I'd be willing to be pre tournament at $50+.
Memorial is in a few weeks where he won 2 years ago, but it wasn't a signature event then so the field was not as strong.
Apart from that, the Rocket Mortgage might be another start he gets in well at. Also, while I said the Open was a bridge too far, he generally plays the lead ups on the euro tour where he has had success previously, specifically at Wentworth. If you are wanting to bet him it's here where he is most comfortable over seas.
The Charles Schwab Challenge this week after a major and it's always hard to get invested.
The course has been changed slightly from years previous, they have installed new greens and a drainage system. These things take time to settle and we could see some hard greens which will be hard to stop the ball on.
Scheffler.comes here surprisingly with a few other studs, namely Homa, Spieth and Morikawa.
Scottie is a prohibitive $3.50 here with Morikawa second best at $13 and Homa at $19 and Spieth at $23. I'd say if you like Scottie then $3.50 is a one out bet. Again like last week, not for me.
Morikawa was in contention last week and is lacking that killer instinct. Homa is slightly off the boil while who knows what's happening with Speith.
I'm going far and wide this week with a couple.of bombs.
Harris English $29 Billy Horshal $41 Thomas Detry $51 Justin Rose $51
Playing these dudes for 15 units to collect a nice 152.9 units.
The Charles Schwab Challenge this week after a major and it's always hard to get invested.
The course has been changed slightly from years previous, they have installed new greens and a drainage system. These things take time to settle and we could see some hard greens which will be hard to stop the ball on.
Scheffler.comes here surprisingly with a few other studs, namely Homa, Spieth and Morikawa.
Scottie is a prohibitive $3.50 here with Morikawa second best at $13 and Homa at $19 and Spieth at $23. I'd say if you like Scottie then $3.50 is a one out bet. Again like last week, not for me.
Morikawa was in contention last week and is lacking that killer instinct. Homa is slightly off the boil while who knows what's happening with Speith.
I'm going far and wide this week with a couple.of bombs.
Harris English $29 Billy Horshal $41 Thomas Detry $51 Justin Rose $51
Playing these dudes for 15 units to collect a nice 152.9 units.
Update -28.4 units (15 in play)
Good luck
Round 2 suspended with bad weather.
All.my blokes are hovering around Even par and not really doing too much. They are within the cut line at the moment but are starting to get too far back of the leader Hoffman at -10.
Min Woo Lee is at -3 and has 4 holes to play. He dropped a few late yesterday but looks to be my best hope at the moment with my long range season bet.
Well the lack of activity should suggest no good last week, with $301 outsider Davis Riley holding off Scheffler and winning by 5 in the end. Tough gig this!
This week the tour heads to the increasingly popular stop in Canada for the RBC heritage Canadian open.
Headlined by Rory, Canada national open had been good to him and he opens 4.33 favorite for the tournament.
The reasons are simple. It's a bombers paradise here at Hamilton golf course and country club and he is in great form. Long hitters take a lot of the trouble out of play, so that's primarily where we are looking this week.
But realistically if you are piling into favorites in golf tournaments every week you won't be winning. Especially this season.
So where to look.
I'm having something on two blokes this week for an interest.
I'm reluctantly backing Lowry at $21. He is in excellent form coming off a win and T6 in the PGA Championship after a lack lustre Sunday. He was right there and couldn't get going after a record equally day on the Saturday. His putter seems to be a bit more confident and has been the problem. He isn't one of mine but it seems to be a good spot for him....and he plays well outside the US. If that means anything.
Lastly again, reluctantly getting into Cam (aka Scam) Young. I can't catch the bloke at all. A missed but wouldn't surprise to be honest but he has accurate length off the tee and could pop this week. His problems come from dropping his head and too many unforced errors, hence the 0 wins on tour. He is $26 and I'm happy to go to the well again.
10 units here for approximately 116.2 units returned.
After my PGA Championship success with first round leader I have a taste for it. Blood in the water and all that.
Taking Rory ($12), Lowry ($34) and Young ($34) for 2.5 units to collect 17.59 units back.
Robert MacIntyre outlasted them all in Canada with a one shot victory and his old man on the bag. Quite a feat.
Instead of starting at Memorial this week, he has chosen to go home to Scotland and get on the piss. Way to go Robert!
This week we are at Memorial, Jacks Tournament and then it's onto the US Open. The qualifiers were yesterday in "Golfs longest day" with qualifications all over the US to get into the Open next week.
The Memorial starts tonight at Muirfield golf course.
The course is under constant change and construction, such is the forever unsatisfied nature of Jack Nicklaus. He purchased the land back in the 60s and while the course has been established for many a year, there seems to be subtle and not so subtle changes to the course every year when Nicklaus thinks that the course is either not playing hard enough or can be made unnecessarily harder. An example.was.manybheats ago, Jack witnessed a bunker shot of a certain player in an area where he thought should be tough, with said player getting an easy up and down. Fast forward 12 months and Jack implemented a new type of bunker rake which created literal channels in the bunker to give the impression of a plugged lie, therefore making it infinitely harder to get the ball out. That was short lived with calls of protest and withdrawal.
The course record of 61 is held by Hale Irwin in the 90s and is a testament to this constant change and tinkering.
Nowadays, sneaky metrics such as driving accuracy are mostly important.
Last year, Hovland won in a playoff from Denny Mac. The real tragedy was Scheffler losing by a shot while losing over 8 shots to the field just on the greens in what was his rock bottom with the putter. In a world of what ifs, if he putted to tour average that week he would have won by more than 15 shots. But of I got paid on ifs I'd be retired.
Enough of the waxing lyrical.
The market is dominated by what could be called the big 3 now. Scheffler is 4.50, Rory 8.50 and Schauffele $9 after his major winning performance last start.
As usual, the market has it right with Scheffler should accounting for this lot. But golf being golf, this price is prohibitive. I would contend that Rory at 8.50 and Xander $9 is also prohibitive. So looking elsewhere.
A lot of the big dogs have failed to shine this season. Most notable is course specialist and 2 x winner Cantlay, who is all at sea and I suspect his extra commitment to the tour board is impacting his results. Guys like Homa, Burns etc are just not contending. Morikawa is a bit of a non winner at the moment. He is 4th in the market. Aberg just can't do it at the $17.
This leaves one name. Big Dick Vick.
Hovland showed last start he was back in form. He had been struggling all year after parting ways with his coach who got him to win the 2023 FedEx cup.
2 weeks before the PGA they reunited and he showed up. Sometimes people click and if he can put a performance like that in under 2 weeks back together then I am confident he will contend and even win here.
Hovland is $20+ on some places.
Amazing price.
I recommend (I've had) 10 units at $20.40 for Hovland to defend his Memorial tournament win from 2023.
To collect 204 units.
Current balance after the Canadian open and this week's spend
Scheffler leads by 3 shots over the quality field and he just seems a cut above them all.
My man Viktor is the one who is 3 back. He hasn't had much luck with the putter and if it heats up he is a chance to take on Scottie. But it is Schefflers to lose.
Sad watch on the DP World Tour as what could only be described as the worst choke since Van De Velde unfolded. I felt sorry for Soderberg. He obviously hasn't worked out how to play with nerves. I hope he can come back from it.
He has history doing this, from memory as recent as his last start where he looked like the best player in the world at one point and then lost it on day 4
Anyway, in the memorial,.it wasn't the coronation that it was expected to be for Scheffler. While he outlasted them by 1 shot, he needed a couple of clutch putts down the stretch to outlast Morikawa who played wonderfully on one of the hardest days this year shooting -1. Scheffler finished at +2 for the day and still won. The field average was nearly 75 today and was a very tough test for those going to Pinehurst this week for the US Open.
Hovland finished at +2 and T15. He actually got to the winning number of -8 after 8 holes on Saturday.
It was a case of the operation was a success but the patient died. He was the pick this week and after 44 holes it was looking good. Alas, golf kicked in and that was that.
Scheffler now has 5 PGA tour wins this year. He could have a 10 win year at this stage. Hear me out
He is $4 favorite for the US Open, the tougher it is, the bigger the gap he puts on them
He'll play the Olympics, a 60 man no cut event where half the field are unknowns.
He'll win at least one of the two lead ups to the Tour championship and then take out the championship with a big lead.
You'd think he would be a winner of either the Scottish Open and/or Open in the UK.
That's 10. That would be unbelievable in this day in age.
More soon on the US Open.
I've already had a bet. I've taken the TAbTouch special for 5 units with a 10% boost to 18.60 and money back within 10 shots. The name.of that man. Collin Morikawa. To win 93 units back.
Update YTD -61.4 units (5 on Collin and ofcourse still have 5 units on Mon Woo Lee all year)
The US Open has been contested at this venue 3 times previous.
The total number of players to play the 4 rounds under par stands at 4. In total. Ever.
Such is the USGAs thirst for protecting par, this year, it would be very surprising to see more than a couple under win this thing, if not a couple.over.
If you've been following things this week, it's all about the fairways and greens. Firstly, there is no rough. It's fairway and the waste area. That's it. You miss a fairway and you are in the kaka. There are little.qire bushes everywhere in the sand. Because of the length of the place, a miss means generally a layup, making par a hard task.
Then there's the greens which have been likened to turtle backs. Again, no step cut etc around the green, it's fairway into green. The waste area.
And if that wasn't enough, the greens are currently running at 13.5 on the stimp meter.
For those uninitiated, 11 is very fast.
You miss a short landing area in the metre of the green and you will roll off the green into trouble.
This will be one of the hardest tests in golf for these players.
So what to do.
Scheffler is the best player by a mile,.the most patient and the best plotter around the course. He is $4 and to be honest, with the way things happen are, he is a bet at that number of you go one out.
I'm not that brave, even though recent history suggests that bravery will be rewarded when it comes to Scottie.
So that leaves really to me 3 other blokes.
Schauffele, Morikawa and Bryson.
Schauffele ultra consistent all year and is guaranteed *** a top 10. He finds a way and at $2.10 that could be an option.
Bryson has been awesome in the first two majors this year. He is the best at LIV currently and at $19 might be worth a stab.
I've elected for Morikawa, who has also been ultra competitive in majors and signature events of late, just getting beaten at Memorial by Scottie. He has the driving accuracy to give himself the best opportunity to capitalize on his iron play. And that's what I'll do with the Tab money back special to get within 10 shots of the winner at 18.60.
This will be more of a fascinating watch for me this week and expect a ton of carnage and over par golf.
Comments
I was on Horshel a start early at $91 in the signature event just before his win at Corales last month.
He is trending upward and continues to do so after going through a full swing breakdown and overhaul.
It was a great finish for whom I think is a great bloke on face value. He cops a lot of shit but I like his outlook.
Can he win again this year? He won't win the US Open or the Open Championship. Any of the signature events?
I'd be willing to have a go at him this week (price dependant) as he he fronts up in the Charles Schwab challenge. It's not a signature event however Scheffler and Homa are in the field currently along with a few other big dogs. I'd be willing to be pre tournament at $50+.
Memorial is in a few weeks where he won 2 years ago, but it wasn't a signature event then so the field was not as strong.
Apart from that, the Rocket Mortgage might be another start he gets in well at. Also, while I said the Open was a bridge too far, he generally plays the lead ups on the euro tour where he has had success previously, specifically at Wentworth. If you are wanting to bet him it's here where he is most comfortable over seas.
Let's see if any of that comes to fruition!
The course has been changed slightly from years previous, they have installed new greens and a drainage system. These things take time to settle and we could see some hard greens which will be hard to stop the ball on.
Scheffler.comes here surprisingly with a few other studs, namely Homa, Spieth and Morikawa.
Scottie is a prohibitive $3.50 here with Morikawa second best at $13 and Homa at $19 and Spieth at $23. I'd say if you like Scottie then $3.50 is a one out bet. Again like last week, not for me.
Morikawa was in contention last week and is lacking that killer instinct. Homa is slightly off the boil while who knows what's happening with Speith.
I'm going far and wide this week with a couple.of bombs.
Harris English $29
Billy Horshal $41
Thomas Detry $51
Justin Rose $51
Playing these dudes for 15 units to collect a nice 152.9 units.
Update -28.4 units (15 in play)
Good luck
Mathias Schwab inn the Soudal Open on the DP world tour
1.5 units each way at $67/$14 (pays top 6)
121.8 units of he was to win
Update -31.4 units (18 alive)
Schwab was 2 under through 5 holes.in round 1. Ended up shooting 81 and finished round 2 at +13 and DFL. Cue back in the rack for the DP world tour
Round 2 suspended with bad weather.
All.my blokes are hovering around Even par and not really doing too much. They are within the cut line at the moment but are starting to get too far back of the leader Hoffman at -10.
Min Woo Lee is at -3 and has 4 holes to play. He dropped a few late yesterday but looks to be my best hope at the moment with my long range season bet.
This week the tour heads to the increasingly popular stop in Canada for the RBC heritage Canadian open.
Headlined by Rory, Canada national open had been good to him and he opens 4.33 favorite for the tournament.
The reasons are simple. It's a bombers paradise here at Hamilton golf course and country club and he is in great form. Long hitters take a lot of the trouble out of play, so that's primarily where we are looking this week.
But realistically if you are piling into favorites in golf tournaments every week you won't be winning. Especially this season.
So where to look.
I'm having something on two blokes this week for an interest.
I'm reluctantly backing Lowry at $21. He is in excellent form coming off a win and T6 in the PGA Championship after a lack lustre Sunday. He was right there and couldn't get going after a record equally day on the Saturday. His putter seems to be a bit more confident and has been the problem. He isn't one of mine but it seems to be a good spot for him....and he plays well outside the US. If that means anything.
Lastly again, reluctantly getting into Cam (aka Scam) Young. I can't catch the bloke at all. A missed but wouldn't surprise to be honest but he has accurate length off the tee and could pop this week. His problems come from dropping his head and too many unforced errors, hence the 0 wins on tour. He is $26 and I'm happy to go to the well again.
10 units here for approximately 116.2 units returned.
After my PGA Championship success with first round leader I have a taste for it. Blood in the water and all that.
Taking Rory ($12), Lowry ($34) and Young ($34) for 2.5 units to collect 17.59 units back.
All up 15 units out this week again.
Update -46.4 units (15 alive)
Good watching!
Robert MacIntyre outlasted them all in Canada with a one shot victory and his old man on the bag. Quite a feat.
Instead of starting at Memorial this week, he has chosen to go home to Scotland and get on the piss. Way to go Robert!
This week we are at Memorial, Jacks Tournament and then it's onto the US Open. The qualifiers were yesterday in "Golfs longest day" with qualifications all over the US to get into the Open next week.
More soon
meatpie likes this post.
meatpie likes this post.
The course is under constant change and construction, such is the forever unsatisfied nature of Jack Nicklaus. He purchased the land back in the 60s and while the course has been established for many a year, there seems to be subtle and not so subtle changes to the course every year when Nicklaus thinks that the course is either not playing hard enough or can be made unnecessarily harder. An example.was.manybheats ago, Jack witnessed a bunker shot of a certain player in an area where he thought should be tough, with said player getting an easy up and down. Fast forward 12 months and Jack implemented a new type of bunker rake which created literal channels in the bunker to give the impression of a plugged lie, therefore making it infinitely harder to get the ball out. That was short lived with calls of protest and withdrawal.
The course record of 61 is held by Hale Irwin in the 90s and is a testament to this constant change and tinkering.
Nowadays, sneaky metrics such as driving accuracy are mostly important.
Last year, Hovland won in a playoff from Denny Mac. The real tragedy was Scheffler losing by a shot while losing over 8 shots to the field just on the greens in what was his rock bottom with the putter. In a world of what ifs, if he putted to tour average that week he would have won by more than 15 shots. But of I got paid on ifs I'd be retired.
Enough of the waxing lyrical.
The market is dominated by what could be called the big 3 now. Scheffler is 4.50, Rory 8.50 and Schauffele $9 after his major winning performance last start.
As usual, the market has it right with Scheffler should accounting for this lot. But golf being golf, this price is prohibitive. I would contend that Rory at 8.50 and Xander $9 is also prohibitive. So looking elsewhere.
A lot of the big dogs have failed to shine this season. Most notable is course specialist and 2 x winner Cantlay, who is all at sea and I suspect his extra commitment to the tour board is impacting his results. Guys like Homa, Burns etc are just not contending. Morikawa is a bit of a non winner at the moment. He is 4th in the market. Aberg just can't do it at the $17.
This leaves one name. Big Dick Vick.
Hovland showed last start he was back in form. He had been struggling all year after parting ways with his coach who got him to win the 2023 FedEx cup.
2 weeks before the PGA they reunited and he showed up. Sometimes people click and if he can put a performance like that in under 2 weeks back together then I am confident he will contend and even win here.
Hovland is $20+ on some places.
Amazing price.
I recommend (I've had) 10 units at $20.40 for Hovland to defend his Memorial tournament win from 2023.
To collect 204 units.
Current balance after the Canadian open and this week's spend
-56.4 units
Best of luck
Scheffler leads by 3 shots over the quality field and he just seems a cut above them all.
My man Viktor is the one who is 3 back. He hasn't had much luck with the putter and if it heats up he is a chance to take on Scottie. But it is Schefflers to lose.
Cmon BDV!
After 9 holes.on Saturday, Viktor was only 1 back after a Scheffler triple bogey. After 10 holes, he was still only. 1 back.
And that was that.
Scheffler was able to rally back with birdies on the back and card a -1 for the day and sit at 10 under.
Unfortunately for Vik, he played the last 8 holes.in 6 over to absolutely destroy his tournament and my heart.
He sits at -1 and now 9 back of Scheffler,.who has a 4 shot lead on the field and looks to win his 5th tournament this year.
Oh well. Back to the drawing board with the US Open next week.
Missing a 1 footer on the last!
In the China Open, he shoots E for the last day while everyone goes low at least -4. He loses by 2 shots.
Before that start, he has a 3rd at the Porsche Open and a 2nd at the Hero Indian Open.
He must win soon for his mental state.!!
Hovland finished at +2 and T15. He actually got to the winning number of -8 after 8 holes on Saturday.
It was a case of the operation was a success but the patient died. He was the pick this week and after 44 holes it was looking good. Alas, golf kicked in and that was that.
Scheffler now has 5 PGA tour wins this year. He could have a 10 win year at this stage. Hear me out
He is $4 favorite for the US Open, the tougher it is, the bigger the gap he puts on them
He'll play the Olympics, a 60 man no cut event where half the field are unknowns.
He'll win at least one of the two lead ups to the Tour championship and then take out the championship with a big lead.
You'd think he would be a winner of either the Scottish Open and/or Open in the UK.
That's 10. That would be unbelievable in this day in age.
More soon on the US Open.
I've already had a bet. I've taken the TAbTouch special for 5 units with a 10% boost to 18.60 and money back within 10 shots. The name.of that man. Collin Morikawa. To win 93 units back.
Update YTD -61.4 units (5 on Collin and ofcourse still have 5 units on Mon Woo Lee all year)
Good luck
Gilgamesh likes this post.
Thoughts and suggestions soon!
Gilgamesh likes this post.
With a win this week, he will be 5th all time in money
Also, if he does win, his earnings this year will place him in the top 50 all time as well!
thefalcon likes this post.
The US Open has been contested at this venue 3 times previous.
The total number of players to play the 4 rounds under par stands at 4. In total. Ever.
Such is the USGAs thirst for protecting par, this year, it would be very surprising to see more than a couple under win this thing, if not a couple.over.
If you've been following things this week, it's all about the fairways and greens. Firstly, there is no rough. It's fairway and the waste area. That's it. You miss a fairway and you are in the kaka. There are little.qire bushes everywhere in the sand. Because of the length of the place, a miss means generally a layup, making par a hard task.
Then there's the greens which have been likened to turtle backs. Again, no step cut etc around the green, it's fairway into green. The waste area.
And if that wasn't enough, the greens are currently running at 13.5 on the stimp meter.
For those uninitiated, 11 is very fast.
You miss a short landing area in the metre of the green and you will roll off the green into trouble.
This will be one of the hardest tests in golf for these players.
So what to do.
Scheffler is the best player by a mile,.the most patient and the best plotter around the course. He is $4 and to be honest, with the way things happen are, he is a bet at that number of you go one out.
I'm not that brave, even though recent history suggests that bravery will be rewarded when it comes to Scottie.
So that leaves really to me 3 other blokes.
Schauffele, Morikawa and Bryson.
Schauffele ultra consistent all year and is guaranteed *** a top 10. He finds a way and at $2.10 that could be an option.
Bryson has been awesome in the first two majors this year. He is the best at LIV currently and at $19 might be worth a stab.
I've elected for Morikawa, who has also been ultra competitive in majors and signature events of late, just getting beaten at Memorial by Scottie. He has the driving accuracy to give himself the best opportunity to capitalize on his iron play. And that's what I'll do with the Tab money back special to get within 10 shots of the winner at 18.60.
This will be more of a fascinating watch for me this week and expect a ton of carnage and over par golf.
Good viewing!
Morikawa at even par with 3 birdies, a single and a double bogey. You just get absolutely punished if you miss a fairway or green.
The course is separating the men from the boys.
If I was to dive in now certainly Rory and DeChambeau both at 5.50 would be a play.
More after round 3!
He is $1.84 to win now.
I liked him at $19.
I liked him at $8.50.
I liked him at 5.50.
Alas, not a sheckle on him.
Morikawa had the round of the day with a 66 but his day 2 74 is going to be his undoing.
Should be a great last round with Rory lurking as well as Cantlay.