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Order of entry is updated I think. Ashrun at 23
Thunderstruck likes this post.
Hope you're well. I got Ashrun at $101 and $51 - both bets made on Bet356. Ability wise he probably lacks some in terms of comparing him to the main contenders but he will drop to 51.5kg in the Melbourne Cup, has already placed twice from 3 starts at 3000m (in Europe) and ran in the 2020 Melbourne Cup....finishing 10th...only 4.8 lengths away form the winner Twilight Payment. Two things were against Ashrun in 2020:
1. He won the Group 3 Hotham Stakes (2500m) on Victoria Derby Day to get guaranteed a spot in the Melbourne Cup, however this meant he had to back up into the Cup 3 days later, and according to this article it flattered the horse: https://www.racenet.com.au/news/geelong-cup-result-and-replay-amades-blowout-win-20231025
2. During running in that 2020 Melbourne Cup, Ashrun was 20th at the 800m mark, 17th at the 400m mark and ended up running 10th, so he really flew home and finished well, he carried 53kg in that Cup....3 days prior, he won the Hotham Stakes and carried 61kg.
Probably what's against Ashrun is his lack of ability but also he is an 8 year old. But he hasn't raced much (due to being off the scene with injury).
We will have to wait and see how he goes in the Cup. At the generous odds he is worth having a few dollars each way and also its a credit to the team at the Maher/Eustace stable for getting him back from injury.
Thunderstruck likes this post.
This price is very good I feel also, it's unknown if he could possibly win but he has some advantages this year as you point out.
Nice 13 day break till the cup this time, drops 5kgs and though you could question the bunched finish and Amade winning at Geelong he will be further improved for that run.
Great effort for him to be back racing at a high level and only 17 starts so very lightly raced due to said long absence.
I'm also on Virtuous Circle at $110, he lost some cred in the same race but may be better at and also drops 4kgs.
So, two spec chances at big odds and you just never know what can happen on the day.Bonus is not much money spent but will get a very good collect if a jag were to happen.
Full disclosure I also lunched some $$ on Goldman who I backed for the place, he went backwards fast the further he went into the prep and rightly so the pin was pulled, those are the risks..no complaints.
Keep this link safe and refer to it. It updates live / as soon as it can in regards to Melbourne Cup Order of Entry.
It has been reflected today to show that Francesco Guardi is out of the Melbourne Cup.
https://racingaustralia.horse/FreeFields/Weights.aspx?Key=2023Nov07,VIC,Flemington
SLIPPERGOLDEN likes this post.
I thought he did enough and stuck on real well off a reasonably tough run and post race it seems he agrees.
Pretty much confirmed VAD will have another crack and drops to 53 kgs this year good to see, I'll always have a soft spot for this big beautiful chestnut.
oldhendo likes this post.
I see United Nations is 32nd in the Order of Entry...
Lunar Flare - retired.
https://www.racing.com/news/2023-10-28/news-lth-lunar-flares-career-cut-short-281023?fbclid=IwAR2eP8xfVrpm8XuOq_cGa8vxnFJNpXrCMdlWMBjQg_G2DGRjEfbumsCzf9s
thefalcon likes this post.
https://twitter.com/ciaronmaher/status/1718169382533337533?t=-L_ItnQPFtbYGW6U_YpoVg&s=19
https://twitter.com/ciaronmaher/status/1718177850506019123?t=orDFy7mDxrRsyLG9zcHaxw&s=19
Zahra Rode 4 winners was on fire all day, so maybe the rail path was the way to go but i didn't think he gave GT much of a chance.Perhaps a wide and sustained run would have cooked him at the end of the day, plus I'm only a grandstand jockey.
A little sidenote, Bet365 offered a boosted $2.25(up from 1.44)for him to ride at least ONE WINNER lol
They Don't lose anything with Jmac on, he knows how to get a high weighted galloper home in the big one.
https://www.racingvictoria.com.au/news/2023-10-30/cleveland-receives-melbourne-cup-penalty-after-memorable-first-australian-win
Also included in this article is updated Cup order of entry
Thunderstruck, SLIPPERGOLDEN, thefalcon likes this post.
Mick Price was very impressed with Vauban who is working very well I read.Gave the stablemate a fair beating for what that's worth.
Reason I'd like to see United Nations get in Slip is it might see Carleen Hefel get a ride in the race given they were happy to put her on in the CC.
SLIPPERGOLDEN likes this post.
Might just back a few of @SLIPPERGOLDEN tips and have a few mysteries as usual. Been lucky last 3 years with the old mystery bets.
SLIPPERGOLDEN likes this post.
Thunderstruck likes this post.
Lane could indeed do well with Breakup whom is yet to nab a Melbourne cup out of the big three in Victoria.
Could be on a high too 3 days after a potential Golden Eagle win in Sydney.
detonator likes this post.
The winner of Race 2 at Flemington, G3 Archer Stakes (Hotham) at 2500m gets a guaranteed entry into the Cup.
https://racingaustralia.horse/FreeFields/Weights.aspx?Key=2023Nov07,VIC,Flemington
Who do you like of the 5 with a win You're in chance PC?
Toppie probably has the class but 5 kgs is a chunk o weight to concede to a few others.Interpretation gets bounced still if one of these horses win I assume.
My blackbooker Speak is in the race, Moroney scr him from the Bendigo cup.Not a cup contender this year but goes ok and could be a sneaky upset chance in this contest I reckon.Maher/Eustace will be cheering for it i'm sure.
The old boy is going pretty well I'll probably have something on for nostalgia but he also isn't hopeless with 53 kgs.
Manchild likes this post.