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NRL 2017

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  • The_Real_PetermanThe_Real_Peterman    192 posts
    The should win even though Parra got a lot closer than the scores suggested last time. I just don't think they have any right to start fav until they win something.
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  • BlacksAFakeBlacksAFake    2,375 posts
    Favourite on ability alone nothing else,bit like Warriors last night
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  • The_Real_PetermanThe_Real_Peterman    192 posts
    edited May 2017
    They need to fall behind in a game and finish over the top of a team. Once that happens they will string a few wins together. When they are 'on' there's no side that can stop them.
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  • BlacksAFakeBlacksAFake    2,375 posts
    Easy money $1.60 :-B
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  • The_Real_PetermanThe_Real_Peterman    192 posts
    edited May 2017
    The Raiders need to make changes or they won't be competitive. Parra got pumped by the Roosters last week and Norman was on the field for the first half when the game was lost. Add him to that Eels side and they win tonight.
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  • The_Real_PetermanThe_Real_Peterman    192 posts
    Ridersonthestorm33 said:

    Panthers better than $3 to make the eight now. I went a year too soon and may have a bit unlucky not to collect last season when they did sneak a few wins to snaffle a top eight position. What do you think The Real Peterman...can Penrith make the eight ?

    Bryce Cartwright out for 3-4 months with injury. Not sure how much that affects their chances but I don't really consider him a true member of the 'spine'. Does Moylan shift to five eighth now I wonder? 

    Ridersonthestorm33 likes this post.

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  • The_Real_PetermanThe_Real_Peterman    192 posts
    @Ridersonthestorm33 Josh Mansour is due to be back next week after rupturing his ACL late last year. That gives the Panthers options and means it's likely Moylan will shift to five eighth and either Mansour or one of the wingers will move to fullback. 

    Ridersonthestorm33 likes this post.

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  • Ridersonthestorm33Ridersonthestorm33    10,809 posts
    Panthers into $2.50 for the eight. Beat the Bulldogs this week and will drop further. Big if though.
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  • The_Real_PetermanThe_Real_Peterman    192 posts
    edited May 2017
    At the beginning of the season I thought The Raiders and Panthers would contest the grand final. Now they may battle it out for 8th spot and the GF is almost impossible to get to from there. The Raiders keep releasing players and the speculation is (a) they want to sign someone before June 30 or (b) they have salary cap issues. They have re-signed Jack Wighton though, which is great for the future but what about this year? 

    Personally, I'd like to see Jack move elsewhere in the backline(centre or five eighth) and Rapana go to fullback. Rapana runs the ball back hard-something Wighton doesn't do. So it makes the Raiders less predictable. Rapana also busts more tackles than a porn star busts nuts.


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  • Ridersonthestorm33Ridersonthestorm33    10,809 posts
    edited May 2017
    @TRP What's your thoughts on Game One State Of Origin...since the completion of last years series thought NSW might be a good betting proposition this time around. Fixed odds here basically have it $1.91 take your pick. Now looking on paper ( a dangerous thing sometimes in punting because no game is ever played 'on paper' ) NSW appear to have the stronger team...have bookmakers got this market correct ? Or should NSW be shorter in the betting.

    hash likes this post.

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  • The_Real_PetermanThe_Real_Peterman    192 posts
    I hate betting on Origin for the reason you outlined-it's more a game of grit than skill. It's played in QLD so on that score they probably deserve to be favs but I think NSW can cause a boilover. Leave me out of betting though. I've been burned before.

    I was sunk in extra time by a 41m field goal on one occasion where I backed QLD and when I backed NSW  I sweated on a Lote Tuqiri missed conversion just so I could get half my stake back for a draw when 2 mins earlier I was counting my cash after NSW scored b-(

    Ridersonthestorm33, hash likes this post.

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  • Ridersonthestorm33Ridersonthestorm33    10,809 posts
    Yes we should have a special thread with hard luck stories betting on sports...just the other day backed Boston Celtics in the run with a 32.5 head start against the Cavaliers....with just seconds to go 30 points the difference...the game well and truly over...only way to lose was Cavs score a three pointer and Boston take it down and miss...those two things happened..margin goes from 30-33 and stays there. Game over.
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  • The_Real_PetermanThe_Real_Peterman    192 posts
    Have you seen the Brett Hodgson pass that started the QLD dynasty? NSW were leading with 7 mins to go
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  • The_Real_PetermanThe_Real_Peterman    192 posts

    Ridersonthestorm33 likes this post.

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  • hashhash    7,495 posts
    i'm a mad QLD fan and can say my money will be on the Blues for the series, too many big outs and changes for the Maroons this year.

    if NSW can pinch game one in QLD then the series will be over imo and a possible whitewash

    i'm not sure what the total game score will be set at but if it's anywhere around 32-24 i'd be taking the under with confidence, the first couple game are always close and low scoring
    my prediction for game 1 is NSW 16 - QLD 10 give or take a couple points either way.

    One absolute certainty in betting is the "time of first try market" 9th minute or later is a lock.
    tabtouch have it at 9 minutes or later yet every other bookie has it at the 8th minute or later @ $1.50 is a great multi builder.

    Ridersonthestorm33 likes this post.

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  • The_Real_PetermanThe_Real_Peterman    192 posts
    @hash What chance Morgan starts instead of Milford? I always though MILF's defence was the only negative from an Origin perspective but he could play the Matty Bowen impact role off the bench. He's got to be a massive target for the NSW forwards to run at if he starts.
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  • Ridersonthestorm33Ridersonthestorm33    10,809 posts
    State of Origin has been going 37 years?!! I don't believe it. Amazing.
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  • The_Real_PetermanThe_Real_Peterman    192 posts
    edited May 2017
    Earliest memory I have is '91 when Michael O'Connor had the kick in the rain for the win.

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  • hashhash    7,495 posts
    Last 3 years 1st game has been under 26points and a team winning by 1-12.

    And in re to your question peterman, I have no idea mate sorry but I can't see Morgan replacing him at five eighth. Morgan will be busrting to get on the field though after his unlucky stint last years origin from that injury that kept him out
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  • detonatordetonator    4,382 posts
    hash said:

    i'm a mad QLD fan and can say my money will be on the Blues for the series, too many big outs and changes for the Maroons this year.


    if NSW can pinch game one in QLD then the series will be over imo and a possible whitewash

    i'm not sure what the total game score will be set at but if it's anywhere around 32-24 i'd be taking the under with confidence, the first couple game are always close and low scoring
    my prediction for game 1 is NSW 16 - QLD 10 give or take a couple points either way.

    One absolute certainty in betting is the "time of first try market" 9th minute or later is a lock.
    tabtouch have it at 9 minutes or later yet every other bookie has it at the 8th minute or later @ $1.50 is a great multi builder.

    Hash .......king of the multi's
    The assistant coach of the Blues sounded pretty confident of winning game one at Suncorp on the radio this morning.
    Even though my head says not a game to bet on with any confidence, I am sure I will weaken at some point tomorrow and back N.S.W.
    I have no discipline when it comes to the punt. [-X
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  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    Also favour the blues but never underestimate those qld mf's, they own the origin in the 21st century...
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  • The_Real_PetermanThe_Real_Peterman    192 posts
    edited May 2017
    Ridersonthestorm33 said:

    Yes we should have a special thread with hard luck stories betting on sports

    This is the game I was talking about. Jason Moodie never played Origin again after this 'shirt grab'. It makes me ill just watching the replay. Strangely he's defending in the centres, whilst Shaun Timmins is on the wing(it should have been the other way around) I can't remember the reason for that.


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  • Ridersonthestorm33Ridersonthestorm33    10,809 posts
    edited May 2017
    Think the bookies gave the NSW punters a 'free kick' on Origin game one...basically around $1.90 take your pick was generous. The Tabcorp bookmaker rep even said the most heavily backed wager has been NSW to win by over 12 which was unusual in a 50/50 game. Punters on the whole got this one right.
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  • TiversTivers    7,720 posts
    edited June 2017
    Most over rated sporting event I've attended, since a 13 innings nil all draw MLB game I sat through at Yankee Stadium.

    Didn't have the atmosphere of a Richmond / Collingwood et al AFL regular season home game, never mind better than the AFL Grand Final as some claimed in advance......

    Anyway - been there, done that.
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  • therealkramertherealkramer    8,008 posts
    @Tivers Are you talking about the entire game or just the 2nd half? It looked a good contest before NSW scored a minute prior to the break.
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  • TiversTivers    7,720 posts
    As an event I mean. Atmosphere etc.
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  • therealkramertherealkramer    8,008 posts
    @Ridersonthestorm33 Penrith looked pretty good today. I hope you are on for them to make the eight?
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  • Ridersonthestorm33Ridersonthestorm33    10,809 posts
    edited June 2017
    Yes @trk had a nibble about four weeks ago at $3.20 to try to help pay for last years mistake of backing them to miss the eight. There now $2.30 but still nine teams shorter in prices to make the eight before them. But that can change! Gees they've given me a roller coaster ride over two seasons whether barracking against them or for them especially for somebody who never really followed the NRL having a couple of long term bets does gets you hooked.

    therealkramer likes this post.

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  • Ridersonthestorm33Ridersonthestorm33    10,809 posts
    edited June 2017
    Panthers only tenth favourite to make the eight however equal sixth favourite for premiership. That's all the early money on them pre-season , also I guess if they make it they may have momentum to become a threat.
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  • therealkramertherealkramer    8,008 posts
    I honestly think they are better with Cartwright out injured if it means Moylan plays five eighth. How good are NSW travelling when Moylan can't get a look in?
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