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R1: Fraught with danger not going the leader but I thought No12 Bettor Be Chevron had the class to beat these. She probably isn’t racing as well as she can but I thought an early speed battle from 1-4 would be enough to set it up for her. If they ease off she can move into it, if not sit sprint. Thought No5 My Platinum Belle was the main danger, if she was a little bit quicker out I’d have her on top but just think she will cover a bit too much ground early causing her to feel the pinch late. No10 Glenferrie Arch is definitely a player but does she get caught up behind some of these? My guess is yes.Tip: No12 Bettor Be Chevron. QD: 5,10,12. FF:5,12/1,3,5,10,12/1,3,5,10,11,12/1,3,5,7,10,11,12. 100% for $128 is probably far too big a spend but happy to have a crack at a small percentage.

R2: Bit of a throw at the stumps with No11 Courage Tells. Thought Shes Artful would hold up, Courage Tells would drop 3 back the fence, Wabi Sabi would give Dana Duke the 1,1 and Qtown Riproaring would be on his back. That scenario or something similar Courage Tells 3 back the fence can be very dangerous this grade. Others mentioned are the first four players along with Responder who I like but unfortunately for him he struggles to quicken and Irockmyworld who can follow the pegs. Tip: No11 Courage Tells. QD:2,3,11. FF:2,3,11/1,2,3,11/1,2,3,11/1,2,3,4,10,11,12. 100% for $72.

R3: Probably wrong but I’m genuinely expecting Maczaffair, Vultin Tin and Shandale all to have a red hot crack at keeping out Bettors Fire which should make for a great race. For sake of a tip I will go Shandale to keep on improving with racing, no punt other than going wide in the early quad and cheering for Copagrin! Tip: No4 Shandale. QD:2,3,4,5,6,7.

R4: No3 Eagle Rox my best of the night, think she breezes, controls it and wins. Im Master Charlie likely to cross the stablemate to give them both their best chance of an earn. Art Keeper looked like he was plodding but did break 28 home only sprinting from the turn last week so 3 back getting the gaps he will be dangerous. Trustytrev will be well back on the fence but will be rattling home into the back end of the money. Tip: No3 Eagle Rox. QD:2,3,10. FF:3,10/2,3,10/1,2,3,10,12/1,2,3,10,11,12. 100% costs $36 but could shorten that right up.

R5:
In order to get across I thought Lady De La Renta would have to get revved up and it would still take her a while which COULD bring her undone, certainly a risk at the price. Expecting Orphan Reactor to hand up but not immediately and Our Major Mama to breeze, opposite her winning form of late but has to be driven that way here IMO and can win. The one at the price and getting the sleepers run will be Captured Delight. She is more than up to them off this trip, nice and patient, the gaps will come and she can go past the favoured runners.
Tip: No10 Captured Delight, QD:4,6,10.

R6: If Ohoka Darcy had drawn inside Billy Mac I would have been very keen but with the draws I’m expecting Billy Mac to want to keep the breeze and thus be the key to the race. Whenmechief gets his chance to lead and win one here if he’s good enough. Soho Wonder will probably cross Say It Now and sit in a beautiful position but I’m not sure it’s good enough. Risk is the bit of class but I think it might be the one who gets hit hardest by Billy Mac being aggressively driven. I’ll tip Ohoka Darcy but with the draws am relying on the master AC Lewis, not a bad spot to be! Tip: No6 Ohoka Darcy. QD:1,6,9.

R7: Some lovely horses to own in this but I’m of the opinion it might be a bit of a non-event and they show Mister Shark the ultimate respect, unchallenged to the lead and away he goes. Soho Leviathan does have solid gate speed but I don’t think he’s good enough to burn over these and not get run over at the end so I think they will adopt the fight another day strategy. Going to take Mister Versace just in case there is a chink in the armour, Voak kind of hinted in his interview he would drive aggressive but that was Tuesday and I suspect they may have reassessed.
Tip: No3 Mista Shark. QD:1,3.

R8: He’s not foolproof but I do expect Lord Willoughby to lead. Should go close from there. I’m Rockaria’s trial reads great but he hasn’t been one of mine along the journey. They stand out from a quad perspective but my betting interest has waned over the last few races.
Tip: No1 Lord Willoughby. QD:1,5.

R9:
Estilo and Kaptain Kenny are both going to want Tisadream’s back so it could see him working a bit early. It should win but that slight chance of early work gives Arthur Lowe a chance, he has his foot on the till with an ounce of luck. Looking to play it anchoring those two with the 1,2 who could get the nice run and the 11,12 who are a bit of class compered to others with the 4,7 in the back end.
Tip: No3 Tisadream. FF:3,10/3,10/1,2,11,12/1,2,4,7,11,12. 100% costs $40.

R10: Brookies Jet and Rich Yankee contest the lead, think Brookie holds up and is competitive. I thought No8 Ardens Concord could work his way up on to the pace and dominate the event. Bravo Tex’s last run needs to be respect, he probably wants to do something similar to Ardens Concord so it could mean tempo on. If Lightning Jolt can settle he is a massive danger, he will be smashing the line and probably the way I will go just looking at some of the early markets. Ideal Flipflop follows it through. One more run for Suspicious Life but just with thought of an up tempo event I’ll slot him in.
Tip: No10 Lightning Jolt. Tri: 8,10,12/2,8,10,12/2,8,9,10,11,12. 100% costs $36.

Going far too wide in most of the novelties bar R4 and tend to miss the wide ones and get the skinny ones so should put all my eggs in one basket. Will however be playing something along the lines of those bets as well as multis with Bettor Be Chevron (W), Courage Tells (EW), Eagle Rox (W), Captured Delight (EW), Ohoka Darcy (EW), Arthur Lowe (plc), Lightning Jolt (EW).

Comments

  • MarkovinaMarkovina    3,065 posts
    Fantastic preview
  • OnTheBridleOnTheBridle    38 posts
    You're missing Tommy Be Good in your Quaddie.
  • rooster321rooster321    186 posts
    Don’t mind a couple at good ew odds tonight
    Dreadlock rockstar
    Menalous of Sparta
  • VillageKidVillageKid    2,317 posts
    Race 1- Bettor Be Chevron
    Race 2- One For Sassy
    Race 3- Maczaffair
    Race 4- Eagle Rox
    Race 5- Our Major Mama
    Race 6- Ohoka Darcy
    Race 7- Mista Shark
    Race 8- Tommy Be Good
    Race 9- Tisadream
    Race 10- Bravo Tex
  • Rocket_ReignRocket_Reign    900 posts
    Bettor B Chevron
    Responder
    Bettors Fire
    Eagle Rox
    Miss Sangrial
    Whenmechief
    Mista Shark
    Lord Willoughby
    Estillo place
    Bravo Tex
  • ChrisChris    5,376 posts
    A full-length Gilga preview

    Gilgamesh, jum likes this post.

  • GilgameshGilgamesh    4,972 posts
    Chris said:

    A full-length Gilga preview




    Time on my hands haha.
  • GilgameshGilgamesh    4,972 posts
    So Kyle Harper gives back his drivers fee on Trustytrev? Fair dinkum good horses on pace means go to THE FENCE Kyle.

    AbbysAce dislikes this post.

  • AbbysAceAbbysAce    630 posts
    Gilgamesh said:

    So Kyle Harper gives back his drivers fee on Trustytrev? Fair dinkum good horses on pace means go to THE FENCE Kyle.

    Would have ran top 3 if he went to rail, 
    Brain dead
  • Ridersonthestorm33Ridersonthestorm33    10,809 posts
    edited May 2018
    Race One. 1 & 10 first and third. Trifecta $6,047.50 First Four $13,247.90
    Race Six. 1 & 10 first and third. Trifecta $565.10 First Four $5,502.00

    Keep it very quiet 1 & 10 at Headquarters is Australia's best kept secret :-$

    Trustytrev : next start let us know if running Gilgamesh. Will win! ( just watched replay ).
  • Ridersonthestorm33Ridersonthestorm33    10,809 posts
    edited May 2018
    Could be a bit hard to follow in Melbourne and ran many placings after showing some early promise, but he was massive tonight Dominate The Dojo.Normally with the odds on fave clapping the speed on the breeze horse drops out, when they stick on like that there worth following.
    No luck again Neighlor.

    Unlucky Rocket with the place on Estilo...only nosed out late, every chance but needed Tisadream to stack them up a little more, but at the same time ya wouldn't credit Dominate The Dojo fighting on like a caged cougar.
  • Ridersonthestorm33Ridersonthestorm33    10,809 posts
    edited May 2018
    33/1 Ideal Flip Flop :-? There's a race for him somewhere. But will pass on him tonight.
  • Ridersonthestorm33Ridersonthestorm33    10,809 posts
    The Flip Flop ran about 6th widest runner...he's in front about 10 metres after the line. Pelting home. But was saved up for one burst at them, only a little guy and nothing wrong with the run.
  • curmudgeoncurmudgeon    2,417 posts
    Lady De La Renta had to go forward and apply the acid in last weeks Oaks....going back was a travesty....in hindsight now of course but perhaps an Oaks that got away.. She was never in doubt going forward last night ....looks like she just has to be driven to leave nothing in the tank to produce her best and cause some heartburn for the rest of the competitors.

  • rooster321rooster321    186 posts
    Geez if you blokes are potting Kyle harpers drive what about the drive on hot fraternity

    PackedMetalPanda likes this post.

  • AbbysAceAbbysAce    630 posts

    Geez if you blokes are potting Kyle harpers drive what about the drive on hot fraternity

    I didnt back Hot Fraternity, I was on Trusty Trev at $61 and $10 the place
  • curmudgeoncurmudgeon    2,417 posts
    Geez if you blokes are potting Kyle harpers drive what about the drive on hot fraternity



    You snooze you lose
  • OnTheBridleOnTheBridle    38 posts
    Or Art Keeper for that matter...
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