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Gloucester Park Golden Slipper night
Harness & Greyhounds
Gilgamesh
4,972 posts
Thought I'd get the discussion started really early.
As a first look I think Soho Interceptor will play a big part on who wins this race (not it). I see two options, they concede they probably aren't going well enough and just let it all happen or they decide they want to keep a forward spot in the moving line not just letting Dracarys across it creating a concertina effect having everything work that bit harder outside it. That scenario I give Bletchley Park a massive chance of getting off late and taking it out. I have to say I would have been more confident with Dylan on or Mark being further into his racing return.
If she does come out in neutral though then Dracarys gets over easy, sits on Too Fast Too Serious making it look very hard for Bletchley Park to get out. That scenario obviously sets it up for Franco Edward but I also do give the filly a chance even though it seems widely accepted the boys are better (hard to argue on times but I loved her 3 wide solo run at pinj). I concede not having seen her in the flesh she does look tiny on the box.
Or does Too Fast Too Serious roll the dice and have a crack for the top? Aldo version2.0 is a far more aggressive driver since teaming up with Warwick, think the sport is all the better for it.
As a first look I think Soho Interceptor will play a big part on who wins this race (not it). I see two options, they concede they probably aren't going well enough and just let it all happen or they decide they want to keep a forward spot in the moving line not just letting Dracarys across it creating a concertina effect having everything work that bit harder outside it. That scenario I give Bletchley Park a massive chance of getting off late and taking it out. I have to say I would have been more confident with Dylan on or Mark being further into his racing return.
If she does come out in neutral though then Dracarys gets over easy, sits on Too Fast Too Serious making it look very hard for Bletchley Park to get out. That scenario obviously sets it up for Franco Edward but I also do give the filly a chance even though it seems widely accepted the boys are better (hard to argue on times but I loved her 3 wide solo run at pinj). I concede not having seen her in the flesh she does look tiny on the box.
Or does Too Fast Too Serious roll the dice and have a crack for the top? Aldo version2.0 is a far more aggressive driver since teaming up with Warwick, think the sport is all the better for it.
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Might be a case of knocking but cant find one to beat him I think.
Gloucester Park
Race 1
1 – CHANGE OF ADDRESS has the speed to hold the lead in the
early stages and he stuck on stoutly behind Handsandwheels last time out, who
since vindicated that form reference with an effortless win here last week. 10
– ADDFUELTOFIRE is flying under the radar and performing better than
numerically suggested and will secure a dream run here. 11 – LISHARRY was
unsuitably positioned in the moving line last time and tonight will drop to the
pegs and opt for a suck run where he can come through late into a potential
place. 2 – ROCKIN THE BOYS has gate speed but can’t cross 1 – CHANGE OF ADDRESS
unless Jocelyn Young decides to hand up. Still in the novelty mix regardless
and 7 – A BIT RUTHLESS was an eye-catching effort last time in stronger company
but won’t have the aid of the pegs on this occasion. 12 – CHEVRONS CHAMPION has
no luck last time and will improve here.
Selections: 1-10-11-2
Race 2
Tough race. 3 – THE
STORM CHIEF got out and looked dangerous last time but couldn’t quite get
there. Will need all the breaks to go his way but in an open race he appeals at
long odds. 1 – DODOLICIOUS draws to lead and has been running consistently
without winning. Will find this class more viable. 10 – YOUR EXCUSED will get a
good run and is super consistent. 9 – FERNLEIGH REBEL flew last week but will
most probably find it too tough out there. 5
- TISADREAM needs to find his best again as he’s seemed disinterested
his last couple but if he does he could well force submission on his
opposition. 8 – WALKINSHAW has been working like a train and still battling
away. He has class so he can’t be discounted. 2 – QTOWN RIP ROARING and 11 –
DOMINATE THE DOJO will find good spots and be in the thick of it at the end.
Selections: 3-1-5-8
Race 3
Market suggests that 2 – WHENMECHIEF leads here and
continues his search for an all the way success. However, Eden Franco sat
outside him and gave him windburn when he tried to sustain a staying test over
2130m and steps up to the longer trip here. With that in mind, 8 – IDEAL TYSON
is probably a better horse than Eden Franco and with a milder tempo set up
front he can breeze and overpower them. If the lead was up for grabs that would
be even better. 1 – BAD ROUND was my
original leader and can possibly hold 2 – WHENMECHIEF but he too should
eventually submit to 8 – IDEAL TYSON. 9 – VAMPIRO is going well, emphasised by
his personal mile of sub-1:52.5 last week but will have to come from behind 8 –
IDEAL TYSON to beat him, which is no mean feat. 11 – BRONZE SEEKER is capable
of finding his way into novelty calculations. 6 – BHAGWAN is in career best
form and can find his way into an exotic spot. 7 – ARDEN’S CONCORD, 10 –
EXTREME PRINCE and 12 – I’M ROCKARIA likewise however will all need some pace
on to figure.
Selections: 8-9-2-1
Race 4
The champ 9 – CHICAGO BULL produced a fine trial at Byford
on Sunday to indicate he’s somewhere near his peak and can handle this field. I’m
certain he will improve for the run and won’t be fully wound up but it shouldn’t
matter. 7 – THE BUCKET LIST is an ATM and just consistently earns week in, week
out. 6 – CUT FOR AN ACE is a veteran but is racing in terrific form and will
not disgrace himself. 1 – I’M LISART is in career best form and is a smokey for
exotics along with 3 - JOHNNY FOX. 5 – DEVENDRA looks a likely leader and will
be in the mix for a long way.
Selections: 9-7-6-3
Race 5
1 – SOHO THUNDERSTRUCK draws to lead and be in it for a long
way but I question his class. 3 – DRACARYS has faultless form but I feel might
struggle against the boys late but she won’t disgrace herself. 7 – SHOCKWAVE can
breeze the entire way and still be fighting at the end. He is an incredibly
versatile and talented horse and will be right in the thick of it. 8 – BABYFACE
ADDA has a cruel draw but if everything goes its way it can figure in the
finish at an astronomical price. 10 – BLETCHLEY PARK has an indifferent draw.
He will get the run of the race but he may never see daylight. If he gets out
he should win but Jnr will never let him out. 11 – FRANCO EDWARD was beaten on
his merits by 10 – BLETCHLEY PARK last week but looked to have plenty left and
is still learning his craft. He has an esoteric x-factor foreign in the other
runners that makes him dangerous.
Selections: 11-7-10-8
Race 6
Should be a case of 3 – THEREUGO leading and winning but he
isn’t always to be trusted. 9 – CHOK CHAI is extremely talented and will make a
good fist of it although first up off a break. He will have to work but will be
in with a fighting chance late. 1 – I’M SOXY should sit leaders back and stay
there. 8 – REMARKABLE is going extremely well he just can’t take a trick. 10 –
THE FREEDOM FIGHTER can’t do any more than win but finds a different kettle of
fish here. 11 – BEAU’S MYSTERY was a strong winner on Monday but will find this
harder.
Selections: 3-9-1-10
Race 7
2 – SUSIE ROCKS should lead and be given every chancy by the
front-running master and turned in a strong performance last time. 8 – MILLVIEW
SIENNA will have to sit outside her as per usual and she will be in it the
whole way and will appreciate coming back to mares grade. 1 – SEA ME SMILE will
sit leaders’ back which is probably her favourite spot and be thereabouts
although her last run was far from encouraging. 7 – THE SPINSTER has a
dangerous sprint and with 8 – MILLVIEW SIENNA most likely applying pressure she
could have terms run to suit. 10 – SOHO CHANGELING can follow the pegs home, 11
– I’M STYLISH had little luck last time and was a good run suggesting she
should go close from a decent draw. 12 – GLENFERRIE ARCH will appreciate coming
back to mares grade and can’t be discounted.
Selections: 2-8-1-11
Race 8
Tricky one. 1 – ALLWOOD’S ROCKNROLL surprised some when
getting up to win at long odds off a soft trip last week. However, the win was
strong and he will secure an even better run here with a positive driver change
also assisting his cause. 2 – SPEED MAN has the best record in the race but
trialled just fairly and condition gave out late when narrowly going under. He
should lead and at least be in it for a long way. 3 – ROBB STARK had a massive
class edge first up in WA and needed it given his torrid trip but had the class
to prevail. 4 – KOHLI showed a marked return to form last time and would need
the breaks but is a player. 6 – MEGA MOOLAH was a good winner at Pinjarra and
should stand up here however this is harder. 7 – BEE SEVENTEEN pulled hard last
week and potentially cost itself the race when it was claimed late. 9 – ROCK ME
OVER can sustain a long sprint and while his recent form isn’t as numerically
pleasing as expected he has faced little luck. Again bad luck has thwarted his
draw but he can still be in it. 10 – FIZZING looks a place best from there. 11 –
OUR CORELLI faced older horses and beat them last time and should get a decent
run through.
Selections: 2-3-1-4
Race 9
2 – SWIMBETWEENTHEFLAGS, I think, should find the front from
1 – ANOTHER AYJAY soon after the start. I think this is in the best interests
of both involved. From here I anticipate that 2 – SWIMBETWEENTHEFLAGS should be
the one to beat and 1 – ANOTHER AYJAY to be a place player. 8 – ROCK DIAMONDS
represents the class but will have to overcome the 30m handicap and has shown
vulnerability from the stand in the past. 7 – I’M MASTER CHARLIE continues to
race well along with 3 – COURAGE TELLS and 5 – ALWAYS ARJAY. I’m sure Richie
will mix up 1 – ANOTHER AYJAY and 5 – ALWAYS ARJAY at some stage.
Selections: 2-8-7-5
Race 10
I’m hoping that with greater vigour 2 – DECIPHER THIS can
find the front and be hard to beat. If she finds the front she should win. She
hasn’t a great deal of early pace to date however she hasn’t been hard-pressed
out as yet. 11 – NOUVELLE ANNEE put in a spirited bid last time but couldn’t go
on with it in a 27.2 final quarter. 12 – GOLD RIVER is another who has claims
and continues to be around the mark. 1 – MOTOR ON JESSIE is probably a place
best option. 5 – NONCHALANT STROLL is getting fitter and I’ll throw it in courtesy
of an outstanding driver change.
Selections: 2-11-12-1
I’m not as keen as I have been in recent weeks but there
should be some good competitive racing if nothing else.
BEST BETS:
Race 1 1 – CHANGE OF ADDRESS ($3.30)
Race 3 8 – IDEAL TYSON ($2.40)
Race 7 2 – SUSIE ROCKS ($4.80)
Race 9 2 – SWIMBETWEENTHEFLAGS ($6.50)
Race 10 2 – DECIPHER THIS ($3.80)
BEST VALUE
Race 5 7 – SHOCKWAVE ($15/$2.75)
Race 8 1 – ALLWOODS ROCKNROLL; place ($7)
BEST ROUGHIE
Race 2 3 – THE STORM CHIEF ($67/$9)
Source, Gilgamesh, curmudgeon likes this post.
R6: No1 Im Soxy on a 3/5 basis.
R7: No2 Suzie Rocks. Best Bet. Get on. Walk in the park for Lewis. Expect Im Stylish to push through really hard on its back and keep Lady Luca 3 wide and take the sit on Millview, she is the danger. Good luck to anyone backing Millview Sienna at that price.
R8: No2 Speed Man. Wantto take him on but can't find one.
R9: No5 Always Arjay. Best EW. I just think this works out perfect for him to run to the front and keep on going.
R10: I have no idea!
Gilgamesh likes this post.
R7: No2 Suzie Rocks. Best Bet. Get on. Walk in the park for Lewis. Expect Im Stylish to push through really hard on its back and keep Lady Luca 3 wide and take the sit on Millview, she is the danger. Good luck to anyone backing Millview Sienna at those odds
How good is racing when it goes to plan!
curmudgeon, Chris, Source likes this post.
How good is racing when it goes to plan!
=D>
Gilgamesh likes this post.