GP 03/08

Gilgamesh · August 2018

For some of you these may be the ones to put a line through but i'm sticking Fat, trusting the process and only worrying about whats happening inside these four walls. (The Mrs says its OK I can have a little bit of money to play with). Results are certain to follow.
R1: No4 Extreme Prince.
I thought he could just edge out Major Pocket in the early race for the lead. He is no star but he is racing well now and can get it done leading. The Freedom Fighter looks to get around to the breeze pretty easily and is obviously a massive chance. Lesser chance to Major Pocket who will be near the speed (priced like he is just walking to the front), Argyle Red the clear class but letting it go first up and Must Be Nice for the Padberg factor. EQ: 1,4,8. FF:4,8/1,2,4,8/1,2,4,8,10/1,2,3,4,6,8,9,10,11. 100% costs $106 which is huge but 10% spend could be 10% of a lot! Extreme Prince EW.
R2: No11 Dodolicious.
Courage Tells on last week has the speed to hold up. I’m working on that happening and then waiting for Dodo to come around. Just on him looking to be an EW price I will probably have something on Courage Tells but I wouldn’t be shocked with any result here. EQ: 1,6,8,11. Courage Tells EW.
R3: No1 Robert The Bruce.
Have been waiting for this guy to get a chance to spin around on the pegs again and it looks like the corporates have been as well. Might be able to make something out of it anchoring El Machine in FFs from 3 back the pegs but it looks pretty hard to make any money from this. EQ:1 smaller play the 11.
R4: No12 Vampiro.
Whenmechief is an in and out customer. Was my original on top pick but have an inkling he may hand up to Lets chase the dream. So I’ve gone the other way and settled on the consistency and touch of class of Vampiro. He can push through on the back of the 3 and get in front of Motu Premier and realistically should beat him with that advantage. Even a blind man would have noticed Motu flashing between runners last week and is a massive class drop but as is usual he is likely to have the running of the race against him. For the risk averse punters out there Vampiro mid tote plc looks a fantastic boost along for any multis. EQ:1,3,8,12. Vampiro EW.
R5: No10 Tradie.
This fella might be way out classed but I’m looking for something similar to last week with Tyler Brett. He is likely to be 3 back with Saleahs Command crossing, Lord Willoughby breezing. I want to be on something with a sit and I think the inside just gives him an edge over Therugo who will probably be 5 deep the final bend and Kasey John who I think leads up the 3 deep line. QD: 4,6,10,11,12. Probably play some novelties leading with the backline horses.
R6: No5 Chicago Bull.
Not playing the FFA has been good for me and I’ll stick, hope to see a big run from the Bull. QD:5
R7: No3 Good Times Ahead.
Has Lightning Jolt found a couple of extra sets of legs? I knocked Camopra last week similarly (WRONG!) and while I think this guy CAN win I wouldn’t be backing him. I thought GTA just led this and wins handsomely. Some good odds have been bet (displayed anyhow). There isn’t much in it, as long as they don’t burn each other one of them should win. GTA could be a massive tumbler if my running of the race is right. QD:1,3. GTA EW.
R8: No5 Lady Luca.
Now I’m getting really brave, backing a Hayden Charles drive on a Friday night! It’s a bit like the Ian Davie driven horses 15yrs ago, he would get a winner home every now and then you just had to find them. I’ve been following this horse for some time now and I thought this was her race, Hayden can go forward early, if nothing comes she can win from the breeze, if Im Stylish comes he can zap her late. Good luck connections, go get em!!! QD:3,5,8. Lady Luca EW.
R9: No7 Liberty Rose.
I see Sportsbet saying they went up $15 innocent Affair. I thought her last win was a great step forward for her. I’m hopeful that the market support suggests she holds up which will make for a cracking race. Gone Liberty Rose as I think she is better driven ice cold and should be so here. Will only be playing if I’m playing with theirs.
R10: No1 Bee Seventeen.
Doesn’t win out of turn but is no orphan here. Deserves a win, looks the leader and winner. That said at the price he does race keenly so maybe a 1/3 bet on a horse like No11 The Great Dane 3 back the pegs is the way to play it if once again you have the houses money.
Good luck all.

rooster321 · August 2018

Don’t mind a few at decent odds tonight
Race 1 real zeal a place
Race 3 soho wonder ew
Race 7 budd sidewinder ew
Race 8 sea me smile ew

VillageKid · August 2018

Race 1- Major Pocket

Race 2- Neighlor

Race 3- Robert The Bruce

Race 4- Motu Premier

Race 5- The Kings Assassin

Race 6- Chicago Bull

Race 7- Free To Air

Race 8- Im Stylish

Race 9- Our Angel Of Harlem

Race 10- No Wow Factor

Hopefully bonny mare Bonsu can run a good race for @Ridersonthestorm33 in Race 8 from the 2 gate.

OnTheBridle · August 2018

Race 1

Expect 2 - Major Pocket should relish the return to a front-running role and lead throughout but has been well found in the market. 1 - Must Be Nice will secure an advantageous run throughout and potentially return to form. 10 - Real Zeal looks probable to follow him throughout and will be right there late. 11 - Lord Lexus can follow through four back the pegs and will defy his long odds. 6 - I'm Lisart is another who can be around the mark and the form of 8 - The Freedom Fighter can't be faulted but has had luck of late and will find this harder from the poor gate and inevitably tough run.

Race 2

A very tough race so I'll go with the toughest horse in 8 - Major Catastrophe. He looks likely to find his customary role in the death and only a month ago was threatening to win a FFA class event with the right draw so this assignment looks within his grasp. I think he can sit outside 1 - Courage Tells and grind past him. If 6 - Always Arjay were to go forward early and then get the back of 8 - Major Catastrophe then perhaps that would be his greatest chance of winning but he has drawn between barriers 3-6 at his three most recent runs from behind the mobile and been restrained on each occasion. 11 - Dodolicious worked like a train last start and still looked the winner at the turn so will appreciate a softer run here. Novelty chances can be given to 3 - Tanaka Eagle, 5 - Bronze Seeker, 10 - Millview Sienna and 12 - Arden's Concord if the breaks were to appear.

Race 3

I looked at this race and the price of 1 - Robert The Bruce and immediately acknowledged it as my lay of the night. I legitimately think it's impossible and it's $1.35. Locating the winner is the tough task. 2 - Starlight Brigade draws well and is racing well. However, the same could be said about 3 - Change Of Address and 4 - Bad Round. 6 - Soho Wonder hit the line hard last week and will certainly do so again. While drawn unfavourably 9 - The Spinster cannot be discounted at ludicrous odds.

Race 4

Although the class is drawn poorly I think perhaps it may not matter. 8 - Motu Premier will be hard to beat regardless of the run he is given. 9 - Ideal Tyson was strong when coming wide last time but just couldn't quite finish it off. 12 - Vampiro continues to race well and a success is not far away. 1 - Whenmechief's form is indifferent but based on his last performance he can be competitive. 4 - Let's Chase The Dream is consistently given his chance and fails to capitalise. 10 - Rabchenko produced a strong win last time off a decent run and can;t be left out of novelties.

Race 5

A number of these horses are coming to the end of their preparations and are a shadow of their selves of just weeks to months ago. With that said, 6 - Saleah's Comand should be peaking and looks likely to lead again in a similar field so looks a good bet. 10 - Tradie and 11 - Kasey John were the main pursuants last time off soft runs and look capable of doing so again.8 - The King's Assassin was a strong heat winner albeit from a soft run. I think 4 - Lord Willoughby would need to lead to win as his form has dropped sharply of late.

Race 6

5 - Chicago Bull. Enough said.2 - Costa Del Magnifico looks likely to run second.

Race 7

1 - Lightning Jolt has been well below his best of late and is under the odds. I think 7 - Destined To Rule is a good chance to power over the top to victory at long odds. 3 - Good Times Ahead was good last week and draws better tonight. 8 - Twentynine Twelve races well but is cruelled by the draw. I think 9 - Firebrace is the best roughie at those astronomical odds as he is going better than ever however will need sufficient luck. 10 - Budd Sidewinder is going well without winning and 12 - Beau's Mystery is in career best form but isn't suited. 5 - My Entourage probably won't win as this is, in my opinion, tougher than his last couple but continues to race over the odds.

Race 8

8 - I'm Stylish has a class edge and is the one to beat. 3 - Catastrophic Event has the draw advantage and will be prominent throughout but is odds on now. 5 - Lady Luca is a silly price and is knocking on the door for a win. 10 - Sea Me Smile is a novelty chance.

Race 9

I think 5 - Amelia's Courage will knock off the favourite with the draw advantage. Although 6 - Our Angel Of Harlem went out-of-this-world good when beaten by the aforementioned horse, I think the draw swing is too disadvantageous here. 2 - Arma Rich Girl will surprise a few and is a novelty player. 7 - Liberty Rose won't be far away.

Race 10

When I initiially saw the race I thought 1 - Bee Seventeen would win but he is very short and on review is somewhat vulnerable. 6 - Gordon is racing nicely and will put his best foot forward at good odds. 8 - No Wow Factor is in career best form and will run well again from a poor draw. 10 - Village Benny draws perfectly to place. 11 - The Great Dane has hinted at serious ability in the past and if he puts it all together tonight he would win but is immature. 12 - Lance James was an eye-catching trial in slow time.

Gilgamesh · August 2018

Real Zeal seems to have really boosted that first four which is strange as he was always m massive chance of getting into 3/4 on the back of his favourite run.

Lack of Dash early from Extreme Prince but ran an honourable race.

Gilgamesh · August 2018

R2 FF is a lovely divi.

Rocket_Reign · August 2018

No I’m Rockaria tonight = no easy lead from Whenmechief

Gilgamesh · August 2018

When you have a barren run its important to enjoy the good times ahead!

Chris · August 2018

I am in shock but bow to greatness.

Gilgamesh · August 2018

Should have gone the week Chris!

Chris · August 2018

No point getting off the horse

Chris · August 2018

I’m on every horse mentioned in the last thanks Gilg

Gilgamesh · August 2018

Couldnt finish off as strongly as the middle of the card but a fantastic nights punting in the rain.

JayJay · August 2018

Homework done Gil, teacher giving YOU the apple. Excellent tipping to sort that lot out last night. And the good news is you can't give it back at Belmont today.

Gilgamesh · August 2018

JayJay said:
Homework done Gil, teacher giving YOU the apple. Excellent tipping to sort that lot out last night. And the good news is you can't give it back at Belmont today.

<br/

Even got a bit done around the house saturday!

G'day Punter!

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