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Pearl Classic Final GP Friday
Harness & Greyhounds
Ridersonthestorm33
10,809 posts
Not quite as much depth in the division for the 2yr old colts and geldings Group One Pearl Classic Final with four runners dominating the betting and the other six approaching 100/1 and better.
Approximate Odds Wednesday.
Aristocratic Star 11/8
Valentine's Brook 5/2
Jaxon Jones 7/2
Manning 7/2
66/1 and better the rest.
Winner, quinella, trifecta and probably quartet to come from those four - but to cut it down by 50% - Valentines Brook and Manning my main two. The longer priced Justin Prentice runner or astute trainer Mike Reed, one of them to win!
Jaxon Jones and Aristocratic Star super hard to beat.
Good luck all.
Approximate Odds Wednesday.
Aristocratic Star 11/8
Valentine's Brook 5/2
Jaxon Jones 7/2
Manning 7/2
66/1 and better the rest.
Winner, quinella, trifecta and probably quartet to come from those four - but to cut it down by 50% - Valentines Brook and Manning my main two. The longer priced Justin Prentice runner or astute trainer Mike Reed, one of them to win!
Jaxon Jones and Aristocratic Star super hard to beat.
Good luck all.
Comments
But the SA concept is a brilliant idea - they restrict the sale to just 35 horses - thus your in with a shout if you buy a yearling at that sale - probably the best thing to happen to SA Harness racing in years
JayJay, Gilgamesh, cisco likes this post.
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They've got the three main dangers very tight in the betting, so lots of respect there, think the fave might firm right up though and at least a couple of drifters from the other three chances. We'll see.
Gilgamesh likes this post.
Haven't had a crack at the form a while so hopefully somewhere near it.
R1: Very open race, If I was playing the early quad I’d
be tempted to go field. For sake of a tip I’ll go No2 Liam Niel. Nice
run last week and I think he is the leader but I do have question marks over his
strength to lead throughout over 2500m this grade.
Tip: No2 Liam Niel. No bet.
R2: Sportsbet up yesterday afternoon, not sure how
much you could get on but it was a pleasant surprise. You can leave me out of
$1.75 Zennart, sure it has performed well in the past against good
opposition but I’d need to see something this time in before parting with my
hard earned. I had something small Mad Robber @$8 the Mrs acc (Closed
mine years ago after a dispute). The 1 and the 2 will hold forward positions, Cracka
Star will want the fence so there is a good chance Mad Robber will
get straight off in to the moving line early. He is a better leader but he has
hit form now and will be strong @2500m, had to back him at the price, still
worth a bet @$6. The other one that interests me is Natural Disaster. If
he can settle in running for the new stable (big if for this guy) he has class
on these and can sprint straight past them.
Tip: No10 Mad Robber. Bet: Mad Robber EW, something small straight out
Natural Disaster.
R3: The more I look at it the more I think Therugo
gets across and is too quick home for the fav. However Jnr is following out a
good beginner with Ideal Liner and there is always the chance he tries
to get over tactical and somehow keep Therugo wide from the second row.
The recent over concern of team Hall on just one other runner in a race does
scare me a bit so I will not be in this for a lot. Some good value in the
backline horses darting through late to fill gaps in the First Four.
Tip: No7 Therugo. Bet: FF:7/11/1,2,5,8,10,12/1,2,5,8,10,12. 100% costs
$30, rotate 11 through.
R4: Chicago Bull, wont be trying to make any money on
the FFA.
R5: Aristocratic Star well supported off the good
draw, does look the leader and winner. Valentines Brook gets up outside
it and sticks on well. Jaxon Jones 1,1 on its back gives it a chance to
run in to the tri. Manning has the best sprint but might just be that bit
far back to run past all three of them. Doesn’t look to be any surprises from
outside the market.
Tip: No2 Aristocratic Star. Bet: Is well found now and probably only
tightens further but worth a play if getting back out to that $2.25 range.
R6: I like this race. Again you can leave me out of
the $2 Smoldering Ashes. Not saying it can’t win, liked the run 2 starts
back but it is just too short. Interesting move Bad Round $20-$12 early.
He was good last start and his best could lead throughout. Other times he can
hand up and struggle to keep their backs. That support indicates to me that having
a crack at leading is the intention, with Smoldering Ashes and Bettor
Be lively likely to have a crack at it as well I think they may set it up
for the run on types. Sweet N Fast is a horse that looks very good when
things are on its terms and can look not so good at time when they are not. It
is overs based on how I see the event being run. Livura was pretty
genuine last Friday and will get a lovely run through. The one I’m likely to
back though is Mister Ardee. 9 is not usually his go but I’m hoping race
run upside down he can get right to the outside and flood over them, am
expecting close to double his current $21 price.
Tip: No9 Mister Ardee. Bet: No9 Mister Ardee EW. Novelties around 1,6,8,9,10,12.
R7: Heaza Head Honcho Looks the obvious leader and
one to beat, he can get tired late though. I give Baylan Jett a really
solid chance of beating him off the soft trip a touch back in grade. I’ve been
on Jailbreak all 3 runs since the stable change. He was a bit disappointing
Monday but was nom’d for the Sat meeting that didn’t go ahead so likely needed
the run, 3 back the fence really suits him.
Tip: No10 Baylan Jett. Bet: Baylan Jett win.
FF:1,10,11/1,10,11/1,8,10,11,12/1,5,8,10,11,12. 100% costs $54.
R8: I really like Infinite Symbol here EW
sitting on the back of the leader. Really expecting her to improve here off the
back of getting to see the pegs at GP. She is my best.
Tip: No10 Infinite Symbol. Bet: No10 Infinite Symbol EW.
Races 9 and 10 are watch Saturday mornings for me.
Markovina, Glen, VillageKid, savethegame, Ridersonthestorm33, curmudgeon likes this post.
savethegame, Ridersonthestorm33 likes this post.
The other horse that impressed earlier had him for third and fourth in the first four - it hit the line with gusto - rocketing home - better horse than I thought - I'm Soxy.
When doing my top ten drivers had her just outside, he didn't agree...but I'll stand by that. It's all about opportunity and from limited opportunities she gets many long shots into the frame.
Ridersonthestorm33 likes this post.
Realise say it verbatim but is uncanny how often those inside drawn heavily fancied runners get rolled. Aristocratic Star (4/7) and Smoldering Ashes (1/1) - both led as expected - both run down on their merits.
Chariots would've gone up at 5/4 and 2/1 and been curlin the mo!
Chariotsonfire likes this post.
The placement of his runners - there's an art to that.
Emily Suvaljko cool unflappable driver.
GP Hezaheadhoncho - gate one $1.75 8-| unplaced, as Freddy Mercury might have said...and another one bites the dust.
Gilgamesh, VillageKid likes this post.
Think Gavin Lang was involved in one way or the other.
The one at Melton was a daylight last race of the day - it was the leanest of coming together - went forever and went the other way.
The precedence was set the other week with Kim Prentice. Protest was dismissed so to me that seemingly puts the blame on him.
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Odds on punter's breathe a sigh of relief, reckon that was 50/50. Thought he was going straight past it and dived again big time near the line.
It has to be one way or the other. If they dont lock wheels it wins, simple as that. So either Aiden DeCampo attributed something to the interference and as a result had to lose the race or it was all Ryan Warwick and he has to get done for careless driving.
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Astonishing.
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Anyhow as you say its done now.
How wide is Gloucester Park striaght? Curly can have some issues getting past them from behind the leader!
On the other race - a sprint lane and the Ryan Warwick drive would've gone whoosh!
I reckon was going home three to its one.
Gilgamesh likes this post.
Anyway it is what it is but you'd have to be stiff to ever lose a race in a protest in this state.
Imagine if there was some way they could handicap the good horses and make the drivers actually make tactical decisions instead of the best horse just walking to the front.
Ideal Liner probably a bit better than I have given him credit.
Warfare was huge too. Sit outside Thereugo and you know you've been in a race.
But then again you'd expect Ideal Liner if advancing forward to defeat those guys, but he did it in style too.
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