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There was a very fine line between Vow And Declare winning or running eighth and Williams on the day made all the difference.
Pike did it on Regal Power from 15, Harvey on the Turbo from 16, Currie Hey Doc 14, if the hoop can do the trick the horse can too.
1. Luck in running.
2. Horse right on the day.
3. A great ride.
1 and 3 can go together a lot. Can do all the homework you like but if anybody thinks luck in running doesn't count for much - tell 'em there dreamin.
However you've got far more chance of good luck from 3,4,5 than 14,15,16 and even the ubiquitous statistics will tell us that.
Its not the gate so much as the tempo. If they'd gone as slow in the Railway as they did in the Guineas, Regal Power would not have won. Ellicorsam started fav in the Railway but she was a leader and the wide gate brought her undone. Most horses, although not all-have a racing pattern and perform best when ridden according to this. Luckygray won his second Railway courtesy of the speed drawing wide and providing the tempo he needed to run on late. Even Hey Doc, yeah he ran a slick time and he's an Australian Guineas winner who has won the Aurie's Star, and has all the way victory in the Manikato, so you know he has sustained speed. But he was able to settle into his rhythm without being pestered. Maybe the fact that Home Of The Brave was drawn outside made the difference? Once he was half a step slow he was never gonna cross and HD was just content to work across at his own leisure. I didnt have Vital Silver sitting 2nd going that fast. If HD & HOTB had cut at each other VS would have had the perfect sit on them.
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Cerise and white - and rough - oh no not Star Exhibit again ~X(
The grey horse's always run well on heavy tracks...what else...um always back the top weight in a hurdle race...if in doubt in any race back the top weight. Don't leave Pikey out of your quaddie. Always back the roughie in a small field. Been a few over the years...mostly old wives tales.
But mares and fillies feeling the extreme heat more, think has truth - would be interesting to find out.
If true we’d lock up our fillies and mares for Summer. An interesting study has shown that fillies and mares perform best in Summer over the other three seasons.
Tuscan Queen barrier 3.
Best Of Days 2.
Kay Cee 1.
Am going to take barriers 1,2,3 always trifecta, just in case!
Drifters on Tabtouch - Gallo Chop out to 25/1, Star Exhibit 25/1 and Jericho Missile 33/1, still $13 available Kay Cee from gate 1.
Tuscan Queen crunched after the draw to $3.30.
1st Regal Power
2. Tuscan Queen
3. Kay Cee
4. Mississipi Delta
Smokey - see he's now the rank outsider - guarantee 100% won't be running last, not so well off at the weights but will stick with him - Platoon.
Think if anything it's even a better betting race than the Railway Stakes.
Several would surprise if won, but wouldn't leave any horse out for fourth in first four betting.
Credit to the field.
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Wouldn't surprise me if the cerise and white ran the top 4