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Belmont 11/7/20
West Australian Racing
Train
186 posts
R1- CLAIRVOYANCE gets to the races in her third prep off the back of some nice trial performances. At her most recent was held well together when comfortably holding her opposition to the line in solid time and if she can improve again race day goes close. The stable have played around with the gear at the trials but winkers go for her debut having not been on in the trials and should only improve her chances. Has tactical speed and therefore has options from two depending on how quick her opposition want to go.
R2- CAPTAIN KINK strikes a much more suitable race than last start in the Belmont Guineas. Plenty of merit to the performance finishing five lengths off Kay Cee after not settling at all early on at the mile. Is now three weeks between runs back to 1200 and finds a race without a lot of tempo. Wide gate should help in case he is slightly slow away so he can’t be crossed and boxed in but expecting him to lead comfortably and give a big sight.
R3- ABERDEEN QUEEN relished a drop in class last start when winning arrogantly in good time. Prior to that was highly competitive in 3yo races around like Levitate, Indian Pacific and Resortman which is really good form for a race like this. Seemed to really enjoy the mile and a bit last time and her biggest danger appears to be MODERATOR who she beat in the last start victory. Realistically her biggest danger looks to be barrier thirteen but does has the turn of foot to win from last in this field.
R4- MATERIAL MAN has this race at his mercy under the handicapping conditions. $1.40 is short but possibly deserves to be short after luckless runs in Winter Features prior to his last start victory. However, think the value in the race is TAXAGANO the place as this looked to be the race he would’ve been set for. Was very impressive in the lead up to the Perth Cup and even in the Cup last prep and if he’s at his best could probably even stretch the favourite. Blinkers back on, Pateman on and a tough run are all positives and expect him to be running a drum.
R5- CRYPTIC LOVE may not have the ability to match motors WINDSTORM, who could be anything but does again look the value in the race to run a place. Was a brilliant winner fresh at 1000m and looks suited here up to 1200 and three weeks between runs. Doesn’t have to get too far back from barrier four and has a much stronger turn of foot than most of these. If WINDSTORM does find traffic from barrier one, Harvey will capitalise on that.
R6- Best Bet: FLOWER SCOTLAND is in a purple of patch and loves being able to do her own thing. 1000m didn’t seem to her liking last start and looks very well placed at 1400 in this grade fourth up as she now has the extra fitness. From barrier three expecting Derrick to be very proactive in keeping her away from the fence and on top of the speed. Despite being an on pacer actually has a strong turn of foot and find it hard to see anything catching her once she lets down with a little bit of weight relief.
R7- BARAMAGIC was a big improver last start despite having drawn inside again but draws a lovely gate for him in the car park. Needs room in his races and in a capacity field he likely will find a spot three deep with cover which is ideal. Gets back to 60+ grade which he won in three back when allowed to work into the race in the same fashion he looks like doing in this against a field that was arguably weaker. Is a nice eachway price in the weekly raffle.
R8- MISTY METAL is the best 1000m horse in this field and looks ready to fire fresh. Was very good considering her niggling issues last campaign in strong sprint races around Flirtini, Stageman and Valour Road and that form is stronger than this. Trialled very nicely to have her primed for this and looks capable of sitting just behind the speed with most of the speed drawn outside her. Does have to carry top weight but it’s only 58kg and she deserves as the quality horse.
R9- PARIS REPORT had a few things against her first up at 1200 on a very wet track but won soft and should have improved off that run. Didn’t beat much and didn’t break the clock but she can only go as fast as the leaders and they dawdled and she was pretty impressive to pick them up so easier considering. Drawn to get a soft run in transit just forward of midfield and is a good price for a horse who looks to have a ability.
R2- CAPTAIN KINK strikes a much more suitable race than last start in the Belmont Guineas. Plenty of merit to the performance finishing five lengths off Kay Cee after not settling at all early on at the mile. Is now three weeks between runs back to 1200 and finds a race without a lot of tempo. Wide gate should help in case he is slightly slow away so he can’t be crossed and boxed in but expecting him to lead comfortably and give a big sight.
R3- ABERDEEN QUEEN relished a drop in class last start when winning arrogantly in good time. Prior to that was highly competitive in 3yo races around like Levitate, Indian Pacific and Resortman which is really good form for a race like this. Seemed to really enjoy the mile and a bit last time and her biggest danger appears to be MODERATOR who she beat in the last start victory. Realistically her biggest danger looks to be barrier thirteen but does has the turn of foot to win from last in this field.
R4- MATERIAL MAN has this race at his mercy under the handicapping conditions. $1.40 is short but possibly deserves to be short after luckless runs in Winter Features prior to his last start victory. However, think the value in the race is TAXAGANO the place as this looked to be the race he would’ve been set for. Was very impressive in the lead up to the Perth Cup and even in the Cup last prep and if he’s at his best could probably even stretch the favourite. Blinkers back on, Pateman on and a tough run are all positives and expect him to be running a drum.
R5- CRYPTIC LOVE may not have the ability to match motors WINDSTORM, who could be anything but does again look the value in the race to run a place. Was a brilliant winner fresh at 1000m and looks suited here up to 1200 and three weeks between runs. Doesn’t have to get too far back from barrier four and has a much stronger turn of foot than most of these. If WINDSTORM does find traffic from barrier one, Harvey will capitalise on that.
R6- Best Bet: FLOWER SCOTLAND is in a purple of patch and loves being able to do her own thing. 1000m didn’t seem to her liking last start and looks very well placed at 1400 in this grade fourth up as she now has the extra fitness. From barrier three expecting Derrick to be very proactive in keeping her away from the fence and on top of the speed. Despite being an on pacer actually has a strong turn of foot and find it hard to see anything catching her once she lets down with a little bit of weight relief.
R7- BARAMAGIC was a big improver last start despite having drawn inside again but draws a lovely gate for him in the car park. Needs room in his races and in a capacity field he likely will find a spot three deep with cover which is ideal. Gets back to 60+ grade which he won in three back when allowed to work into the race in the same fashion he looks like doing in this against a field that was arguably weaker. Is a nice eachway price in the weekly raffle.
R8- MISTY METAL is the best 1000m horse in this field and looks ready to fire fresh. Was very good considering her niggling issues last campaign in strong sprint races around Flirtini, Stageman and Valour Road and that form is stronger than this. Trialled very nicely to have her primed for this and looks capable of sitting just behind the speed with most of the speed drawn outside her. Does have to carry top weight but it’s only 58kg and she deserves as the quality horse.
R9- PARIS REPORT had a few things against her first up at 1200 on a very wet track but won soft and should have improved off that run. Didn’t beat much and didn’t break the clock but she can only go as fast as the leaders and they dawdled and she was pretty impressive to pick them up so easier considering. Drawn to get a soft run in transit just forward of midfield and is a good price for a horse who looks to have a ability.
+1 -1
Thunderstruck, frenc11 likes this post.
Comments
Anyone who was on last start MUST back up on Aberdeen Queen it is not a strong field, Jarrod will just urge her home down the middle of track.
As I mentioned elsewhere Cryptic Love looks a banker to place, a boost to $2 is available which is better value than the 1.30 on offer for Windstorm from gate 1.
R6 I cannot back either of the first two in the market and refuse to back FOS ever!
I wish the track was in the soft range as I think Abbey Lane would have a real live winning chance, at 9s or better e.w can still make a decent profit if he runs a drum, ran really good races in all his first three runs last prep and all were on good going.
Hopefully young Ramoly can notch his first Saturday winner with Sentimental Gift, it's quite likely Pike and the lad with be going at it toe for toe in the charge to the line.
Levitate will be hard to beat in the last race provided he can get to the breeze or lead and I think the unbeaten Seminole Brave will be right in the mix too if he gets the breaks in the straight.Can and needs to race handy, appears to have not only some ability but likes to fight right to the line.
Thepluckygambler likes this post.
Just boosted Cryptic Love to $2.15 place. Think it's a great bet
H-BOMBER dislikes this post.
Misty metal just wins
Playing Marika For me ew
Thunderstruck, Thepluckygambler, hash likes this post.
Military Ruler (large place)
Sentimental Gift - is a better horse then the fav but pike is a genius.
Samizdat - Best horse in the race who I think will map a bit better from the barrier and will charge over the top.
Thunderstruck likes this post.
Thepluckygambler likes this post.
How was the lack of initiative in handing that race to The kinky one? Pikey is always relying on others to set up pressure then hopefully launches late and obviously CJP thought like I did that Puckapunyal is in reality a bit soft so tried to cuddle it ..and flew late smfh.
Thunderstruck, TheSwooper likes this post.
:)>-
E.W place heavy and all day on horses at 10s you can make a decent profit e.g Abby Lane.
Flanders likes this post.
Meanwhile Mcnaught goes"far que lot" I'm a senior who can beat you all still.
sonny likes this post.
sonny, Thepluckygambler, Chris, Nevershowsurprise likes this post.
The Pontiff in full cry...oh my boy :x
Poor comment mate, what do you offer exactly?
Done your ass obviously.
Thepluckygambler, tony, Nevershowsurprise likes this post.
JimmyPop likes this post.