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Belmont 18/9/21

West Australian Racing
R1- FAR TOO STRONG is an interesting runner first up at 1600 as a 3yo. However, he is trained by Lindsey Smith and races as though the mile is near the bottom of his distance range. Was uncompetitive on debut over 1200 before winning nicely second up at 1400 and a solid fifth in the Sires Produce. Has had two trials for this run including a fourth when breezing outside of Sniparoochy in slick time. Looks capable of rolling to the breeze here and racing prominently has been very important of late.

R2- ZEPHYR QUEEN may be relying on some bad luck but is fool proof herself. KAPTAIN KAOS is incredibly talented but far too short for considering he could find himself last the fence in a small field. Zephyr Queen on the other hand will roll straight to the top on a wet track on a surface that has been favouring those on speed. Has won two of her last three with the other run being a 1.3L third to Kaptain Kaos who she gets a 4kg weight swing on for that run.

R3- APPLE SCHNAPPS looks a little better than what he faces here. A nice winner at three of his last four after being a longtime class one. Has been getting a little more impressive with each win and last start was clearly his best. Sat last the fence and was really strong to the line in a fast run race beating two subsequent winners. His biggest issue looks to be how far back he gets and how close to the fence he can be should the track play how it has been. Pike is the man for the job however and has been riding him well.

R4- BORN TO TALK has put in two nice runs in two strong maidens to date. Ran second and got within 3L of Arcadia Grace on debut who already looks a live chance in the Kingston Town Classic come summer and third behind Flicka’s Chance last start. Blinkers come off here up to 1200 after over racing in them at all three public appearances with them on and should be able to kick through and lead from one. He’s a cracking type who looks like breaking through very soon.

R5- Best Bet: BAD WOLF has been really impressive in winning his last two. Had been building towards a win and got the run of the race two back but was able to really put them away and did the same from last last start in a high rating race. Sticks to the mile, sticks to 72+ grade but looks like potentially lobbing one one here which is a much better spot than last start with how the track has been playing. Won this day last year and is capable of holding form when he finds it.

R6- IMAGE KEEPER is a winner. A case could be made that he should be unbeaten from all public appearances having been a car crash on debut and sitting four deep on speed in Westspeed final in a race dominated by off speed runners and still finishing midfield. Won a recent trial under little pressure after sitting five wide throughout beating a few that have run well since. Likely fires out to lead this field and that is the prime spot at the minute.

R7- ISEERED ISEERED handled the step to 78+ grade with flying colours having been plunged and beating a similar field to this last start. Still think his first up win in 66+ grade was more impressive though when getting back and sitting wide but letting down really well to pick up All Day Session. Out to 1200 here he looks capable of taking a sit but still being prominent and showing the turn of foot he has. Progressive type who likely wins real stakes races in future.

R8- AXEL ‘R’ EIGHT was a serious staying performance second up at 2100 last start. Sat over the top of a brutal and looked the winner a long way out. That race has really stood up as a form reference and although he was scratched with soreness two weeks ago trusting Dmac to have him right for this race. Does look like he might have to lead them up here but he is capable of leading and still finding something in the straight.

R9- STRATHMORE ROSE was completely unsuited in more way than one last start. Had in race ear muffs and no blinkers for the first time and was ridden three wide with a sit. Was a massive effort to actually find something in the straight and be within 2.5L of the winner and now goes back to basics with the gear and hopefully the tactics too. Pre race earmuffs back on, visors on (instead of the blinkers) and although drawn the outside is capable of charging across to at least the breeze.
+1 -1

H-BOMBER, Tucool, jum, Chris, Bazmace, Gray likes this post.

Comments

  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,235 posts
    I'll be with

    Kaptain Kaos
    Rebelzone
    Crystal Spirit (best)
    Sunnysilk

    Chris likes this post.

  • SLIPPERGOLDENSLIPPERGOLDEN    7,741 posts
    R3 God's Blue Skye
    R5 Harry Thomas
    R7 Jericho Missile
    R8 Miss Voodoo
    R9 Glasgow Girl with saver on Solid Azza
  • thefalconthefalcon    19,949 posts
    thanks train, another well thought preview.
  • BazmaceBazmace    31 posts
    Few value bets today

    R4 Born to talk. Second to Arcadia Grace first race, then had to use a lot of energy to get to the lead last race. Fought to the line to finish third. Gets barrier 1 this time and should give them something to chase down. Shame only 2 places now but still worth a small win bet at $14+

    R7. Multiverse. Last 2 runs been great, just beaten by some good ones (samizdat, tellem we’re comin and Indian Pacific). Takes a while to build its form but is traditionally very consistent when it finds it. Excellent value at $21+ and $5 a place.

    R8. Sowar. Horse run some good races lately. Bit of a place horse but on recent form, mcgruddy riding and a weaker field, I think today could be its day. Price currently about $5 but hoping it drifts out a bit.

    bigorangecat likes this post.

  • SeagullSeagull    39 posts
    My Belmont Best: Celevacci, Kaptain Kaos, Apple Schnapps, War Gem, Red Hot Tip, All Day Session
  • ChrisChris    5,218 posts
    Well done Train, big opening tip
  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,676 posts
    Nice tip @Train and nice ride Ponty!
  • GrayGray    4,090 posts
    The Pont did not give an inch to Pikey in straight as well, good to see

    Thunderstruck likes this post.

  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,676 posts
    Gray said:

    The Pont did not give an inch to Pikey in straight as well, good to see




    Same mate, LOVE that shit!

    Gray likes this post.

  • WhatisthepointWhatisthepoint    181 posts
    Once again last start Mr Delegator runs over a 1 sec slower on same day as bad wolf wins yet it cant beat it home today lol.In fact it ran away from it so in 3 weeks its lost over 7 lengths.
  • WhatisthepointWhatisthepoint    181 posts
    lol pike.
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,235 posts
    Wow this is a big move for Crystal Spirit. I'm on at the 8.50 so I know how this is gonna play out
  • RodentRodent    7,024 posts
    Ditto Bomber. My spirit has been crushed.
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,235 posts
    Fark I was counting the dinero half way down the straight. Ponty far too strong

    On the 7.50 Sunnysilk in the last. Expecting a rinse repeat
  • WhatisthepointWhatisthepoint    181 posts
    Gee red hot tip give me a spell can they go any slower perth racing.
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