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OVERALL "season" OUT - (-174.15 units)
OVERALL "season" RETURN - (+ 232.685 Units)
Nett = + 58.535
Still cannot comprehend how Morikawa lost the Hero WC. After nbeing so cool and collected all week he was rattled, fragile and just defeated. He was actually still in it after 9 holes but just dropped his head.
detonator likes this post.
Very unlucky H.
I have been keeping an eye on your bets but I discovered after just a couple of tournaments why I don't bet on golf 1.I have not enough knowledge and 2.definitely not enough patience, the occasional h2h punt for me is ok.
The way he tanked you would have thought I was on the Morikawa train too...
Good luck next week.
Thunderstruck likes this post.
"For Friday’s opening round, scoring will be determined in a traditional scramble. So, both members of every team will have up to two swings from the same spot until either holes out.
Saturday’s second round will consist of modified alternate shot. Every golfer will tee off on every hole, but teammates will alternate finishing the hole on the same ball. This is the day when scores should be highest.
The structure of the finale on Sunday is four-ball; that is, all golfers play their own ball throughout every hole and only the lower score among teammates is recorded as the team’s score for the hole"
Favorites for the shootout are the team of Billy Horshal and Sam Burns at $5. Second favorites at $7 are the team of Harris English and Matt Kuchar who are 3 times winners of the tournament, last year with a 54 hole record of 37 under par!! Rank outsiders at $41 is the team of Bubba Watson and LPGA pro Lexi Thompson.
My picks for the tournament are the following teams
Horshal/Burns $5
English/Kuchar $7
Connors/McDowell $11
The arbitrage for these teams is a measly $2.31. spending 16 units as follows
7.377 units at $5
5.269 units at $7
3.353 units at $11
16 out for 36.8ish back.
Good viewing!
Thunderstruck likes this post.
The Sentry Tournament of champions is a no cut event for the players that won the tournament's last season. Star studded field with a notable absentee in McIlroy.
The tournament is played in Hawaii at the Plantation Course at Kapalua. It's very viewer friendly with coverage from 4 am on Golf TV and 7am on Kayo.
From the PGA Tour website
"This is the third edition of the tournament since the Plantation Course was renovated by its designers, Bill Coore and Ben Crenshaw. After a daunting debut in 2019 during which the field’s average of 72.228 set a 12-year high, breezes were tolerable en route to a scoring average of 69.315 last year. It was the second-lowest average (2003) in its first 23 years as host.
As these things are concerned, earnest critiques and comparable reviews of a renovation should wait until three spins are in the books, but because of the relatively consistent climate at sea level in Hawaii, it’s probably already fair to assess that the TifEagle bermuda greens have matured quicker than, say, the expectation in a four-season climate. This is to say that every target is a green light in the context of distance control. The spring has sprung.
Flatter greens intended in the renovation not only generated the potential for new hole locations, but the grass could be trimmed low enough to yield a Stimpmeter reading of 11 feet, weather pending. (Prior to the work, the max speed was 10 feet due to undulations and the threat of wind on a resort course.) With virtually no sustainable wind forecast all week – although this can change faster than you just read this warning – a fully formed Plantation Course can be presented.
With just three par 3s, Kapalua is the only par 73 of the season, but a winning aggregate from 25- to 30-under is in play thanks to generous fairways and some of the largest greens any golfer will see all year. In scorable conditions last year, the field averaged 11.85 (of 15) fairways and 14.19 greens in regulation per round. Both splits were the highest of 51 courses measured during the super season."
To be honest, it's a mine field to determine a winner. So I'll cut to the chase with the bets as I haven't had an outright winner bet
First Round leader (arbitrage)
Rahm $15
Morikawa $17
Kokrak $26
Leishman $29
5 units at $5.04
5 units at $4.50 for a playoff to determine winner
5 units multi at $10.14 on legs as follows
Top 20 finish
Cantlay
Kokrak
Thomas
Shuffle
DeChambeau
Morikawa
Top 10 finish
Rahm
Hovland
Total spend 15 units.
detonator likes this post.
+27.35 units with 15 units "live"
Though I maybe prefer a course a little more challenging as I note more than a few 61s were carded including MJ in the final round.
For Smith it might be his breakout year to nab a major, i hope so anyway.
jum likes this post.
Update +27.5 units
The odds are already out for "The Sony" this week starting Thursday staying in Hawaii. Cam Smith installed as the $10 favorites from Bryson at $13. Last year's winner Kevin Na opens at $21 while Aussie Matt Jones who has played a.blonder this week and is notable for early year form is at $46
:-?
H-BOMBER likes this post.
Thunderstruck, jum likes this post.
Now I don't know a lot about the form but one thing I reckon is true golfers rarely if ever go bang and bang again in back to back tournaments? Therefore as maybe even an anti Jonah Smithy WONT win this week.
No real firm opinion on a winner myself(what is Morikawa up to?? I would have backed him to bounce this week)though I am a fan of Sungjae Im, so maybe he can figure high up the leaderboard.
I'm thinking of a couple of h2h bets initially for Rd 1, Smithy v the Gooch and Im to beat Leishman or maybe Kuchar to win his match.
Other than that Smithy top 5 or a more conservative top 10 finish is paying alright at 2.25 on Tabtouch! 1.80-1.90 elsewhere.I like a "shorty" that looks a good bet to me.
The Australian men's and Women's PGA starts today (has already started) over at Royal Brisbane. Tournament favorites and number 49 in the world Min Woo Lee is at 4.50 to win the tournament. There are a stack of older players competing which is nostalgic with the likes.of Peter Leonard, Peter O'Malley etc etc.
My tips for the men's have to be Min Woo at 4.50 and the famously named Jack Thompson at $15. Back these two spending 5 units for a return of 17.3 units
Coverage on Kayo starts at 930am =P~
Thunderstruck likes this post.
Edit Im was worse even par I think, left his matchup out but the multi still goes tits up as Cam snatched a draw from the jaws of victory ...
You Jonah'd yourself H!
H-BOMBER likes this post.
H-BOMBER likes this post.
I've had another 2.5 units on Seamus Power at $12 to catch the leaders and win from here
Need something!!