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Inter Dominion Grand Final Night GP
Harness & Greyhounds
Chariotsonfire
2,829 posts
Fantastic 11 race program for final night.
Good to see TABtouch up with fixed odds for all events.
+1 -1
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VillageKid likes this post.
Or is his drawn stacked against him?
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Friday night and back to Gloucester she's $8.50 and $2.40. Has to be a hope again at the good odds.
R1: Talktomeyourmajesty looks the leader and is a horse that goes at a decent clip. Originally I thought the race mapped perfect for Marry Catherine but second look has me worried that Therugo pushes through hard on the back of the 2 and she gets trapped 3 wide. She is racing fantastic but I don’t like the risk attached. I’ve settled on something EW Aussie Delight as I think he will sit just off them and C Alford on is a major plus. Elsu gets the right run behind them although I think the better run will be 3 back which is Addfueltofire but I just don’t think he can quicken in this class. Against Therugo, don’t see him getting it how he wants here.
Tip: 2 Talktomeyourmajesty. Bet: EW No4 Aussie Delight. EQ: 1,2,3,4.
R2: Thought the speed would come from Skippy Rascal, Mighty Mr Sharky and Wardan Express who I think is the likely leader. Loving how No7 Carter Michael is going, I thought he could be put into it whenever the tempo allowed and go on with it. I wanted to take Simba Bromac on but Bronze Seeker isn’t quick out and Purdon is a typical pretty polite NZ driver so I expect it to get into the moving line, any horse who can sprint the times it has regardless of race class has to be respected.
Tip: No7 Cater Michael. Bet. No7 Carter Michael 30EW. EQ: 1,3,4,6,7.
R3: Parisian Partygirl looks the leader to me and I think it can be the winner for visiting reinswoman Hannah Miller. She has shown great speed in the past and went to the line hard held last start. No denying the 1 and 2 will both want to hold up as well, whoever can do it out of the three is clearly the one to beat as they are all going ok. Bettor Bling should enjoy trucking along behind the speed. If I was to take one on it would be Madam Meilland but I keep going back to that first win in WA, looks like it could get a similar trip here, not willing to take any on in the EQ so small % the play.
Tip: Parisian Partygirl. Bet EW Parisian Partygirl. EQ:1,2,3,9,10.
R4: Not sure if Bettor Be Supreme crosses or Eden Franco holds it but I am pretty confident that whoever has it early will hand up to Ameretto. That has to make her hard to beat but I’m still not completely convinced by her. I love the thought of Piccadilly Princess coiled up and unleashing over the 2500m, she will do me. I don’t like Alice at the 2500m so I’m going to risk her. Sheer Rocknroll is one of mine and I thought she was better last week than the 3rd the week prior. Sat up nice and close I will take her as the blowout.
Tip: No10 A Piccadilly Princess. Bet: EW No10 A Piccadilly Princess. EQ: 3,5,10. 100% costs $300, probably way too much but as said earlier I don’t want to leave any more out.
R5: Plenty of horses with decent form but if Argyle Red races as genuinely as he has at his last two it should be winning. Sokys Bigbullet should be up dictating outside him, needs to find his best form but will get his chance to show it.
Tip: No1 Argyle Red. No bet. QD:1,2.
R6: The big dance. I’m not going to pretend to know how it will be run. I am however very confident that Soho Tribecca will be running on at them late, if not over the top of them. As a bet EW he stands out to me. I’ve had something EW Have Faith in me as well, is coming good at the right time.
Tip: No4 Soho Tribecca. Bet: Money back Soho Tribeca, EW Have Faith In Me. QD:1,2,4,9,10.
R7: Ultimate Machete is all class, probably no challenger for the lead this week, how far does he win by? Space Junk crosses the 2, hands up to Motu Meteor and we probably don’t see any change until 300m from home. The 10,11,12 look the likely pegs horses so that is the way I will play the novelties.
Tip: No1 Ultimate Machete. Bet: FF:1/3,4,10,11/3,4,10,11,12/3,4,10,11,12. 100% costs $48. QD:1.
R8: The Bucket List and Ohoka Punter are two horses who did their best racing in the last round of heats which I like. Not much between them as an on top pick for me. Major Crocker doing no work in the run is the other winning chance for me.
Tip: No6 The Bucket List. Bet: EW The Bucket List. QD: 6,7,10. 100% cost $30.
R9: Spent a lot of time on this race. A lot of speed early from 1,2,3,4,5 and 8. In the end I came back to the fact that this is a Kerryn Manning race. I thought she might get past Reaza Grunter early and possibly find the top but if not I still thought just letting it run Stroke Of Luck might just keep going.
Tip: No4 Stroke Of Luck. Bet: No4 Stroke Of Luck EW.
R10: Should be one of the better trot races we have seen at GP. Don’t know enough about them to make a prediction but will be cheering for Sunnys Little Whiz.
R11: For the first time in a long time Americanbootscooter gets to show his best as he looks to get a chance to lead along with a grade drop. I’m just not sure that he is going anywhere near his top, might be time for him to make his way to the US which I am assuming is his final destination. Loved how Costa Del Magnifico was finding the line last week. There are enough run along horses in this race so that he should get a genuine tempo and be able to run over the top of them.
Tip: No3 Costa Del Magnifico. Bet: EW No3 Costa Del Magnifico.
Good luck all. Should be a spectacular night of racing.
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Anyone know if Alan Parker is any good at predicting the future??
He's got Vultan Tin pencilled in for 3rd already :)
http://www.harness.org.au/media-room/news-article/?news_id=35670
Voaky is outstanding in getting outsiders down to the pegs quickly. The Vulcan is 150/1 but he won't disgrace himself. 2936 metres and a soft run on the pegs he might keep whacking away.
If Tiger Tara can lead all the way over the marathon journey with the pressure that will come a fair way from home from two of the toughest horses going around it will go down as one of the great leading from barrier to box efforts seen.
Think he's a major player and a big chance..in saying that if was a bookie would be laying him to kingdom come!
They mentioned he had 3 other drives for the night - and for what it is worth - reading between the lines - he was quite bullish on Egodan winning the consolation
Ridersonthestorm33, jum likes this post.
Everyone is reading way too much into this.
My last tip on a trotting thread was Bashful Compton @ around $8 2 years ago.
Lazarus. When his career is all said and done will be up with the greatest ever. He is a 5 yr old coming into his prime. Won $2.7 MIl. 32 races from 37. Purdon left him home last year for this year.
Purdon can do as he likes from 2.
PLEASE Just take the $2.50. It will be another 2years before I throw out another winner with this confidence.
Lazarus just wins
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(Alan Parker's stats, not mine)
I'll be going to both in a rare foray to Ascot.....wouldn't miss either for quids. If we want to keep the quality of racing at a high standard, no matter what our complaints or misgivings are, the answer is simples....Get to the track....and in Gloucester Parks case, possibly the best field ever assembled.
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