In this Discussion
- 2lifetimewinners January 2018
- Chariotsonfire January 2018
- Chris January 2018
- curmudgeon January 2018
- Gilgamesh January 2018
- JayJay January 2018
- KTQ January 2018
- legoland January 2018
- Markovina January 2018
- paraletic January 2018
- Ridersonthestorm33 January 2018
- Rocket_Reign January 2018
- savethegame January 2018
- squid69 January 2018
- tony January 2018
- VillageKid January 2018
- Zimmerman January 2018
Who's Online
0 Members & 30 Non Members
Fremantle Pacing Cup night.
Harness & Greyhounds
Gilgamesh
4,719 posts
R1: Thought the winner would come from the 2,3, or 4. Cimorene isn't quick out so Miss Sangrial looks to get her chance to lead throughout. She's going to be short and its a matter of whether you trust her or not. Our Major Mama is likely to have a little shot for the lead and is some chance to get it, wins if it does. Otherwise she is a chance to get a bit of cover from the stable mate Beaudiene Beach Babe. Captured Delight was beaten on her merits first up, she is a lot better than that, will be sitting close enough to finish it off and at the price is probably worth an EW play. De La Tourbie can run into 3/4 off the soft pegs run.
Bet: FF:2,3,4/1,2,3,4/1,2,3,4,6/1,2,3,4,6,10. 100% costs $81. EQ:2,3,4.
R2: I've been massively disappointed by Messi lately so I will take him on here. At his best he would cross these and win but he hasn't been showing that speed. I think Glenferrie Rustler will hold him, he needs to find a lot on his last run but he was second up off a long break after showing a bit first up. I thought this was a back line race. Real Lucky has been showing some very good zip. He is likely to be 3 back the fence with a horse like Loaded Aussie outside him which means he should be able to get going when he needs to. Kerrin Joseph has started to rediscover the form he was showing this time last year, Lewis will no doubt go at the right time. Mighty Flying Deal can follow him and be a player as well.
Bet: EW 10 Real Lucky. FF:10,11/3,10,11,12/3,10,11,12/1,3,4,8,9,10,11,12. 100% costs $60. QD:3,10,11,12.
R3: Maczaffair should be winning. Running along in front I give Ayana a flukers chance of beating her or if something goes completely wrong Im Zuleika is racing well for her ability.
EQ: 2,3 10% spend combined, 9 90% spend.
R4: I expect Mysta Magical Mach to have a decent crack for the lead. American Boy can follow him across and take up a spot in the moving line really close to the speed, I'm happy to be on him. I really don't think Delightful Offer is a good horse for A Piccadilly Princess to be following, she is going to need some luck but if gets it will sprint hard. Our Jimmy Johnstone is the one who finds himself in a more winnable race than he has been in and he is likely to get a hot speed early to help him.
Bet: 4 American Boy win. FF:4,8/4,8,10/4,6,8,10/4,5,6,8,9,10,11. 100% costs $32. EQ:4,8,10
R5: Bettors Fire the early leader. Love Ultimate Machete talent wise but he looks to get crossed by Vultin Tin who will then be crossed by Chicago Bull so it really starts to shuffle him back. I don't think Soho rolls the dice at the start, he just isn't quick enough off the arm to think he can get across all the previously mentioned horses without it being suicidal. For me the big question is does Chicago Bull push up when Lazarus comes and would Bettors Fire hand up to the Bull? Not going to pretend to know the answer. I expect Devendra to run very well off the soft pegs run and if they do go fast which they look like they could My Hard Copy looks back to his best and driven dead he will rocket. It should be a good race.
Bet:FF:5/1,2,4,10/1,2,4,6,10/1,2,4,6,9,10. 100% costs $64. QD:5 80%, 6,10 20% total spend.
R6: Springsteen likely to cross Bronze Seeker setting them both up to be in the finish. I've been liking how El Machine has been going for a while now, I thought the Voak train might push forward at the start and finish up with the 1,1 on Ohoka Darcy's back. He can win it from there. Didn't think this was the right race for Major Catastrophe and it will be tough for Livura as it is similar to last week where he will have to go around them while the horses under him get the break on him.
Bet:Tri:1,2,5/1,2,5,6/1,2,3,5,6,10,11. 100% costs $45. QD:1,2,5,6.
R7: This is a tough race. Mighty Flying Thomas ran on well first up. He probably has the speed to hold up but is likely to cop a solid challenge from Web Ellis and Extreme Prince. Looks a good race for Red Salute to run on in if they do go hard. The other i'm interested in is A Boy Named Rosie. He has been racing very well for a while. If it isn't run to suit he is no chance from out there but if they do go hard he can finish over them at big odds.
Bet: Exacta 1,5,9/1,4,5,9.
100% costs $9. EW No9 A Boy Named Rossie. QD:1,5,9.
R8: I thought whoever out of Im Rockaria, Idealindiamonds, Assassinator and even Importer Exporter got to Another Ayjay first would find the top and win.
QD:6,7,8,9.
R9: Dreadlock Rockstar looks the leader and the winner but the price won't be good enough. Maybe Ima Rocknroll Legend can zap him if he can get close enough with 300m to go without actually having had to do anything in the run. I expect A Bit Ruthless to follow the speed well.
Bet: Tri:2/1,9/1,9.
R10: I'm a bit of a wrap for Makinchanges after he was very good to me last week. He will have to sit outside Wardan Express but other than some great gate speed we haven't seen anything from him yet so i'm happy to take him on.
Bet: 6 Makinchanges Win.
Good luck all.
Bet: FF:2,3,4/1,2,3,4/1,2,3,4,6/1,2,3,4,6,10. 100% costs $81. EQ:2,3,4.
R2: I've been massively disappointed by Messi lately so I will take him on here. At his best he would cross these and win but he hasn't been showing that speed. I think Glenferrie Rustler will hold him, he needs to find a lot on his last run but he was second up off a long break after showing a bit first up. I thought this was a back line race. Real Lucky has been showing some very good zip. He is likely to be 3 back the fence with a horse like Loaded Aussie outside him which means he should be able to get going when he needs to. Kerrin Joseph has started to rediscover the form he was showing this time last year, Lewis will no doubt go at the right time. Mighty Flying Deal can follow him and be a player as well.
Bet: EW 10 Real Lucky. FF:10,11/3,10,11,12/3,10,11,12/1,3,4,8,9,10,11,12. 100% costs $60. QD:3,10,11,12.
R3: Maczaffair should be winning. Running along in front I give Ayana a flukers chance of beating her or if something goes completely wrong Im Zuleika is racing well for her ability.
EQ: 2,3 10% spend combined, 9 90% spend.
R4: I expect Mysta Magical Mach to have a decent crack for the lead. American Boy can follow him across and take up a spot in the moving line really close to the speed, I'm happy to be on him. I really don't think Delightful Offer is a good horse for A Piccadilly Princess to be following, she is going to need some luck but if gets it will sprint hard. Our Jimmy Johnstone is the one who finds himself in a more winnable race than he has been in and he is likely to get a hot speed early to help him.
Bet: 4 American Boy win. FF:4,8/4,8,10/4,6,8,10/4,5,6,8,9,10,11. 100% costs $32. EQ:4,8,10
R5: Bettors Fire the early leader. Love Ultimate Machete talent wise but he looks to get crossed by Vultin Tin who will then be crossed by Chicago Bull so it really starts to shuffle him back. I don't think Soho rolls the dice at the start, he just isn't quick enough off the arm to think he can get across all the previously mentioned horses without it being suicidal. For me the big question is does Chicago Bull push up when Lazarus comes and would Bettors Fire hand up to the Bull? Not going to pretend to know the answer. I expect Devendra to run very well off the soft pegs run and if they do go fast which they look like they could My Hard Copy looks back to his best and driven dead he will rocket. It should be a good race.
Bet:FF:5/1,2,4,10/1,2,4,6,10/1,2,4,6,9,10. 100% costs $64. QD:5 80%, 6,10 20% total spend.
R6: Springsteen likely to cross Bronze Seeker setting them both up to be in the finish. I've been liking how El Machine has been going for a while now, I thought the Voak train might push forward at the start and finish up with the 1,1 on Ohoka Darcy's back. He can win it from there. Didn't think this was the right race for Major Catastrophe and it will be tough for Livura as it is similar to last week where he will have to go around them while the horses under him get the break on him.
Bet:Tri:1,2,5/1,2,5,6/1,2,3,5,6,10,11. 100% costs $45. QD:1,2,5,6.
R7: This is a tough race. Mighty Flying Thomas ran on well first up. He probably has the speed to hold up but is likely to cop a solid challenge from Web Ellis and Extreme Prince. Looks a good race for Red Salute to run on in if they do go hard. The other i'm interested in is A Boy Named Rosie. He has been racing very well for a while. If it isn't run to suit he is no chance from out there but if they do go hard he can finish over them at big odds.
Bet: Exacta 1,5,9/1,4,5,9.
100% costs $9. EW No9 A Boy Named Rossie. QD:1,5,9.
R8: I thought whoever out of Im Rockaria, Idealindiamonds, Assassinator and even Importer Exporter got to Another Ayjay first would find the top and win.
QD:6,7,8,9.
R9: Dreadlock Rockstar looks the leader and the winner but the price won't be good enough. Maybe Ima Rocknroll Legend can zap him if he can get close enough with 300m to go without actually having had to do anything in the run. I expect A Bit Ruthless to follow the speed well.
Bet: Tri:2/1,9/1,9.
R10: I'm a bit of a wrap for Makinchanges after he was very good to me last week. He will have to sit outside Wardan Express but other than some great gate speed we haven't seen anything from him yet so i'm happy to take him on.
Bet: 6 Makinchanges Win.
Good luck all.
+1 -1
Markovina, VillageKid, Ridersonthestorm33 likes this post.
Comments
$3.50 or better a place might be ok. Just don't know how he's going to do it though. Great race! A standing start at Richmond Raceway on a late January or early Febuary Friday night would be better.
Lazarus off 15 or 20 metres - that would like to see!
VillageKid likes this post.
After watching East Perth run all over Old Easts ( The Sharks ) their was nothing better than leaving East Fremantle oval whistling East Perth forever boys and see that beautiful course and track gleaming in the setting sun.
Front Line :
1. The Bucket List
2. Motu Premier
3. Ohoka Punter
4. Vulcan Tin
5. Galactic Star
6. Devendra
Back row
7. My Hard Copy
8. Bettors Fire
9. Ultimate Machete
10 Metres :
Soho Tribeca
15 metres:
Chicago Bull
25 metres:
Lazarus.
Tonight we have Chicago Bull and Lazarus drawn four and five whereas The Bucket List and Motu Premier are drawn 11 and 12, seriously...cmmmmon.
Keep My Hard Copy inside of backline...move Bettors Fire and Ultimate Machete to 10 metres, Soho Tribeca to 15 metres, Chicago Bull to 20 metres and Lazarus to 30 metres!
It gives those 100/1 chances a little chance instead of having Buckley's chance.
We have the same ol same ol mobile races every week where for example Lazarus and The Bull draw well and 200/1 chances draw 7,8,9,11,12. Will be a great spectacle tonight but just once in a blue moon do it a little differently and bring the horses in with no chance to a fraction of a chance.
Seems someone has had a decent go on The Bucket List with Tabtouch am sure was $101 or $151 this morning...perhaps someone had $5 each way on him at 100/1...it doesn't take a lot ! Sportsbet also though in from 100/1 to 25/1...so somebody must fancy.
25/1 Devendra with Tabtouch and 33/1 Vulcan Tin....now with other corporates respectively they are 66/1 and 100/1...cmon Tabtouch it's an insult to the average persons intelligence. They must think their is a fool born every day...well they got that right.
However Gloucester Park does have a good record in big races for horses three back the pegs like The Bucket List should be...however he's still 50/1 with me to win...a place only 5/1!
First Four dividend on Race 1 : Miss Sangrial the $1.30 fave wins...the three clear cut 2nd, third and fourth faves ran 2, 3, 4 practically in order of favouritism, dividend of $100.60....100/1 on the most favoured result - remarkable.
The tab is giving it away! b-(
Gilgamesh likes this post.
Now she maybe a nice type A Piccadilly Princess but she's been the best bookmakers horse and betfair lay to ever grace Gloucester Park since, um...Messi!
Somebody should let Mark Purdon know too that when a Tony Svilicich horse is in the breeze they don't give it up easily. It's just basic information - but important!
Huge run Chicago Bull and Lazaraus well if he won it would have made the bible miracle of Lazarus coming back from the dead look a bit plain.
Chris likes this post.
paraletic likes this post.
Doesnt stop you from doing it in the heat of the moment.
squid69 likes this post.
Or caught between a rock and a hard place - same thing!
paraletic likes this post.
VillageKid likes this post.
AbbysAce dislikes this post.
Ridersonthestorm33, curmudgeon likes this post.
Gilgamesh, jum likes this post.
Looking forward to the Pacing Cup immensely!