I think this is Prying Tom's best chance for a while. Loves the soft and will appreciate the speed injected into the race by Fathoms Of Gold and Cappo D'Oro.
From memory they went relatively slow in the Detonator Stakes, so he was always going to struggle. He also didn't settle for the second time in blinkers, which I don't think suit him. They come off today and I think he can sit 2 or 3 wide with cover and run over the top late. I won't be having much on though in a very open race.
If nothing is making ground, Fathoms Of Gold might re create his race against Perfect Reflection in the 2016 C.B Cox Stakes. Also Burger Time isn't the worst place bet at 6's but he looks to be plugging 3/4 wide without cover in this race.
Good race the Bunbury Cup this year, many chances.
It's the favs grand final and when they set one the stable are on the mark. Been running on 3 starts from a spell and looks as though peaking at the right time. I'd be way more confident of this was at the traditional 2200m. I think he'll sit handy compared to last 2 starts where has been last on the corner and running on. Also is 2/2 on the soft. Negatives for me are the 58.5 and hasn't graduated to beating the older horse after a breakout 3yo winter season. At 3.90 not enough in the positive column to confidently go with it. Prob wins untouched now
The one I've singled out at decent each way odds is Let's Twist. In great form with the in form stable and jock, running second and sticking on last start against the class of the Perth Cup winner. Gets weight from a few of them except Like a Butterfly, who is also a chance but just a non winner for me. Let's Twist sits very handy from 4, I see it running 1 out 2 back behind a pretty hot pace by Fathoms of Gold. If on pace is the pace to be I see it getting the gun run and being in the finish in the last 100m.
Fast finishers by He's a Parker and Mycroft in the mix with Come Play with Me, Cappo Doro and Like a butterfly sticking on.
1. Let's Twist 2. He's a Parker 3. Mycroft 4. Come Play with Me
Love Trade blinkers on in the last also worth and each way. He won a similar race 4 starts ago when he was backed hard with Pike aboard.
No Pike today but he looks the leader and with blinkers, I think they may try to lead all the way. Only query is his soft record but most of those races he wasn't beaten too far and it's only a soft 5 today.
You'd think some of the money was purely because of the rider change but I find it hard to believe an $81 chance would be backed into $9.50 just because of Pike?
The race before that he was 26 into 9.5, so I think perhaps they just like the horse when it runs over the 1200m at Bunbury.
Of course I didn't have a cent on Burger Time! A few hard lucky stories from that I think.
Prying Tom a good run after being 3 wide without cover the entire race. I must admit I was bullish at the 200m mark until someone shot him with the tranquilizer from the stands :-?
Prying Tom three wide the trip, fantastic effort. The winner also what a grinder - sustaining along run front last, looked to be a bit flat just after turning for home but then kept on coming.
Recall seeing Burger Time win a midweek race at Belmont - it was the easiest win had ever seen since Might And Power won his Caulfield Cup!
Gave them a chance but sort of veered away from my system of top weighted runners in these events but Cappo D'Oro and Prying Tom both ran extremely well. Close up third and fourth. Achernar Star #2 in the weights also did the job in the Stakes.
Those more than handy and hardy "been there done that types" - will often run well, but a horse I fancied yesterday in No Say In It - 25 years ago he would have carried 48kgs - yesterday had 54kgs - it's a big difference.
Good effort the up and comer He's A Parker thought was the winner at the furlong. Chris Parnham runner up in the Bunbury Stakes and Cup - seemed to be a big drifter in the betting He's A Parker.
Comments
1. He's A Parker
2. No Say In It
3. Mycroft
4. Elegant Blast
Bolter - Burger Time.
Or even better Prying Tom.
Loves the track, the distance and the soft!
It's the favs grand final and when they set one the stable are on the mark. Been running on 3 starts from a spell and looks as though peaking at the right time. I'd be way more confident of this was at the traditional 2200m. I think he'll sit handy compared to last 2 starts where has been last on the corner and running on. Also is 2/2 on the soft. Negatives for me are the 58.5 and hasn't graduated to beating the older horse after a breakout 3yo winter season. At 3.90 not enough in the positive column to confidently go with it. Prob wins untouched now
The one I've singled out at decent each way odds is Let's Twist. In great form with the in form stable and jock, running second and sticking on last start against the class of the Perth Cup winner. Gets weight from a few of them except Like a Butterfly, who is also a chance but just a non winner for me. Let's Twist sits very handy from 4, I see it running 1 out 2 back behind a pretty hot pace by Fathoms of Gold. If on pace is the pace to be I see it getting the gun run and being in the finish in the last 100m.
Fast finishers by He's a Parker and Mycroft in the mix with Come Play with Me, Cappo Doro and Like a butterfly sticking on.
1. Let's Twist
2. He's a Parker
3. Mycroft
4. Come Play with Me
Good luck
Best Each way for the day,Race 1 Palachino ????
Best Bet Cockney Crew
Best each way Let's Twist as above
Lookout
Bedoiun Belle (best)
Falion Machine (best roughie)
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Recall seeing Burger Time win a midweek race at Belmont - it was the easiest win had ever seen since Might And Power won his Caulfield Cup!
Gave them a chance but sort of veered away from my system of top weighted runners in these events but Cappo D'Oro and Prying Tom both ran extremely well. Close up third and fourth.
Achernar Star #2 in the weights also did the job in the Stakes.
Those more than handy and hardy "been there done that types" - will often run well, but a horse I fancied yesterday in No Say In It - 25 years ago he would have carried 48kgs - yesterday had 54kgs - it's a big difference.
Good effort the up and comer He's A Parker thought was the winner at the furlong. Chris Parnham runner up in the Bunbury Stakes and Cup - seemed to be a big drifter in the betting He's A Parker.
copped Kennedys whip over her nose a couple of times in the last 50
So did the winners **** apparently Silky old mate
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