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Group One Railway Stakes
West Australian Racing
Ridersonthestorm33
10,809 posts
Just a week away, perhaps not the strongest edition, but should be very open, unsure of eastern states horse's arriving, noticed Best Of Days and Land Of Plenty still in betting and a few others, but looking a bit thin there too.
At this stage looks even with the barrier draw crucial. Tell'em We're Comin with Willy Pike on board a likely favourite, with The Velvet King and Samizdat just under 10/1.
Not overly keen on the fave's, but even less keen on the outsiders. Even though won't be as well off at the weights give Star Exhibit some hope, just the way it won first up, seemed to have lengths up his sleeve, but was 50/1 and better, same as Perth Cup victory! Can't catch him but can't knock the first up win either. Will throw him in somewhere.
Tell'em We're Comin, he's a deserving fave in a race that looks to have many chances, with luck in running the key. Seen Railway's dominated by on speed runners over the 1600 and others where they've flooded home.
For many many years the Railway was over the 1500 metre journey, think was about 20 years ago changed to the 1600 metres.
Any thoughts on the prospective winner most welcome!
At this stage looks even with the barrier draw crucial. Tell'em We're Comin with Willy Pike on board a likely favourite, with The Velvet King and Samizdat just under 10/1.
Not overly keen on the fave's, but even less keen on the outsiders. Even though won't be as well off at the weights give Star Exhibit some hope, just the way it won first up, seemed to have lengths up his sleeve, but was 50/1 and better, same as Perth Cup victory! Can't catch him but can't knock the first up win either. Will throw him in somewhere.
Tell'em We're Comin, he's a deserving fave in a race that looks to have many chances, with luck in running the key. Seen Railway's dominated by on speed runners over the 1600 and others where they've flooded home.
For many many years the Railway was over the 1500 metre journey, think was about 20 years ago changed to the 1600 metres.
Any thoughts on the prospective winner most welcome!
Comments
A great old horse Marjoleo won from the despised 16 barrier draw and another very good WA horse Fair Sir was placed from the extreme outside draw.
Then other Railway's the first 5 or 6 in running have stayed that way, with the backmarkers unable to get into it.
Miss Muffet she was a great winner. Better Loosen Up another, he'd pick this field up at the 200 and race away. No comparison the eastern states horse's that arrive today compared to Iko, Marwong and Better Loosen up - those three were all class. Getting Closer another superb winner from over east.
Better Loosen Up won a Railway Stakes and a Japan Cup! A winning double that will never be repeated for eternity.
Has it been confirmed that Pike rides Tellem We’re Comin? Would’ve thought Bob might have a say in that.
Ohsomodest likes this post.
No more important barrier draw for a Railway than this one! There's a few of the fave's that wouldn't go anywhere near from an outside draw.
While there is no evidence he'll make the trip, I thought Cliffs Edge could have been the perfect candidate for the race, leading them a merry dance and grinding them down in the run home.
Looking at the order of entry and the fact that most of the ES states horses won't be coming, Tell em Were Coming looks the best chance and the market reflects that. I would be warming to Reykjavik after a good win at 1400 last start and won the winter championship at Flemington last prep after a similar step in races. Gatting going under the radar for mine at $14 and has to carry 4kg more than last year, bit what a year it's been for the champ, he is up to his ears here. Let's not forget his win 4 starts ago against a far superior lineup and the latest run here was excellent finding one better in Star Exhibit, who gets weight off Gatting again and looks well forward to last year in it's prep toward a 3rd Perth Cup, which is probably off the cards as of he goes well in the next 3 starts and wins one then Bob won't run him with 60kg surely in the PC. Samizdat and The Velvet King are the up and comers and I'm leaning Samizdat between those two. Massive query on a hard run 1600m for Samizdat not running ever past 1400m while the Velvet King has won at 1600m, albeit in much weaker company. The last for me is Variation, gets in on the minimum and was a ripping run over 1400m at Flemington last start.
Lots to digest but am looking forward to a final field soon to get stuck in
Ridersonthestorm33 likes this post.
hash likes this post.
However when calling a race a Group One - let's have a few more Group runners. Thank goodness for 10/1 chance Gatting the grand campaigner at least gives the race some Group One worthiness.
Not being negative and despite the "have you ever tried to win one"...this is not what would call a Group One field. We all want to see the locals do well - but top class eastern states representation is a must. It's the same every year - I mean last year horse's like Hartnell were mentioned as possibilities - many of the ES horse's had as much chance of coming as the good lord arriving for the second coming tomorrow!
But get an 8/1 or 12/1 winner and it doesn't matter! Also if an owner, don't blame ya...I'd be hoping none of them come.
Still need to look at the overall picture and despite how the spin doctors will be saying this is a very good edition of the Railway ( they always do )...well it's not really. In saying that the winner will be more than deserving.
7 horse's ran in the Lee Steere - an important lead up to a Railway and get 7 runners, okey doke nothing to see here..move on.
As Steve Wolfe said in that interview - somebody with initiative needs to take WA racing forward!
Can recall many years of back page "West Australian" newspaper headlines of very good WA horse's missing a start in a Railway - balloted out to the emergency list, or right out completely. These horse's were very capable, mostly up and comers.
thefalcon likes this post.
H-BOMBER likes this post.
Didn't like him at Flemmo, but think I still overrate those Eastern Staters!
Also thats true when final field takes shape and barrier draw, the race always looks better, and then a good time to get stuck into it.
Can only beat what's against you, will be good to see Avdulla here too, the ES hoops add something to the race and day.
Ashlor out of Winterbottom
Falc I would say that uncle Bob has a great idea who’s coming.
Willie Pike already booked for Regal Power and he was number 55 in order of entry,also scratched yesterday
They put on two planes,all expenses seemingly covered and still nobody comes?
Says quite a bit actually. L Smith must be loving it the free transport and all. Power to him.
It just another million dollar race now. They just don't get out of bed for that anymore with what's available on their door step. Geez Newcastle had a million dollar race yesterday!!!
thefalcon, detonator, Chelsea likes this post.
Godolphin - Best of Days, Tally, Trekking, Widespread and possibly Home of the Brave.
McEvoy - Hey Doc
@OTIRacing - Gailo Chop and Tom Melbourne
@cmaherracing - Dubious and possible Spirit Of Valour
H-BOMBER likes this post.
Their was just something about the win of Star Exhibit, gotta watch replay again, but seeing it live, don't know if just me but reckon had 6 lengths up its sleeve, but 50/1 chances don't normally win like that.
Second up into a Railway with the weight disadvantage and will get back, but will be watching closely in regards to Perth Cup and in what's not the strongest Railway give him a chance just the same.
Tally - pretty sure ran a second to a very handy horse - Winx.
Hey Doc - seen win some good races.
1. Regal Power
2. Star Exhibit
3. Gatting
4. Tell'em We're Commin
5. Best Of Days - always get sucked into the e staters.
Next best The Velvet King - if draws 3 - 8 goes up a notch.
Shouldn't but could easily miss the winner in those six, so suddenly the Group 1 doesn't look too bad and at the very least should be 5/1 or 6/1 the field.
Gotta bit doubt a few at the tough Railway 1600 metres, might be the stronger types swooping late. Shall see.
jum likes this post.