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GP 28/02/2020 Sales Classic night
Harness & GreyhoundsWeather gods frowning on GP unfortunately with what looks to be some great racing tonight. Thought I might assign my tips some unit bet amounts and track my Fridays on here for a while, could be a very short while If I go poorly. Will just use WATAB prices and $1 for 1 unit.
R1: Looks to me like Iconic Valor will have the speed to kick through and lead. I thought Dennis was probably a career best run last weekend, he could track through early and get the 1,1 early on Grinny Vinnie or possibly one pair further back if Fanci A Dance gets in front of him, thought he represented terrific value. Bet:No11 Dennis 5w2plc @$18/$3.50. EQ:2,10,11.
R2: I think Dreamy Nights will be crossing, pretty sure I saw $13 with one of the corporates, not so generous WA. A1,4,11,12/1,4,11,12/ Always a risk Saleahs Comand drives it crazy but I think it should be pretty clear early that it cant get the top. Then its just a matter of holding Naval Aviator in. Bet: No4 Dreamy Nights 4EW $8/$2.10. FF:1,4/1,4,11,12/1,4,11,12/1,3,4,5,10,11,12. 5U=10.4%. EQ:1,4,12.
R3: I thought Lightning Jolt looked exceptional last week (granted I don't have the best eye). Will love the 2500m, While They Pray will create enough speed for it to run on, price is great, get on! Bet:No11 Lightning Jolt 10w 7plce @$9/$2.45. EQ:1,10,11,12.
R4: Touch Of Success has come back this time in as good as it can go. I thought it would cross them comfortably, it does that it wins. Twoandahalf Tigers is the value here, he was massive last week. Bet:No7 Touch Of Success 5w @$3. EQ: 4,6,7. 6U=5.55%.
R5: I heard Jnr this morning saying he would only be handing up to Lady Jadore, I actually think it might end up that he holds the front throughout. Lady Jadore looks the best ability on early form to me but also looks unders on that she doesn't ping the arm. Wouldn't be shocked if Jnr pinches this race. Bet: No1 Foxy Rose 2EW @$11/$1.85.
R6: Very even contest. Rich American looking to hold up which I think it can. Looks an up tempo race, I don't mind Robbie Rocket just off the speed, looks a real professional and likely to get out in the market based on punters speed maps. Bet: No2 Robbie Rocket 2EW tote.
R7: For a horse that has won 21 from 54 Simba Bromas doesn't have a 1 besides his name for a fair while. Looks a good race fom him but don't want to back him. I thought they would drive Golden State cold and he could zap them late. Bet: No5 Golden State 3w tote.
R8: Rum Delight has been in my black book for a very long time. Has a poor GP record but if he is ever going to improve on that it is here, find the top and run along please. Bet: No1 Rum Delight 2EW tote.
R9: Both Mileys Desire and Miss Sangrial are far better odds with various corporates and worth shopping around on but for the sake of this exercise a rare no bet for me, it looks to me a race where every horse has some hope.
R10: I'm pretty keen that Miss Lamarr can hold up and run a real race here. I'm a big fan for Run For Mercy but think the little filly might end up in the breeze here, that could see them going slow and under estimating the horse out in front giving her every chance to cause a boilover. Bet: No1 Miss Lamarr 5EW @$31/$4.
Rough maths looks like 73 units bet there, see how that works out Sat morning!
Good luck all.
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Sales Final for 2year olds that were sold and in the APG sale last year and paid the nomination fees. Same as race 6. This year's sale is this weekend if you want to participate next year :) there were 55 fillies sold last year and only 14 in the heats so good chance to get a start in the final.
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