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Ascot 16/1/21
West Australian Racing
Train
186 posts
R1- Best Bet: GINGER KNIGHT comes from a high rating maiden behind Wilchino from two back is racing well. Found the Narrogin 930m a little too slick first up but finished off well before struggling to stay with a talented pair second up. Last start looked lost down the straight at Pinjarra but stuck on well and now gets out to 1100 and back around a bend which look positive. Expect him to come out running from the high draw and at least find the breeze on a track that should suit those on speed.
R2- TALKABOUTYOU trialled marginally slower than market elect AMELIA’S CHANT and is drawn outside her but did look to do it easier at the trials. Jumped very cleanly, travelled well and had something to give when asked for an effort. There aren’t many speed horses in this so he should be able to find the breeze outside Amelia’s Chant but looks good enough to overcome the slightly tougher run.
R3- LAST OF THE LINE backed up an outstanding trial with a big first up run last week. Went back from a wide and found trouble on the turn but hit the line really well for third. Backing up from a first up run isn’t generally a positive but he has done it successfully in the past so happy to trust he can do it again. Could find himself in a number of spots within the first four which all look like great places to be and can make himself hard to beat.
R4- GIANT LEAP isn’t a 1000m horse but was forced to try and out sprint them first up in a slow run race. Was a massive effort to go down by the small margin and now gets out to 1400 second up which looks his right trip. Smashed rivals over 1400 at the end of his last campaign and trialled like he had gotten better this prep. Will again have to produce a big run from back in the field on a day that looks like suiting leaders but he looks a class above here.
R5- OUR DANNI has found her best form and put together two big wins from her last two. Demolished midweek opposition two back before sitting deep on speed and finding to hold off a similar field to this last start. Gets a weight swing on the five horses she beat in this field last start after the claim of Hefel and looks like finding the breeze in this race which is a big positive and is capable of making it three on the spin.
R6- DEFIANTLY has put in two very good runs since coming to town having raced just fairly in Geraldton early in her prep. Wasn’t suited by a very slow tempo over 1800 last start in the La Trice but still ran a good race. Her run two back was super though in a strongly run 2200 that allowed her to display her staying ability. Is back out to 2200 in what looks like being a genuinely run race and from four she can sit where she’s comfortable and only has to replicate the run from two back.
R7- PRINCE DEVOUTLY is clearly a horse with issues but has a super record and looks pretty talented. Hasn’t been to the races in 474 days but trialled really well for his return a month ago. Like that he has been given a month between the trial and race and with the bar plates now off (late change) happy to trust he’s close to 100% sound. Has gate speed so should be able to find cover with a lot of the other speed horses drawn outside him.
R8- INDIAN PACIFIC did the work last start to lead them running and still gave a big kick to score. Doesn’t have to lead here with Mervyn engaged and drawn wide and may be better when ridden just off the leaders. Has yet to run a bad race in his career having even been competitive at group one level. Goes up 2kg on last start against a very similar field but he is a real winner.
R9- RATION ALY was having her first start beyond 1400 last start but was a good winner. Has always looked like a mare who would appreciate longer trips and now out again to 1800 should be to her liking. Raced with little luck in two attempts at the fillies and mares series but got herself out of trouble last start when behind a wall on the bend. Finished up winning soft and can win again in what should be a genuinely run 1800.
R2- TALKABOUTYOU trialled marginally slower than market elect AMELIA’S CHANT and is drawn outside her but did look to do it easier at the trials. Jumped very cleanly, travelled well and had something to give when asked for an effort. There aren’t many speed horses in this so he should be able to find the breeze outside Amelia’s Chant but looks good enough to overcome the slightly tougher run.
R3- LAST OF THE LINE backed up an outstanding trial with a big first up run last week. Went back from a wide and found trouble on the turn but hit the line really well for third. Backing up from a first up run isn’t generally a positive but he has done it successfully in the past so happy to trust he can do it again. Could find himself in a number of spots within the first four which all look like great places to be and can make himself hard to beat.
R4- GIANT LEAP isn’t a 1000m horse but was forced to try and out sprint them first up in a slow run race. Was a massive effort to go down by the small margin and now gets out to 1400 second up which looks his right trip. Smashed rivals over 1400 at the end of his last campaign and trialled like he had gotten better this prep. Will again have to produce a big run from back in the field on a day that looks like suiting leaders but he looks a class above here.
R5- OUR DANNI has found her best form and put together two big wins from her last two. Demolished midweek opposition two back before sitting deep on speed and finding to hold off a similar field to this last start. Gets a weight swing on the five horses she beat in this field last start after the claim of Hefel and looks like finding the breeze in this race which is a big positive and is capable of making it three on the spin.
R6- DEFIANTLY has put in two very good runs since coming to town having raced just fairly in Geraldton early in her prep. Wasn’t suited by a very slow tempo over 1800 last start in the La Trice but still ran a good race. Her run two back was super though in a strongly run 2200 that allowed her to display her staying ability. Is back out to 2200 in what looks like being a genuinely run race and from four she can sit where she’s comfortable and only has to replicate the run from two back.
R7- PRINCE DEVOUTLY is clearly a horse with issues but has a super record and looks pretty talented. Hasn’t been to the races in 474 days but trialled really well for his return a month ago. Like that he has been given a month between the trial and race and with the bar plates now off (late change) happy to trust he’s close to 100% sound. Has gate speed so should be able to find cover with a lot of the other speed horses drawn outside him.
R8- INDIAN PACIFIC did the work last start to lead them running and still gave a big kick to score. Doesn’t have to lead here with Mervyn engaged and drawn wide and may be better when ridden just off the leaders. Has yet to run a bad race in his career having even been competitive at group one level. Goes up 2kg on last start against a very similar field but he is a real winner.
R9- RATION ALY was having her first start beyond 1400 last start but was a good winner. Has always looked like a mare who would appreciate longer trips and now out again to 1800 should be to her liking. Raced with little luck in two attempts at the fillies and mares series but got herself out of trouble last start when behind a wall on the bend. Finished up winning soft and can win again in what should be a genuinely run 1800.
Comments
SLIPPERGOLDEN likes this post.
Tollman
Devine beast
Ouqba Ted
Time to sizzle
Mervyn
Ration aly
Similar scenario for Last Of The Line who will box seat, Hill is seeing them well and should extricate this talented galloper off the fence straightening and from there he just wins..
R6 It's hard to split Ouqba Ted whom with his pilot are both in good form and Lonsdale Lady, she can go much better this time out to this trip has a bit of class I think.
R7 Spec bet on Amelia's Contraire first up in what looks a pretty open race, Time to Sizzle worth a bet too one of them surely gets some cover in running.
R9 All the main chances have drawn inside gates 1, 2 and 3 luck getting a run in the straight will be critical.
I am thinking that tomorrow the Pontiff could end up bookending the card on Ration Aly, will obviously need some of that luck from 2 but I expect him to not give CP drawn inside him any quarter whatsoever, until he hits the go button when clear galloping room presents(I hope)and he is off for the prize.She is a quite progressive mare imo and likely the best of these.
rooboy, Thunderstruck likes this post.
Yankee, thefalcon likes this post.
Nearly 3 weeks in a row. Gee whiz can find them the blue man
SLIPPERGOLDEN likes this post.
JimmyPop likes this post.
JimmyPop likes this post.
The tv camera is past the post so if the outside looks to have won from the tv, it has certainly won.
JimmyPop likes this post.
Thunderstruck, tony, JimmyPop likes this post.