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Ascot Preview, 13th January news

Ascot Preview, 13th January

Terry Leighton | Metropolitan Racing | Fri 12 January, 2018

Race 1 – Confident Camp

With the festivities of the New Year and Christmas period done and dusted, it’s time to find a couple of winners. Those JB Hi-Fi gift cards aren’t going to pay for themselves.

Perfect racing conditions with the temperature in the late 20’s and no rain to be seen. This may be a different story next week looking ahead at the ever-reliable bureau of meteorology site. Hard to truly trust any weather service after the retirement of Jeff Newman.

As is becoming the norm, we kick the day off with a $30,000 maiden which must have connections licking their lips. Despite it being worth nearly double your average midweek maiden, there is not a capacity field, nor a field with a super amount of quality or depth.

Rebow races first up for an ownership group which is currently full of confidence following recent wins with How To Fly & Flash Of Thunder. The 1200m first up looked a bit short for this son of Reset, but he was well found in the market, when narrowly edged out by You Am I. That form line is an unknown, though the fact they gapped the rest of the field by over five lengths, suggests it may well be quite strong.

Spin On Command was huge first up and can only improve with Pike going on. The worry is at his only previous campaign he ran a bolter first up before quickly putting the cue back in the rack. Friar Away looks well in, while Smoke ‘N’ Mirrors looks well over the odds at $61. His trial was nice.

Selections

5 Rebow
6 Friar Away
2 Smoke ‘N’ Mirrors

Suggested Bet: 50 wins Rebow (5).

Race 2 – Taylor’s Two Year Old’s

Nine unraced two-year old’s do battle against five others who have a combined eight starts between them. Needless to say, the exposed form here is definitely lacking. I really did like the trial of Jim Taylor’s runner, Willow River, and like the fact it showed good gate speed. If this Maschino filly can step out of the gates in the same manner and find the fence, she could take a lot of running down. Jim Taylor rarely runs them as two-year olds which may suggest she is pretty forward.

Selections

14 Willow River
10 Cinnamon Run
1 Carolina Reaper

Suggested Bet: 20 wins Willow River (14).

Race 3 – I’ll Drink To That

Cognac is your quintessential Paul Jordan horse. His knack at keeping these two and three-year olds up and racing, even when carrying big weights, is quite phenomenal. Narrowly beaten by Illustrious Tycoon (who since came out to defeat the older horses), he then stepped up the 1200m and made light work of a very similar field to this. Does go up in the weights here, but it is hard to see any of the others turning the table. Street Fury was held up at a crucial stage, though Cognac still looked to be stronger on the line.

Flash Of Thunder is the potential fly in the Cognac here after being backed off the map in the same race Cognac won a fortnight ago. Unfortunately for connections, he never made it to the gates after Clint Johnston-Porter was thrown on the way. If he has taken no harm from that, he could be one out of the box. Has gone up around $8.50 with most agencies – expect him to jump closer to the $4 mark.

You Am I, Wee Cent and Go Crying are all impressive last start winners in lower grades, but I can’t see any of them being at this level just yet. Looks a race in two.

Selections

1 Cognac
2 Flash Of Thunder
5 Street Fury

Suggested Bet: 50 wins and 50 places Cognac (1).

Race 4 – Mueller’s Mare

Miss Andretti. She was a race horse. Due to this being a shocker of an event, I will instead write a paragraph on how I travelled from Cardiff to London via a very dodgy Greyhound as a fresh faced 19-year-old, to watch Miss Andretti run at Royal Ascot. She defeated Takeover Target that day while the Carlsberg’s defeated me. Few remember she was initially trained by battling hobby trainer David Mueller. Highly recommend reading the book.

Anyway, with that little history lesson over we’ll take a look at this very uninspiring black type event. We have a 6 horse race with Zuccheros and Properantes being no hope at the 1100m, leaving us with four winning hopes. Caipirinha has been backed off the map every start this campaign without saluting. Worst part for all those punters is that she should probably be winning this one but you’d all have to be broke by now. Oh, and she has opened up $2 here. Cruel.

Volkoff has gone up $7 which looks like the clear value. If he is within a length or two on straightening, he can win. Caipirinha on top. Volkoff the ‘overs’.

Selections

6 Caipirinha
1 Volkoff
2 Dainty Tess

Race 5 – Lights, Camera, Action

Derby bound three-year-old Action, looks to have a big future and not surprisingly she is wearing the famous cerise and white of Robert Peters. His recent trial was exactly what you’d want from an aspiring stayer and all being equal, should be going very close in this. Kimbo’s Girl, River Dance, Nelson’s Flight and Forseen should ensure this is run at an even tempo which will only work in this son of Pierro’s favour.

River Dance and Oliver’s Travels (who was arguably a good thing beaten last time out), look the only two dangers. At $2, I can’t suggest him as a play, but he if creeps out towards the $3 mark I would consider an investment.

Selections

7 Action
2 Oliver’s Travels
1 River Dance

Suggested Bet: No bet.

Race 6 – A Throw At The Stumps

Mantime has been following the money moving mould of Simon Miller trained runners as a losing favourite at his last two. A bit like Caipirinha earlier, it is hard for those punters to recoup their losses as the $3.20 he goes up here. Will not have it his own way out in front with stablemate Scalpel likely to press forward alongside the likes of Bounce Down, Copper Fury, Stirling Estate and potentially a fresh Hoboken. Should be going close, but couldn’t go near him at the $3.20 on offer.

Belter is a first up specialist and the pace in this event should suit. I always find it difficult to come at Steven Parnham horses with much confidence as his strike rate isn’t one which excites. So, for this extremely biased reason, I am going to speculate on another who should appreciate the top end speed in this event, Angelisa. Two starts ago was in a nearly identical race when potentially a good thing beaten when held up the entirety of the straight. Looked to be absolutely bolting. He then came out on a leader bias Bunbury track and put in a flat-out shocker. Forgiveness isn’t my strength, but at $30+ I am happy having a little each way. It is important to note Brodie Kirby will only utilise 1.5 of his 3kg claim as his minimum riding weight being 52.5kgs.

Selections

11 Angelisa
5 Mantime
2 Belter

Suggested Bet: 15 wins and 15 places Angelisa (11).

Race 7 – Shut The Gate

An even looking 72+ event with multiple winning hopes. Shady Gray was huge in defeat behind the promising Illustrious Tycoon and can definitely go one better here for promising apprentice Brodie Kirby. Unfortunately, Brodie won’t have Robert Markou in the race to pull one up for him. Been a few weeks since I’ve had a dig…

Top Of The Class was huge at her most recent effort, when coming from an impossible position at the 200m to get within a half length of Settlers Creek. This Star Witness mare has drawn wide, which is actually a blessing in disguise for her. When drawn well, she tends to be ridden up closer to the speed. She is at her best when put to sleep until the bend. William Pike is the perfect jockey for this style of horse.

Going to go with a bit of value again and tip the luckless Helm’s Gate on top. First up sat three deep the trip when narrowly defeated by Get Over It, before being held up the entirety of the straight second up. I would prefer to see this Universal Ruler gelding over 1400m+, but he can win. Has drawn perfectly and deserves some luck. At nearly $20 he looks a very big each way price.

Selections

8 Helms Gate
10 Top Of The Class
4 Shady Gray

Suggested Bet: 30 wins and 30 places Helms Gate (8).

Race 8 – Even Stevens

Don’t be behind coming to the last. This looks an even a race as they come.

Gunnago should settle closer to the speed from the good draw. Has found one better at his last two outings and will be hoping to go one better here. Which is a really obvious thing to say… believe it or not the aim wasn’t to run second.

Woodsville actually meets them all better at the weights after Lucy Warwick was tagged out for Tayla Stone. Tayla is more than capable and the $11 on offer for a horse who has beaten the majority of these at his last two efforts does look somewhat enticing. Find it very hard to come in for a nine-year-old who has just won two on the bounce. Couldn’t think of the last nine-year-old to make it a hat-trick.

Touch Of Silver, Luke’s Gold and Ragazzo D’Oro are winning hopes, but the one who may well be ready to break through this campaign is Friaresque. Was ridden a little bit close to the speed at his most recent outing and I’d expect a more patient showing here from the in form Patrick Carbery. Gloryland is one worth throwing into your quaddies. Could not find the front last start, and is a different horse when allowed to roll out in front. Is also reunited with Broome Cup winning jockey Simone Alteri. Probably will be close to the $100 mark on the day.

Selections

5 Friaresque
3 Gunnago
6 Luke’s Gold

Suggested Bet: No bet.
 

59 Comments | 3 months ago

Recent Comments

User paraletic

paraletic 14 Jan | Posts: 2590

Yes that the one

User DamienWyer

DamienWyer 14 Jan | Posts: 5989

There was one a few years ago, he was calling it the sires name. In the Mitchell colours from memory. I'm pretty sure the Stallion was Postponed.

User paraletic

paraletic 14 Jan | Posts: 2590

There was one a few years ago, he was calling it the sires name. In the Mitchell colours from memory.

User BushChook

BushChook 14 Jan | Posts: 36

That's true. Emabarrassing for all involved. Dmac included.

User BlacksAFake

BlacksAFake 14 Jan | Posts: 2010

He called Vena Schnitzel 3rd,ran 5th

User Nevershowsurprise

Nevershowsurprise 14 Jan | Posts: 572

He only corrected it because he was told of the error from down the line.

User BushChook

BushChook 14 Jan | Posts: 36

I was listening on the radio. He did correct it straight away. Threw G Hall off his game too, was talking about the great ride by Joey in the post race interview. I had to have a bit of a laugh. I don't envy them one bit, live TV/Radio is not very forgiving. T...

User Thumper

Thumper 14 Jan | Posts: 788

Looks like stewards have tried to sweep this under the carpet. Whenever the club colours are used it is noted in the report and somebody cops a $50 fine for having to use them. No mention this time.As we know standard practice should have been for Stirling Est...

User Ngawyni

Ngawyni 14 Jan | Posts: 357

I feel sorry for anyone listening on the radio, or in a TAB who had a ticket on Stirling Estate..How many tickets got thrown away??? Don't know how long he took to correct it on the radio, but it wasn't instantly done on the TV. He corrected it on track as ...

User oldhendo

oldhendo 14 Jan | Posts: 186

Sorry i have no time for him, just a big frog in a small pond in Perth. The bloke has a bad call every week.