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Ascot Preview, 27th January news

Ascot Preview, 27th January

Terry Leighton | Metropolitan Racing | Sat 27 January, 2018

Race 1 - Aussie Aussie Aussie

'Aussie Aussie Aussie'.... 'Oi Oi Oi'. Seriously Australia? We are a big enough bunch of yobbo's as it is. Is the above witty? No. Is the above patriotic? No. It just makes us look like complete and utter oxygen thieves.

Happy Australia Day.

Horses.

Weather good. Fields reasonable. Hangovers large. A tremendous day to sit on the couch and reflect on those new, witty chants we came up with at our various Australia Day parties around the country. Let’s pay for the 7 snags and 19 VB’s consumed on the 26th by having a whack at Rebow in the first. Not an overly exciting quote at the $2 mark, but as a famous gnome once told me ‘a short-priced winner is better than a long-priced loser’. I did tip Gloryland last week, so I am not sure I completely subscribe to this. But for this particular race, we’ll go with.

Should roll forward, race in the first four and looks panels above these with You Am I franking the form. Has had a minor setback with a foot abscess but could probably win with a grade four bout of tinea.

Vagabond Boy looks the main danger. I am surprised the stable didn’t opt for Autier again after his 10/10 ride on Immoralite during the week.

Selections

4 Rebow

3 Vagabond Boy

2 Frankly Scarlett

Suggested Bet: 100 wins Rebow (4).

 

Race 2 – Mouth Karate

Probably my favourite horse name of 2018. Can see the kids using this after a big night at the Paramount Nightclub. ‘How’d you go last night mate?’, ‘Yeah good, fully mouth karate’d this bird’. For that reason alone, I am going to tip it on top.

Luckily there are a couple of other reasons to like him here. His last run was huge, and the senior jockey goes on. If he can find cover midfield, I think this race may suit something which can come off the pace. We are likely to see a lot of talented, but green youngsters want to go quick early. There will be a few Ubers being called at the 150m mark I’d suggest. Kiss The Breeze looks very talented, but the way I see this event being run, barrier one could be to her detriment. 

A race to sit back and watch.

Selections

6 Mouth Karate

12 Princess Pierro

5 Kiss The Breeze

Suggested Bet: No bet.

 

Race 3 – Lady Luck

This intriguing little three-year-old scamper, see’s many a contrasting form-line clash. Upon seeing Lady Le Jean’s debut run down everybody’s favourite straight course at Pinjarra, I declared that a ‘star was born’. While not completely sold on my initial assessment, I still think this Time Thief filly has a stack of ability and can measure up here. First up she was a moral beaten. Second up she won, albeit not as convincingly as I had predicted and then third up she was a moral beaten again. She should be three from three. If she handles her first look at Ascot she could be the one finishing over the top of them. $12 looks a nice quote.

Epic Grey is the class and looks to have come back in good order. If he can find the outside of likely leader, Tango Ora, then he will be awfully hard to get past. Dynamite Dream’s trial was very soft while there is a big watch on Supreme Force. $3.30 is gross unders for a gelding having his first career start against some quality opposition. Would need to be very good.

Selections

10 Lady Le Jean

1 Epic Grey

5 Dynamite Dream

Suggested Bet: 40 wins and 40 places Lady Le Jean (10).

 

Race 4 – Peters & Pike

This looks to be a benefit race to the Bob Peters & William Pike pairing once again. Royal Command was huge in defeat first up when coming from a long way off the pace to rattle home into fourth, on a day where making ground was not achieved by many. I’ve marked this Street Sense gelding $1.50 here, so the $1.80 on offer is probably not the worst shopping. Might be worth looking at throwing him into Rebow in the first.

Veuve De Vega and Harry Thomas are your likely leaders here and both are capable on their day. Only bad luck beats Royal Command.

Selections

2 Royal Command

5 Persian Princess

1 Harry Thomas

Suggested Bet: 100 wins Royal Command (2).

 

Race 5 – Ready To Win

Zuccheros and Classical Prince are two horses which both look ready to win and both are screaming out for the 1400m. Both have drawn well and both camps will be confident of knocking off the early fixed odds favourite in Wrinkly, who must surely be coming towards the end of a very fruitful campaign. Wrinkly should hold the front here with Classical Prince stalking everything he does from barrier one. There is every chance young Brodie Kirby will then drop onto Classical Prince’s back and be stalking him. The way Wrinkly races by putting a length or two on the field upon turning for home, this is the exact way you want your horses to be mapped – gaps will always appear. 

Very confident one of these two will salute, with Eleven Seconds the big watch horse. The Gangemi stable is flying currently.

Selections

7 Classical Prince

1 Zuccheros

8 Eleven Seconds

Suggested Bet: 50 wins Classical Prince (7). 50 wins Zuccheros (1).

 

Race 6 – Larry Emdur

Time for some stats. Taxadermy was not seen on a race track from 14/5/15 to 27/7/17. His early career reads – 19 starts, 1 wins, 4 seconds and 2 thirds. The ‘second coming’ of Taxadermy (the irony of the name is not lost on me) reads – 8 starts, 4 wins, 2 seconds and 0 thirds. Clearly Lindsey Smith has got a brand-new galloper on his hands after those 26 months off the track. This Blackfriars geldings last effort was huge in a grade they would have only dreamt about racing in 6 months ago. The four horses which beat him home that day would all be your favourite here. Taxadermy has gone up $10 for this event and as Larry Emdur would say ‘The Price Is Right, Come on Down!’.

The downside is clearly the barrier. Dan Staeck doesn’t have a great deal of tact when he rides, and I’ve already begun working on my witty tweet for when he sits three deep the journey and goes down by a lip. Currently leading is ‘Staeck Staeck Steack. Oi Oi Oi’. I can do better. Let’s hope Gloryland and Forseen cut at each other early allowing Staeck to slot in just behind them. The horse does have reasonable tactical speed.

Capricorn Dancer is your $4.80 favourite here which does look like unders. Our Mate Al gave him the cart up at their last outing to only be beaten by under a length. That galloper is $13 here. The price differential is too large if you were looking at going that way.

Push To Pass is the biggest danger here if Tayla Stone can get this Ashley Maley galloper some cover in the run. As for Gloryland… I’m joking. I was always joking.

Selections

5 Taxadermy

1 Push To Pass

4 Politics

Suggested Bet: 50 wins and 50 places Taxadermy (5) **take the early $10**.

 

Race 7 - Morse Code

To me Dash Dot Dash is the most intriguing runner of the day. On debut a year ago was touted as a potential top liner with an effortless victory. Failed badly second up, which was later attributed to soundness issues and has since spent 12 months off the race track. Her recent two trials have been hard to gauge as she does not appear to have been asked for any considerable effort throughout. In a race where finding the winner looks a near impossibility, I would be happy having a small spec on horse with Justin Koschitzke like potential.

Mantime has had a pretty rough time with barrier draws of late and that trend has continued here after plucking legs eleven. I wonder if the Miller yard will consider letting this son of Denman drop out and be ridden cold. He was ridden like this earlier in his career with reasonable success. Can definitely break, ridden hot or cold.

Big question marks on the step up in class for Bon Voyage, though How To Fly has franked that form.

Selections

13 Dash Dot Dash

4 Mantime

6 Snow Lord

Suggested Bet: No bet.

 

Race 8 – Every Man And His Dog

Will be backing Gee Boss. After Punters.com.au gave it national coverage as an early candidate for the worst beat of 2018. I’m obviously known for sticking up for the jockeys and will continue that trend of loyalty towards out favourite humans. The Pinjarra straight is a difficult course to navigate with every man and his horse wanting to find the outside rail. With only 56.5kgs and clearly the best horse in the race, I think the admonishment perhaps needs to be levelled at Michael Lane, or the connections who opted to claim the unnecessary 3kgs. We still love you Fiona xxx

Should be winning here. But this is a nice little race. Cognac and Delicate Miss are both drawn underneath him and could very well hold up leaving him out three deep. It is quite likely that Delicate Miss will opt for the sit leaving Gee Boss on the outside of Cognac. From there you should be able to jump in the queue and collect your winnings.

Selections

5 Gee Boss

10 Cognac

4 Bombs Away

 

Suggested Bet: 80 wins Gee Boss (5). 

3 Comments | 9 months ago

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User Gray

Gray 27 Jan | Posts: 3837

Great Stuff, unrewarded hard work wasted on the masses or lack there of.LOL

User Jell

Jell 27 Jan | Posts: 771

He certainly calls a spade a spade. Posts some amusing tweets as well:https://twitter.com/PerthRacingGuru

User thefalcon

thefalcon 27 Jan | Posts: 15132

dunno who you are but gee whiz you write an amusing but in depth review...