Back to Feed

Full Belmont Preview 12th August news

Full Belmont Preview 12th August

Perth Turf Talk | Metropolitan Racing | Thu 10 August, 2017

Race 1 - Cutaway In Play

With the abandonment of the midweek Belmont meet, I am absolutely chomping at the bit to get stuck into a bit of city action. It is important to note that the rail position has changed from the true to the 15 metres and the controversial cutaway will be in play. This is the first meet on a Saturday I can remember where it has been utilised. When writing this on a Thursday afternoon the track is at a Soft6 and with more rain forecast over the next couple of days, I suspect it will hold around that rating.

Not a race I am overly enthusiastic about. Costa Oeste will give Casey Hunter her best opportunity for city success after a couple of eye catchers at his most recent outings. The step up to 1400m should suit him. Quest To Venus and Miss Ponderosa are both running out of chances, but are more than capable of winning this from their good draws. Golgotha might be the class of the field but Dan Staeck will need to be at his absolute best to get it home from the wide gate.

Selections

3 Costa Oeste
9 Quest To Venus
10 Miss Ponderosa

Suggested Bet: No bet.

Race 2 - Fred's Choice

A small but intriguing staying event here, where young Fred Kersley may hold the key. Darren Mc Auliffe was quoted midweek as saying Fred would ride Gatting for him but when acceptances were finalised and jockeys named, Fred instead opted for Ihtsahymn. The family connection may have played a part in this, but it is still a telling move from one of the states most promising apprentices. On top of this he also would have been offered the ride on Stocks.

Early markets have Ihtsahymn as the longest price of the three mounts Kersley was offered and the current figure of around $7 looks like a tremendous each way price. Yes, tremendous. His last run behind Rosewood Hill showed he was close to being back to his best and the 3kg claim will only enhance his winning prospects. I can't split him and Gatting.

I better chuck Ripper Rio in for third as not to be reprimanded by some of the demanding connections. I do think he is a run short however for the 2100m (revised from 2000m with the rail adjustment). The Forgotten One is a watch horse after a stack of money stayed in the bookies bags last start.

Selections

1 Ihtsahymn
2 Gatting
5 Ripper Rio

Suggested Bet: 50 wins and 50 places Ihtsahymn (1).

Race 3 - Dark Skies Ahead

After an abject failure first up, Atacama Sky's tactics were altered and we saw this Scandal Keeper gelding race with a sit for the first time in his short career. Despite giving leader and subsequent winner More Aces a hefty head start he hit the line hard showing he has more strings to his bow. He did lay inwards noticeably over the final 100m which affected Brad Parnham's ability to fully test him. He should have More Aces back here and have every conceivable chance with the cutaway in play.

Selections

8 Atacama Sky
3 Recoiled
2 More Aces

Suggested Bet: No bet.

Race 4 - Television At It's Worst

Kiss Bang Love was a TV show which was aired on channel 7 in 2016. It is the lowest ebb Australian television has ever hit. For those who have never seen an episode - keep it that way. Anyway, this Russell Stewart trained filly was one of the surprise packets of the 2 year old carnival earlier this year when winning the Group 3 Gimcrack Stakes. She was too strong for the all conquering Lucy Mae on that day and if Stewart has her anyway near that form she takes a stack of beating here. She will likely end up a couple of spots back on the fence with the cutaway being her best friend on straightening.

There is a stack of 'horses to watch' in this but probably none more so than Epic Grey. A bit like a newly drafted Liam Jurrah this Wicked Style gelding has a stack of ability but as seen on his debut run, can do a lot wrong. I think with the blinkers coming off from the wide gate they may look to ride him cold. Foxy Princess can improve at $60+ here.

Selections

2 Kiss Bang Love
4 Epic Grey
10 Foxy Princess

Suggested Bet: No bet.
'
Race 5 - Hook, Line & Sinker

Prize Catch was a dominant midweek winner when attacking the mile second up. He should have derived fitness from that run and from the good draw should be very hard to hold out late. This is a race of contrasting form lines with Veuve De Vega arguably having the best of those. He has looked like more of a grinder than a sprinter towards the end of last campaign so the step up to the mile here should suit. He should lead this quite comfortably with Bella's Idol on his back and Prize Catch not far from them.

Romelo and Let's Twist were both solid placegetters at their most recent outings but due to the wide gates both will be giving Prize Catch & Veuve De Vega quite a head start. Never easy circling the field with the cutaway in play. Happy calling this a two horse race and leaning towards the sharper Prize Catch. $6.50 currently on offer looks a nice each way price. Not tremendous. Just nice.

Selections

4 Prize Catch
3 Veuve De Vega
12 Take It Like A Man

Suggested Bet: 40 wins and 40 place Prize Catch (4).

Race 6 - Easy Street

The listed Newmarket Stakes is the feature race of the day which does appear to lack many winning hopes. Profit Street was an incredibly dominant winner of the Bolton Stakes a fortnight ago, stepping up and succeeding at listed company at the first time of asking. Despite the weight penalty he receives here this is just about an easier assignment to the one he faced last time out. Barrier one is a blessing with the cutaway in play, Brad Parnham has a stack of options.

The recent Bob Peters dispersal sale may have been a good one to be at with Astronomite already winning twice for the new owners at Belhus Racing and Battle Hero being a massive hope of tasting black type success here. Coming off a 56 day break for a new stable, it is hard to know how well he is going but his best is good enough to win this with a degree of comfortability. Murmurs from the stable suggest he will be hard to beat. Meteoroid is the final of the three hopes in this race after a total 'forget' run last time out. She actually did well to box on and finish as close as she did. From barrier 3 with a cleaner getaway, she should find the fence and run them along here. That should be your boxed trifecta.

Selections

1 Battle Hero
2 Profit Street
6 Meteoroid

Suggested Bet: No bet.

Race 7 - Absolute Cracker

The penultimate event of the day is an absolute cracker. This is only a 62+ but it would not surprise me if we see some of these doing battle in listed races in the next couple of 12 months. Bonny Be Good proved herself to be a serious racehorse last campaign with the scalp of Caipirinha. Her recent trial was strong, but after 10 months off racing she may be one worth watching in betting. Young Gina hails from the same stable and is undefeated at this stage in his career. Both of those wins he's looked beaten at the 200m before really finding the line hard. He may be one looking for a little further than the 1200m but is still capable from the good draw here.

Get Over It doesn't need much of an introduction after being edged out in a two horse battle royale with Royal Command at his most recent outing. Again, he has drawn wide which will mean giving some of these smart gallopers a head start. I have no doubt Lindsey Smith will look to step him up in journey very shortly. Miss Sondrio and Diablerie are two South West gallopers with a stack of ability. The race of the day, but probably not as a betting proposition.

Selections

8 Bonny Be Good
6 Get Over It
9 Young Gina

Suggested Bet: No bet.

Race 8 - The Get Out Shapes

Final event of the day is another intriguing battle between two horses destined for bigger and better things.

Gunnago has simply been outstanding in his short career to date making his recent opposition look absolutely second rate. Two starts back he toyed with Invincible Warrior who subsequently came out to win and win comfortably. I was happy putting a line through him at his next outing when he stepped up to a red hot Saturday 3 year old field and blew them away. Needless to say, there won't be a line going through him again. The worry for a horse so early in his career is keeping him at the top of his game and stringing 4 wins together, but he does look like a professional. The barrier on paper appears to be a deterrent, but there is no natural leader in this and he should be able to find a spot in the first two in running.

The danger is Pushin' Shapes. He has always promised to go to another level and last campaign did just that. He barely got out of second gear when winning first up last campaign. This is a completely different kettle of fish, but if his trial is anything to go by he should be rocketing home late. Young Fred Kersley will be aiming to find the three wide line and unleash him late. If there is a chink in Gunnago's arsenal then he will find it.

At $8 I'm happy putting Pushin' Shapes on top as an each way play, though the $3 currently available about Gunnago does look enticing. I wouldn't be afraid to play both.

Selections

1 Pushin' Shapes
9 Gunnago
14 Double Digit

Suggested Bet: 30 wins and 30 places Pushin' Shapes (1). 

45 Comments | 2 months ago

Recent Comments

User GLAMOUR

GLAMOUR 13 Aug | Posts: 183

After watching the last race at Belmont,im confused,wirds coming from trainer saying By Decree is not a front runner, and the exact saying from the jockey,ive learnt her best place is from behind,and what happens yesterday,he tajes her to the front,anyones tho...

User BushChook

BushChook 12 Aug | Posts: 22

Agreed, Patemen is giving them every posssible at the moment. Building a strike rate that is not too far off Pike like numbers. Now he's bringing that form to town I can see him getting plenty more opportunities. Good on him

User therealkramer

therealkramer 12 Aug | Posts: 5174

I'm with you Kramer. Very average ride. Made up his mind early in the race on how he was going to ride it I think.I've been very average today. Gave Agachar a good chance - ride it back like last few and come with a run. Sits 3 wide the speed.Prize Catch - sit...

User Thumper

Thumper 12 Aug | Posts: 695

Also 10/10 but did have barrier 1

User tom

tom 12 Aug | Posts: 38

how good was the winners ride lesser horse from all reports better ride

User Thumper

Thumper 12 Aug | Posts: 695

Horse not good enough today but how good was Pateman's ride on Gunnago to lob just off the speed with cover from the outside gate. Bloke is riding in great form.

User Jell

Jell 12 Aug | Posts: 453

Gave Agachar a good chance - ride it back like last few and come with a run. Sits 3 wide the speed. Still seething from this one. Runs the fastest 600m of the day last start and was blocked for a run. Then comes out and does that ~X(Great ride on Meteoroid ...

User TheSwooper

TheSwooper 12 Aug | Posts: 1328

I'm with you Kramer. Very average ride. Made up his mind early in the race on how he was going to ride it I think.I've been very average today. Gave Agachar a good chance - ride it back like last few and come with a run. Sits 3 wide the speed.Prize Catch - sit...

User therealkramer

therealkramer 12 Aug | Posts: 5174

I resisted betting on perth all day and Randy Tan produces that? He could have had the back of the 2nd fav but he chooses the quicksand? Incredible

User udontknow

udontknow 12 Aug | Posts: 264

Stable secret