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Full Belmont Preview 29th July news

Full Belmont Preview 29th July

Terry Leighton | Metropolitan Racing | Thu 27 July, 2017

Race 1 - Punter's Pet

With 6-15mm of rain forecast for both Friday and Saturday it is likely we will see the Belmont track somewhere around the Soft6 mark. I've been horribly wrong before, but I'll allow for that anyway.

Teacher's Pet has gone up the rank outsider with all bookmakers in this field, but I have no hesitation putting her on top. This Frost Giant fillies last effort was huge when she was no better than 3 or 4 deep throughout and still gave a good kick on straightening. The appointment of the stronger jockey and better barrier draw should allow her to be ridden a little more aggressively and hopefully, closer to the speed. At around the $17 she looks well over the odds as an each way play.

Lob City looks to have found the right race while Honorfic is continually underrated by punters and will be the one coming hard late.

Selections

7 Teachers Pet
2 Lob City
1 Honorfic

Suggested Bet: 20 wins and 20 places Teachers Pet (7)

Race 2 - Pocket Aces

Jim Taylor looks to have a good hand in this 1000m scamper with More Aces improving dramatically second up. From barrier 1, you would suspect the plan will simple be to jump and run and as long as he can hold the front he should be difficult to get past. The horse named after Wayne Carey's off field antics 'Belter' should get the camp just off the speed and will appreciate the drop to 54kg's.

I'm not quite willing to forgive Atacama Sky, but it would not surprise me to see a complete form reversal in the space of 7 days. Bells Tower is the only one of the 7 I am happy putting a line through (get on).

Selections

2 More Aces
7 Belter
1 Agarchar Cruz

Suggested Bet: 60 wins More Aces (2)

Race 3 - A Johnny Williamson Classic

I've just googled 'Rosewood Hill' to learn it is a John Williamson classic. A very fitting line in the song goes: 'They said we'd fetch a million dollars, for our little Rosewood Hill'. While the million might currently look ambitious, this should add another $36,000 to the tally. At the $1.50 from the widest gate, I won't be making her a suggested bet as she will have to come from last. Always a risk if she doesn't get the right cart up.

I'd like to see Respondent ridden with a sit and I think he will here. His last 3 starts he has raced without cover and I don't think it his go. He could be one for the exotics.

Selections

4 Rosewood Hill
3 Respondent
2 North Ridge

Suggested Bet: No bet

Race 4 - Lacking Conviction

High Conviction returned in a blaze of glory after a year off racing, before going from punters pal to nemesis with an erratic display second up. The lugging bit has been fitted to attempt to rectify that problem. If this Snitzel filly is on her best behaviour then she should be winning this with a degree of comfortability. After seeing her display last week, I won't be hopping in at the $2.

Kensington Abbey is a horse I have a lot of time for. Some of her wins have been phenomenal when parked wide and seemingly never in the race. Being first up for a small yard does makes her a very speculative investment, though Arthur Mortimer does know how to get his horses fit. She won first up last campaign in a 72+ and besides High Conviction, this is no harder. She will go around a very big price.

Selections

11 High Conviction
6 Kensington Abbey
1 Helm's Gate

Suggested Bet: 20 wins and 30 places Kensington Abbey (6)

Race 5 - Bob's Your Owner

Bob Peters looks to have another exciting youngster here in Royal Command. If he is successful, I can't wait for the enthusiasm he brings to his post race interviews. The Andy Murray of WA racing. She should settle midfield from the draw, though navigating the rise in class does pose a few question marks. It will be interesting to see how she handles it. The form from her last win doesn't look overly strong with no horses behind her going on to run a place since. But, you can only beat what is in front of you.

Get Over It was brilliant first up before running out of condition late. This is a class drop on that effort and she should strip fitter, though from gate 11 she will probably be coming from a long way back. Atlanta Blue is flying and can go on with it after a very strong win. Along with General Husson, they look the four main players in this.

Selections

9 Royal Command
1 Atlanta Blue
8 Get Over It

Suggested Bet: No bet

Race 6 - Race Of The Day

While this isn't the feature, I really feel this is the most intriguing event of the day. If Steve Wolfe has Minus Looks nicely freshened up after a failed Guineas tilt, the Belmont Park specialist should be very hard to hold out from the good draw. You'd, expect him to take the trail from A Knight Of Pro. The big question mark is exactly how well the Wolfe yard has him ticking along.

I don't think Friaresque or Royal Missile are suited at the drop back to 1300m and both will probably be giving a few smart gallopers a bit too much of a head start. Rogan Scent only won a maiden last start, but her effort against Salorsci three starts back showed this level is not beyond her. Really like the appointment of the CJP, which sees her carry only 52.5kg's from a good alley. Think the winner will come from those two and at $7 (Minus Looks) and $10 (Rogan Scent), I am happy having a small win bet on both.

Selections

2 Minus Looks
10 Rogan Scent
5 Royal Missile

Suggested Bet: 30 wins Minus Looks (2). 20 wins Rogan Scent (10).

Race 7 - Fresh As A Dezzie

The only blemish on Dezzie's Dream first up card came at her very first career start in New Zealand. From there, Colin Barnett traded her for Luke Ronchi and Western Australia has been all the better for it. I do not think she is the sharpest of the cerise and white team, but I do think she is a quality sprinter. Every attempt to get her out to 1400m or beyond has ended poorly and I think she will be kept purely to sprinting assignments this campaign. She recently trialled brilliantly and has drawn the inside gate. She ticks a lot of boxes. The $8.50 on offer looks like a huge each way price.

Profit Street will appreciate the big weight drop and looks the biggest danger. It is highly likely Pike was offered both mounts which is another plus despite his allegiances to Bob Peters.

First Among Equals will improve second up, but he is currently a shorter price than he was first up. Meteoroid, Profit Street & Dezzie's Dream are all added to this field from that run. I suspect he might start closer to the $3.50 mark. He had every conceivable chance first up.

Selections

3 Dezzies Dream
8 Profit Street
1 First Among Equals

Suggested Bet: 50 wins and 50 places Dezzie's Dream (3)

Race 8 - Quaddie = Field

If you're having a rough old day on the punt and are relying on the last to get out, then I dare say you are f... in trouble. Double Digit is currently the second emergency and regular jockey Alan Kennedy is booked elsewhere, but if this Demerit gelding does get a run, he should go close. He dropped back to 1400m last start when he absolutely savaged the line midweek and was something beaten. He is back to the mile here.

From there it is a complete lottery. By Decree and Gomer Wipple have drawn complete opposite sides of the track but are both holding form well.

If you are prone to a last race 'go' after a few too many frothies then go sober for the day as it will end poorly.

Selections

18 Double Digit
4 Gomer Wipple
5 By Decree

Suggested Bet: No bet 

48 Comments | 3 weeks ago

Recent Comments

User Thumper

Thumper 29 Jul | Posts: 591

Belter Stewards Report 1/07BELTER Rider advised that the gelding was unsuited to today's Soft (6) track condition.Heavy 8 today which begs the question 1. Why was it sent around 2. Why were punters backing the horse. Must have been out of their mind. And to to...

User Thumper

Thumper 29 Jul | Posts: 591

Gunnago very impressive. Wonder how far this horse can go, has black type written all over it.

User spinking

spinking 29 Jul | Posts: 1032

Nice ticky money Falcon I had 5 in the trifecta for 50% out of those 5 they filled the first 4 as well alas I wasn't smart enough to have any of that got enough to take the mrs out for a nice feed and bottle vino Romany here we come

User thefalcon

thefalcon 29 Jul | Posts: 14160

I had a bit e/w on ryamar also, spink. plus the quinella with the 2nd horse...the Frenchie got the chocs.

User udontknow

udontknow 29 Jul | Posts: 244

Shit of a ride

User spinking

spinking 29 Jul | Posts: 1032

something small Ryamar in the next

User TheSwooper

TheSwooper 29 Jul | Posts: 1290

Great win Profit Street. Pretentious was disappointing - Donga rode it well but it is too hard to catch. Flying Time was terrific after doing plenty of work.

User Jell

Jell 29 Jul | Posts: 361

Going to roll some winnings into Sharpbob EW, even though the race is very open. He stopped like he was shot last start but the tongue tie goes on so I'm thinking he choked down. His runs previously have been good and he can lead here and give them somet...

User Horas

Horas 29 Jul | Posts: 17

Meteoroid for the Bolton

User udontknow

udontknow 29 Jul | Posts: 244

minus looksprofit street - really keenindi pacific - e/w Im also keen on indi pacific