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Kingston Town Classic Day Preview, Races 5-8 news

Kingston Town Classic Day Preview, Races 5-8

Terry Leighton | Metropolitan Racing | Sat 9 December, 2017

Race 5 – Still Not Over It

Still fairly annoyed about the presence of Mr. Panon in a similar sprint race on Stakes Day, which ruined the race for anything on pace or on the fence. Matthieu Autier suits certain horses, but he is an absolute cowboy of a jockey. There isn’t a great deal of subtlety to his riding!

This is a race where I really wanted to pot Get Over It. His last race was one he was entitled to win with the way it panned out and he did get the job done. Lindsey Smith continues to refuse to get him out past the 1200m which I find odd, to say the least. With Key To Fame, My Greek Boy, De Andes and Dia De La Raza engaged here this race will be a hotly contested affair early which should play into his hands.

Remember Berlin was a moral beaten in that same race, but from barrier 10 it is hard to see where he gets in the run. Prefers to race closer to the speed, but I just can’t see a spot for him. May have go back to last. Seeker runs a good race when least expected. Ollie goes on here and it is certainly not expected.

A race I have minimal interest in.

Selections

6 Get Over It
7 Remember Berlin
8 Seeker

Suggested Bet: No bet.

Race 6 – Where’s The Winner?

Get your tickets out. This is a lottery.

If we thought the last race was going to have a bit of early toe in it, just take a look at the speedsters engaged here – Kramden, Secret Assault, Scalpel, Zeinite, Halldora, My Laina & Saturia. To say this will be ‘hotly contested’ would be an understatement. Where’s Wally returns from over a year off the race track, but if his recent trial is anything to go by, it hasn’t done him any harm. The fact he has opened up a $4 favourite does concern me however. It is a long time to be out of action for. He might need the run.

Regal Moon surprisingly drops to 1000m here which doesn’t suit, but the way this race will be run, certainly does. I can potentially see the cerise and white charging all over the top of them late. Was rolled as a $1.30 favourite at her most recent outing, though perhaps was not on the best part of a dodgy Bunbury track. Can see her being 5 lengths off them 150m out and still getting past them. #BackPikeDrinkWhatYouLike

Selections

14 Regal Moon
4 Scalpel
3 Where’s Wally

Suggested Bet: No bet.

Race 7 – Could Be A Trap

Trap For Fools has been the most improved horse in Western Australia in the last 6 months and can probably steal Perth Cup favouritism with victory here. This campaign has now stretched longer than the Smith yard would have anticipated, but they now have no choice but to push on with an impromptu (but richly deserved) Perth Cup tilt. There doesn’t appear to be a great deal of pressure in this so this Poet’s Tale gelding should really be able to dominate.

Falcon Crest gets the weight swing on him (2kg’s) for what could be argued, to be a better run. The appointment of Damien Oliver is a positive, but I just feel Trap For Fools had more to give on the line. A bit like Mark Schwarzer v Uruguay in 2005, he won’t let anything get past him easily.

The two who I think we will see great improvement from in this event are Shinta Mani and Very Tempting. Shinta Mani was ridden upside down at her two most recent efforts and I have no doubt, the instructions will very clearly be to take a sit and wind up from the 600m. Very Tempting obviously has the pedigree to get the journey and does appear to be getting better with every run this campaign. The appointment of William Pike from the inside alley is a winning move. Either could win at $10+ without surprising.

Another race, I will be happy to just watch (a suggested bet is coming, I promise).

Selections

8 Trap For Fools
9 Very Tempting
5 Shinta Mani

Suggested Bet: No bet.

Race 8 – “Don’t Know. Don’t Know In The Kingston Town”

Delicacy. Perfect Reflection. Perfect Reflection. Delicacy. Don’t know! Don’t know in the Kingston Town!

Now, that was a race. And a race call. Let’s hope for something similar.

A very intriguing affair in the final Australian Group One of 2017. During the week I did a little bit of research into just how dominant the three-year old’s are in this event. In the last 10 years there have been 143 runners in this event. With only 16 being three-year old’s. Of this 16 – four have won and a further two have run second. Last year there was not a three-year-old entered. This tells me the WFA conditions of this race are massively in the three-year old’s favour.

The question always is – are these ones good enough? To quote a great race caller “Don’t Know. Don’t Know.”. But I think so, one of them at least. Achernar Star was the eye-catching run in the WA Guineas and rightly, gets his shot at Group One glory here. Whether he improved because of the distance or because it was a weak bunch of three-year old’s is up for debate. The money which came for him was astonishing. As much as $19 was bet before he started favourite. And probably should have won.

I find it very difficult however to steer clear of a Bob Peters bred mare stepping into a race like this. The success he had with Disposition (who it was proved as his career progressed, that the 1800m was a bridge too far for him) and Perfect Reflection in recent years – proves he knows what it takes to win a race like this. 50 kilos with a Wizard on board. Wowee.

The only way I could attempt to line the form up from the three-year old’s to the older horses was when Salubrious ran in the Lee Steere taking Great Shot to a half-length. Salubrious was then beaten by over 5 lengths in the WA Guineas won by Perfect Jewel. Is that a stretch as a form reference? Maybe. But I am going with it.

It’s Somewhat has been set for this and has won group ones over 1600 & 1800 coming off unorthodox campaigns just like this. We all know how good Black Heart Bart is but barrier one is a massive turn off for me. He is a big horse who likes to wind up. I might be a touch harsh but upon further inspection, I really believe he should have got past Great Shot in the Railway.

Narrowing this down to a top 3 has not been an easy task. This should be a great race.

Selections

15 Perfect Jewel
2 It’s Somewhat
13 Achernar Star
1 Black Heart Bart

Suggested Bet: 30 wins and 30 places Perfect Jewel (15).

Race 8 – Save The Best For Last

I have Wrinkly marked as a $3 chance here, needless to say the $6+ on offer early has been lapped up. The fact this Saxon gelding has gone up (and remains at time of writing) an each way price from barrier one has amazed me.

His last two efforts, Brad Parnham by his own admission has gone for home a little bit early. Last start he was beaten by La Mouline who has since come out to beat Group One hopeful, Royal Star. That form is super strong and nothing in this race can boast form anywhere near that. He beat the third horse, Settlers Creek, by a further 2.5 lengths. Settlers Creek would be well in the market here. The weight is a query for some, but his last 3 victories have been with 59kg’s or more. Love’s weight. Can either lead this or take a sit on Swift Platinum.

Great Again has gone up favourite. Why? How? A maiden win and then fell in against Zosimus. Zosimus would be $500/1 here. And that’d be unders. His most recent effort was only fair when getting past all bar one in a Northam Class 3. It was not a strong affair. Can’t win.

Roganella looks the major danger. Forget his Guineas run.

Selections

2 Wrinkly
11 Roganella
6 Gomer Wipple

Suggested Bet: 100 wins Wrinkly (2).
 

5 Comments | 7 months ago

Recent Comments

User Rodent

Rodent 09 Dec | Posts: 4198

Due to a scratching I had the sub in the last for Quad and Double. Furious before the race that Roganella was the sub as there was no way in my opinion it could beat Wrinkly. Cost me a nice return. Ouch, you'd have my sympathy if it were a late scratching b...

User Thumper

Thumper 09 Dec | Posts: 791

Suspect Get over it is being kept to 1200m as it can over race a bit. Going to 1400m plus won't help that and obviously winning over 1200m

User SLIPPERGOLDEN

SLIPPERGOLDEN 09 Dec | Posts: 5016

Due to a scratching I had the sub in the last for Quad and Double. Furious before the race that Roganella was the sub as there was no way in my opinion it could beat Wrinkly. Cost me a nice return.

User therealkramer

therealkramer 09 Dec | Posts: 5948

@detonator The only question is whether Bart can reproduce a run similar to what he did in the Railway. It he does it will be too much for the rest.

User detonator

detonator 09 Dec | Posts: 1186

^^^ Think you are being a bit harsh in Barts Railway assessment. Was 3 wide for the first 1200m admittedly with cover.5 wide around the turn without cover. Giving weight to the rest of the field. Coming off a 45 day let up after injury prep. Doing his best wor...