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Pinjarra Magic Millions Preview news

Pinjarra Magic Millions Preview

Terry Leighton | Metropolitan Racing | Fri 9 February, 2018

Race 1 – Elephants

Let’s discuss the African Elephant currently smack bang in the middle of the room. For those of you who are sad enough to follow my twitter account, you will be aware a spade is called a spade. I certainly don’t have any strong ties with Switerzland. Recently, I’ve come under fire from the jockey community (albeit, in an admirable show of unity) for a few comments about a couple of individual rides and my perceived form of a certain jockey. Could I choose my wording better? Yes, most definitely. But I challenge you to write a tweet in 12 seconds after a race has finished, when you’ve done your ass due to a tremendous piece of incompetency. It’s not easy.

Jockeys are professional and highly scrutinized sportsmen, just like any AFL player. Imagine if Ty Vickery’s mates jumped on social media to defend him every time somebody said he was a poor kick for goal? Or lacked the general ability to make it as an elite AFL player? Poor old Jacky Riewoldt would have very sore fingers from banging away at his keyboard.

Anyway, let’s move on. I love this game. I love racing and the participants that make this industry the great game. I write these previews to entertain (mostly myself) in a less formal manner than a lot of others. I have actually said a few nice things about jockeys in recent times. I think it is maturity. My mum told me it would happen eventually.
others. I have actually said a few nice things about jockeys in recent times. I think it is maturity. My mum told me it would happen eventually.

HORSE RACING!

I’ll get to the point quickly after that rant. Broker is my best each way bet ($7) of the day after a very strong effort behind Yindi & The Big Show. Both would start provocatively short priced favourites here. Broker had zero luck in the straight at his most recent outing and would have finished a lot closer to that talented pair had he done so. The 1500m is the big question mark, but I have always believed this son of Trade Fair would thrive when he got out beyond the 1400m. He is from the right stable.

Tow Rope should lead this race and is super consistent. He is a definite non-winner however and I still don’t think Paul Harvey is back to anywhere near his best just yet. He should however lead this quite comfortably and he is a far better rider when allowed to dictate a race. Vagabond Boy looks a clear third pick, while Hello Dally is the 100/1 blowout chance for the race. She has put in a few nice efforts in her time.

Selections

5 Broker
1 Tow Rope
2 Vagabond Boy

Suggested Bet: 50 wins and 50 places Broker (5).

Race 2 – Ready Or Not

This really does look like a race between the up and coming stayer in At The Ready and ‘potential’ up and coming stayer in Sandalwood. At The Ready was a very strong last winner when defeating subsequent winner Cappo D’Oro. That form reads strongly and this Myboycharlie gelding should only get better third up from a spell. After the sad news during the week that Jackpot Prince may have to be retired it would be a timely lift for the Durrant camp.

Sandalwood was a seriously impressive first up winner before Chris Parnham was probably a touch patient on him at his most recent effort. In his defence, it was a day suited to horses racing on pace and being only the third event of the meet, it may have been too early for him to determine this (how forgiving am I?). The Pinjarra circuit should suit both gallopers.

Couleur Bizarre is the other winning hope after failing to settle at his most recent outing. If you go back to his 3 previous efforts, all are good enough to win this if he can steal a break on the two fancies on the bend. As I have mentioned in the past, the key to this So Secret gelding is to settle him just off the pace and make a move with 600m to go. ‘Settle’ the key word.

Gloryland loves Pinjarra. But I am still receiving hate mail from when I tipped him a few weeks back. I’ll move on.

Keen on At The Ready here and my suggestion would be to WAIT to bet. I can see very strong money coming in for Sandalwood which may push At The Ready’s price out toward the $4 mark.

Selections

2 At The Ready
9 Sandalwood
3 Couleur Bizarre

Suggested Bet: 60 wins At The Ready (2).

Race 3 – Show Me The Honey

Last week it was the ‘Rebel King’ feel (5s to 12s – pffft), this week I have some very strong movements through my upper pelvis and lower torso towards Show Honey. 40 days without a run tends to be cause for concern, but I have more faith in Adam Durrant than I have had in any ex in my life. First up, she was huge (the horse’s not my ex’s) and second up she was just as big after copping a nasty check at the 150m. I’d say this is why he has cuddled her for a little bit longer than anticipated. Her record beyond 1200m is not great, but from barrier 1 she should get a nice soft time of it. A very rare Bob Peter’s ‘underrated’ galloper.

Royal Missile will be most peoples on topper, but I do worry about a mare carrying 59kgs. It will ask a few questions. Her recent win may have been her most impressive when defying the pattern of the day to knock off the inform A Knight Of Pro. She did receive a William Pike special in the process and there is no reason to think she won’t be aided by another 10 out of 10 here. He is a good jockey.

Top Of The Class is racing better than her on paper form suggests, while Lindsey Smith scratched In This Life from a very winnable midweek event to run here. The $18 on offer about this Super Saver mare clearly looks the best value of the race. Expect that to shorten quite a bit. Fathnoxious can run a race at bolter odds. Going to take the favourite on here.

Selections

12 Show Honey
10 In This Life
4 Fathnoxious

Suggested Bet: 60 wins Show Honey (12).

Race 4 – Two Horse War

A race which does look thin on winning hopes, with brilliant last start winners Eleven Seconds and Oliver’s Travels set to fight this out. Both do have knocks however with Eleven Seconds having a gutbuster first up and again drawing wide here, while Olivers Travels loses regular rider Jarrad Noske to be replaced by Patrick Carbery. Now – I am not saying there is anything wrong with Patrick. He is a very good jockey. I am just saying Olivers Travels goes for Jarrad and it is yet to be seen if he will go as well for Patrick. This OK? Phew. Crisis Over.

Ripper Rio was disappointing in the Mungrup Sprint when never really in the race. Some fairly high-profile owners will be making the journey down to Pinjarra Park this Saturday to chip in with their two cents worth of advice. He’s a better horse over the mile and I reckon the bar staff might be in for a busy afternoon if the grey puts his snout out at the right time.

Woodsville is racing well, and I think connections will instruct Lucy to take a sit again here, replicating his two recent victories over the mile. Expect Eleven Seconds and Olivers Travels to take up the running.

Selections

9 Olivers Travels
6 Eleven Seconds
7 Ripper Rio

Suggested Bet: No bet.

Race 5 – Guesswork

A nightmare race to do the form. A race which separates the boys from the men. And I’m fairly happy to remain a boy.

15 runners. Where to start? I don’t think Jester Rock, Confusing or Matty’s Choice can win. We’re down to 12.

Danehill Matilda doesn’t get the mile, Kingdom and Empire is coming off a setback and has drawn wide while Nelson’s Flight has not shown any sign of returning to his form from 6 months ago. Down to 9.

Mouquet is a limited on-pacer who I can’t see winning a Saturday class race. Freedom By Choice is a plodder who is probably going to win a couple, but only when he gets out to 2000+. Bachelor’s Prospect belongs at your local strip club he’s that much of a tease. Dr Sykes is a South West galloper only at this stage of his career. Down to 5 – all to be included in the quaddie.

Our Mate Al wasn’t suited at his most recent outing, but the inside gate is detrimental. He is a horse who likes to wind up into his races from the 600m. Stoicism was a great win after a brilliant ride from Kate Fitzgerald. The Wizard goes on, but the wide gate is a worry for a horse who sprinted so well fresh – may be a touch flat. Keeper’s Son should cop some pressure from the likes of Danehill Matilda and Mouquet.

This leaves Persian Princess and Storm Dancer. Storm Dancer was the better of the two runs at their most recent meeting and is the way we’ll go. I am glad after running through every single horse I’ve tipped the favourite. If you are reading this, I am sorry for putting you through the above.

Selections

11 Storm Dancer
8 Persian Princess
9 Keeper’s Son

Suggested Bet: No bet.

Race 6 – Quarter Of A Mill

This race is worth a quarter of a million. I am still trying to digest that. The 96,000 owners of Kiss The Breeze must be absolute licking their lips at the overnight scratching’s of Fire And Rain and Princess Pierro. This looks like a $142,830 benefit for Kiss The Breeze.

Platoon looks the biggest danger and I do expect my twitter feed to light up if Steve Parnham is successful here. Part of me enjoys the pain, so will probably relish all the new words I’m called. The blinkers go on and his last few runs have been top notch. Steve will be looking to utilise a good gate – the first time he has drawn one in his short career.

Ngawi looks the only other winning hope while Valour Road is an interesting first starter for the Simon Miller yard. It is a serious ask putting a horse into a race like this without any previous experience, though the way the field has fallen away, it doesn’t appear to be a bad move. I do think race experience will tell however.

Party Night is $81 the win and $18 a place in an 8 horse field. She is your likely leader. There are worse bets.

Selections

4 Kiss The Breeze
2 Platoon
7 Party Night

Suggested Bet: No bet.

Race 7 - Class Will Prevail

Confident the winner of this event comes from the top two in the racebook in Cognac & Epic Grey.

Cognac has copped a rough gate after drawing 11 of 11. It may not however, be the worst thing in the world with Craig Staples being able to wind this son of Henny Hughes up and find the outside of Fine Scent without too much interference. His last effort behind Gee Boss was huge – the fact he took a sit and was able to hit the line the way he did against the older horses, showed he is absolutely flying. If he finds the outside of Fine Scent, or even better the front – he will be awfully hard to get past.

Epic Grey is the one drawn to win this. From barrier 5, Dan Staeck will look to go forward with him, but may well be willing to take a sit if the expected speed from out wide comes across. If not it could keep Cognac out three deep which would pour the pressure onto himself. Hand up Dan, hand up.

How To Fly is the ‘unknown’ in the field. Her three career runs have been huge, but this is a race she won’t be able to find the front in. Tactically, I hope the stable make an early call regarding this and look to ride her cold. If they overcook it out in front, which is a major possibility, she could be the one grabbing them late.

At $6 compared to $2.5, the bet on Cognac over Epic Grey is an easy decision. Happy taking a stand against Fine Scent & Street Fury. That’s probably your quinella.

Selections

1 Cognac
2 Epic Grey
9 How To Fly

Suggested Bet: 30 wins and 30 places Cognac (1).

Race 8 – Angry Boss

After the national coverage Gee Boss received, most of Australia had their win on it last start. A rare occasion most of the country isn’t backing Pike to drink what they like in the last. It’s now time to move on, he won’t be winning here. 59kgs and drawn the wrong side of the straight – this is a serious ask for Michael Lane’s gelding and I just can’t see him winning again. One I’ll be putting a line through (probably worth chucking my knocks into an all-up, due a nightmare).

12 months ago, I never thought I would say this but…. I am really excited about seeing Roger The Roman go around. Love’s the dirt track (refrained from a Ricky Martin joke) up in Broome and then put in an absolute eye catcher in the Hannans Handicap. The 1000m straight with the big weight and apprentice on does look a task, but he flies at this course. I won’t be tipping him here, but it would be no surprise to see this bloke come out and give them a Rogering.

Jingtang was supported from $9 to $3.50 at his first go down the Pinjarra straight when Peter Knuckey barely got this Starcraft gelding out of third gear. This is a stack harder, but he does drop weight and draws the right side of the track. Looks very hard to beat.

With the straight races, I do really like to look for value as a lot can go wrong (isn’t that right Fiona?) and I’ve found a couple which I am confident can run races at cricket score odds. Seeker is a straight specialist with his only blemish coming at his most recent effort at this course. He drew the horror draw in barrier one and never got anywhere near the outside rail. The middle of the Pinjarra course is like quick sand and to run 5th out there is a huge effort. He meets Gee Boss 6.5kgs better on that run.

The other is Audience. A mare who promised so much for Justin Warwick before putting the cue in the rack. Cliffy Green (I think more people should call their children Cliff) has found the key to her with some blistering wins down at Geraldton. She has copped the visitors draw, though her recent pattern suggests she might be snagged back to last and look for runs down the outside rail. At $41 for a horse who is currently thriving and has excelled down the straight in the past, I’m happy having a play.

Selections

8 Seeker
9 Audience
11 Jingtang

Suggested Bet: 35 wins Seeker (8). 25 wins Audience (9).
  

39 Comments | 2 months ago

Recent Comments

User 2lifetimewinners

2lifetimewinners 12 Feb | Posts: 168

Is WA Racings Pin Up BOY W Pike a protected species.Given 17 days for his interference in the 3yo MM race.4 suspensions for this in 2017 including the disgraceful act in one of the features.I know turn over is down when he is not riding but surely his fellow j...

User Tivers

Tivers 12 Feb | Posts: 6370

Ty Vickery was actually a great kick for goal.Unfortunately he just really got a touch of the leather to demonstrate this.

User detonator

detonator 10 Feb | Posts: 1038

I feel you @detonator at the moment. I thought Fine Scent was bet of the day. Bet accordingly. Once again the horse I'm on cops it. Midweek it was Hoboken. Last Saturday was kaapander. The luck will change soon I hope! You mentioned Kaapander bomber....

User H-BOMBER

H-BOMBER 10 Feb | Posts: 6250

I feel you @detonator at the moment. I thought Fine Scent was bet of the day. Bet accordingly. Once again the horse I'm on cops it. Midweek it was Hoboken. Last Saturday was kaapander. The luck will change soon I hope!

User thefalcon

thefalcon 10 Feb | Posts: 14904

William is obviously thinking he is hot shite....but the stipes think otherwise.i'd say Bob would not be happy...nor the Williams training duo.

User detonator

detonator 10 Feb | Posts: 1038

Stewards report said Fine Scent held tight buffeted and LOST SOME GROUND !!! Try writing was two lengths off the leader to being six lengths after the incident.

User Jell

Jell 10 Feb | Posts: 673

Yeah I'd be dirty to deto. Completely took Fine Scent out of the race.You're right though, he's starting to make a habit of it

User detonator

detonator 10 Feb | Posts: 1038

He copped a small holiday for his troubles. Small holiday (17 days) for who is becoming a serial offender in cutting off horses in significant races. (BHB in the Kingston Town) Talking through my empty pockets and severely pi**ed off.

User Jell

Jell 10 Feb | Posts: 673

Whata shite day on the punt. Think the cue is going in the rack #shinsore #walletsore I feel your pain Para. I managed to break even thanks to Seeker placing but it would be 2 minute noodles for dinner if he didn't :-SS

User detonator

detonator 10 Feb | Posts: 1038

Was it my inmagination or was that Pike cutting off Fine Scent at the 800m costing it 3 lengths ? Don't get carried away, Pike has diplomatic immunity remember! I just get sick and tired of seeing the horses I back get taken out. Hopefully the stew...