Back to Feed

Through the bottom of a glass 16/11 news

Through the bottom of a glass 16/11

The Ascot Bar Fly | Metropolitan Racing | Fri 15 November, 2019

Race 1

Looks like a pack of numbers to my eye.

Sentimental Gift should be winning. Toyed with them twice at Bunbury and those efforts were split with a narrow defeat when dropping back in trip in what was a farcically run race (key word there race, seriously disgraceful riding to all the jocks). The map doesn't look great for it however sometimes in these staying races the map can be the most over rated thing when doing the form.

Should be too strong for these.

Race 2

There are no words suitable to describe this race. Pass.

Race 3

Royal Command has a distinct class edge on these. Good fresh when coming from last. From the gate expect Pike will likely have it settle a few horses closer and should gobble these up. There looks to be a lot of chinks in the form of horses who are well in the market.

Only other horse I'll be backing is Lorentinio. Airborne, settles right on the speed and is the one to rundown.

Race 4

"Not To Be Mist was very plain when beaten as an odds on favourite 11 days ago..... There wasn't a great deal of excuses there." The Box Seat 16/11 Preview. Mark Worwood.

One can only assume Mark now does his video watching blindfolded. Fair play to him though. My eyes are regularly stinging after watching some of the chop ups by the local jockey brigade. I may join in to this new way of doing form in the not too distant future.

Anyway, I’ll assume for now that I was watching the correct horse.

Pike pulled the wrong the reign trying to thread the needle on a day that was suiting horses charging from the back and out wide. He won't make that error again. These are a bunch of midweekers and from the draw Pike will have this stalking the speed which will be set by the likes of Dickoletto, All Square and Lacevinsky. He should have no trouble giving that lot windburn and saluting. Black odds is a bet.

Couldn't entertain backing anything else.

Race 5

Last chance saloon for a ticket into next week's big one or is it ? Hell, we might not actually even get a full field for the Railway this year after you pen the 30 or so eastern states nominated horses who won't be coming. The all-expenses paid junket to get the eastern states horses over for the Railway was money well spent. To be honest I just don’t get this obsession about having these eastern states horses here. They either come or they don’t. Simple to me. I reckon most punters couldn’t give two sh*ts if they are in the field or not.

Anyway, this race is looking murky with Pike taking the mount on Mississippi Delta. I think we can assume that Regal Power is not a starter in this race if Bob crunches the numbers and works out that he's in the Railway without having to win the race named in his honour. Bob has that much pull that if he finds out that there is a late surge of eastern states animals set to take a spot in the Railway he can probably ensure that the plane does not get off the tarmac....

I'll do the form on the basis RP not starting. If that is the case we just truckload Platoon. Smart horse who has gone bang bang this time. This is a Group race in name only and I suspect this horse will go better with a genuine tempo which he will get with Majinika rolling along. His career best win was in the JC Roberts when he exploded off a blistering speed. Big day for Neville and Steven Parnham.

If RP does start then I'll likely abort.

Race 6 - 9 NO

Good luck
TBF

47 Comments | 2 weeks ago

Recent Comments

User thefalcon

thefalcon 18 Nov | Posts: 16009

I've got eyes, diva..... :-B

User TheDiva

TheDiva 18 Nov | Posts: 10643

i'm still getting over SP's ride on friar fox..... X( ...the all-up with BB..... 8-X i'm going to get a tattoo..."never ever back SP" was it so bad? the winner sat wide no cover and kept coming... 

User spinking

spinking 18 Nov | Posts: 2263

Falc a bloke i know who has a lot to do with rope(sells it doesnt swing of it) had $1600-$10 British Bess into undisclosed good bet. 

User thefalcon

thefalcon 18 Nov | Posts: 16009

i'm still getting over SP's ride on friar fox..... X( ...the all-up with BB..... 8-X i'm going to get a tattoo..."never ever back SP"

User spinking

spinking 18 Nov | Posts: 2263

unlike the astute judge who come up with British Bess. Now thats tipping

User thefalcon

thefalcon 18 Nov | Posts: 16009

I think barfly could be ernie manning's protégé...ie never pick anything over $2.50...

User spinking

spinking 18 Nov | Posts: 2263

You are 100% correct each to their own. realistically Royal Command and NTBM  were not that hard to find though

User TheDiva

TheDiva 18 Nov | Posts: 10643

he said if RP DOES start...he will abort. I was being kind? i said his tipping was decent. two winners from four races... the other two ran 2nd... platoon missed the start then ran up asses. Each to their own I suppose.... ill take 50% winners a...

User spinking

spinking 18 Nov | Posts: 2263

Diva are you being kind to the barfly. the way i read it he has picked two winners @ $2.80and $2.20 and then said if RP was scratched in the peters he would load up platoon then says if it is scratched he would abort. Maybe i am missing something ,(wouldnt be ...

User TheDiva

TheDiva 18 Nov | Posts: 10643

Decent tipping again by the barfly.