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Train's Selections

Perth Turf Talk | Metropolitan Racing | Sun 14 March, 2021

R1- CLAIRVOYANCE gets to the races in her third prep off the back of some nice trial performances. At her most recent was held well together when comfortably holding her opposition to the line in solid time and if she can improve again race day goes close. The stable have played around with the gear at the trials but winkers go for her debut having not been on in the trials and should only improve her chances. Has tactical speed and therefore has options from two depending on how quick her opposition want to go.

R2- CAPTAIN KINK strikes a much more suitable race than last start in the Belmont Guineas. Plenty of merit to the performance finishing five lengths off Kay Cee after not settling at all early on at the mile. Is now three weeks between runs back to 1200 and finds a race without a lot of tempo. Wide gate should help in case he is slightly slow away so he can’t be crossed and boxed in but expecting him to lead comfortably and give a big sight.

R3- ABERDEEN QUEEN relished a drop in class last start when winning arrogantly in good time. Prior to that was highly competitive in 3yo races around like Levitate, Indian Pacific and Resortman which is really good form for a race like this. Seemed to really enjoy the mile and a bit last time and her biggest danger appears to be MODERATOR who she beat in the last start victory. Realistically her biggest danger looks to be barrier thirteen but does has the turn of foot to win from last in this field.

R4- MATERIAL MAN has this race at his mercy under the handicapping conditions. $1.40 is short but possibly deserves to be short after luckless runs in Winter Features prior to his last start victory. However, think the value in the race is TAXAGANO the place as this looked to be the race he would’ve been set for. Was very impressive in the lead up to the Perth Cup and even in the Cup last prep and if he’s at his best could probably even stretch the favourite. Blinkers back on, Pateman on and a tough run are all positives and expect him to be running a drum.

R5- CRYPTIC LOVE may not have the ability to match motors WINDSTORM, who could be anything but does again look the value in the race to run a place. Was a brilliant winner fresh at 1000m and looks suited here up to 1200 and three weeks between runs. Doesn’t have to get too far back from barrier four and has a much stronger turn of foot than most of these. If WINDSTORM does find traffic from barrier one, Harvey will capitalise on that.

R6- Best Bet: FLOWER SCOTLAND is in a purple of patch and loves being able to do her own thing. 1000m didn’t seem to her liking last start and looks very well placed at 1400 in this grade fourth up as she now has the extra fitness. From barrier three expecting Derrick to be very proactive in keeping her away from the fence and on top of the speed. Despite being an on pacer actually has a strong turn of foot and find it hard to see anything catching her once she lets down with a little bit of weight relief.

R7- BARAMAGIC was a big improver last start despite having drawn inside again but draws a lovely gate for him in the car park. Needs room in his races and in a capacity field he likely will find a spot three deep with cover which is ideal. Gets back to 60+ grade which he won in three back when allowed to work into the race in the same fashion he looks like doing in this against a field that was arguably weaker. Is a nice eachway price in the weekly raffle.

R8- MISTY METAL is the best 1000m horse in this field and looks ready to fire fresh. Was very good considering her niggling issues last campaign in strong sprint races around Flirtini, Stageman and Valour Road and that form is stronger than this. Trialled very nicely to have her primed for this and looks capable of sitting just behind the speed with most of the speed drawn outside her. Does have to carry top weight but it’s only 58kg and she deserves as the quality horse.

R9- PARIS REPORT had a few things against her first up at 1200 on a very wet track but won soft and should have improved off that run. Didn’t beat much and didn’t break the clock but she can only go as fast as the leaders and they dawdled and she was pretty impressive to pick them up so easier considering. Drawn to get a soft run in transit just forward of midfield and is a good price for a horse who looks to have a ability.

Recent Comments

User curmudgeon

curmudgeon 28 Jul | Posts: 1975

The prevailing thought for a long time especially when bookies were standing en masse was that 25% of the win div for a place was approaching value....... Chariots ?

User Gilgamesh

Gilgamesh 27 Jul | Posts: 3553

Correct Rocket 300% for a place percentage is the equivalent of a 100% win market.Gilga in my opinion there is no formula that relates the place price to the win price. On many occasions by virtue of the barrier a draw a horse may be a strong place chance but ...

User PAUL

PAUL 27 Jul | Posts: 2447

DAY 4 Basketball: Women's, AUS 70 lost to BEL 85 Rugby Sevens: Men's QF: FIJ 19 d AUS 0 Swimming: Men's 100m Freestyle, CHALMERS Qualified, McEVOY DNQ Swimming: Women's 200m Butterfly, THROSSEL Qualified Swimming: Men's 200m Breaststroke, STUBBLETY-COOK, ...

User Chariotsonfire

Chariotsonfire 27 Jul | Posts: 2172

Correct Rocket 300% for a place percentage is the equivalent of a 100% win market.Gilga in my opinion there is no formula that relates the place price to the win price. On many occasions by virtue of the barrier a draw a horse may be a strong place chance but ...

User Thunderstruck

Thunderstruck 27 Jul | Posts: 4973

Firstly will they race? Shame Rebel Heart has drawn 1 in the last, will need something miraculous from there William, based on the track being heavy I assume this will see them well off the fence later in the day. Defaulting to Alkaline who loves the wet, ...

User detonator

detonator 27 Jul | Posts: 2974

Through my "rose coloured glasses" when it comes to Nic, I don`t see him playing for frees. I also see him winning a Brownlow and kicking a 100 goals in a season too. Haha Go Nic !!!!

User PAUL

PAUL 27 Jul | Posts: 2447

DAY 4 Badminton: Women's Doubles, MAPASA/SOMERVILLE won 2-1 Badminton: Women's Singles, CHEN won 2-1 Basketball: Women's, AUS v BEL, 5:20pm Canoe Slalom: Women's Kayak, FOX BRONZE Cycling Mountain Bike: Women's Cross Country, MCCONNELL 28th Football: Wom...

User DickBurt

DickBurt 27 Jul | Posts: 12

Wet t-shirt Competition by female jockeys to raise money for charties!

User freodockers

freodockers 27 Jul | Posts: 1048

He is number 1 ruckman for receival of free kicks as well Det. He needs to be careful he is turning into a Sonny Walters playing for frees and we all know what’s happened there. Think he got 3 maybe four on the weekend. Still a champion player though.

User detonator

detonator 27 Jul | Posts: 2974

Not sure anyone watched "on the couch" last night on Fox.Gerard Healy put some stats up on the screen featuring Nic Naitanui. There was about 8 categories. Nic was #1 in seven of them and #2 in the other.All hail the great one !!!! :x :x :x