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Train's Belmont 11th July Selections news

Train's Belmont 11th July Selections

Perth Turf Talk | Metropolitan Racing | Fri 10 July, 2020

R1- CLAIRVOYANCE gets to the races in her third prep off the back of some nice trial performances. At her most recent was held well together when comfortably holding her opposition to the line in solid time and if she can improve again race day goes close. The stable have played around with the gear at the trials but winkers go for her debut having not been on in the trials and should only improve her chances. Has tactical speed and therefore has options from two depending on how quick her opposition want to go.

R2- CAPTAIN KINK strikes a much more suitable race than last start in the Belmont Guineas. Plenty of merit to the performance finishing five lengths off Kay Cee after not settling at all early on at the mile. Is now three weeks between runs back to 1200 and finds a race without a lot of tempo. Wide gate should help in case he is slightly slow away so he can’t be crossed and boxed in but expecting him to lead comfortably and give a big sight.

R3- ABERDEEN QUEEN relished a drop in class last start when winning arrogantly in good time. Prior to that was highly competitive in 3yo races around like Levitate, Indian Pacific and Resortman which is really good form for a race like this. Seemed to really enjoy the mile and a bit last time and her biggest danger appears to be MODERATOR who she beat in the last start victory. Realistically her biggest danger looks to be barrier thirteen but does has the turn of foot to win from last in this field.

R4- MATERIAL MAN has this race at his mercy under the handicapping conditions. $1.40 is short but possibly deserves to be short after luckless runs in Winter Features prior to his last start victory. However, think the value in the race is TAXAGANO the place as this looked to be the race he would’ve been set for. Was very impressive in the lead up to the Perth Cup and even in the Cup last prep and if he’s at his best could probably even stretch the favourite. Blinkers back on, Pateman on and a tough run are all positives and expect him to be running a drum.

R5- CRYPTIC LOVE may not have the ability to match motors WINDSTORM, who could be anything but does again look the value in the race to run a place. Was a brilliant winner fresh at 1000m and looks suited here up to 1200 and three weeks between runs. Doesn’t have to get too far back from barrier four and has a much stronger turn of foot than most of these. If WINDSTORM does find traffic from barrier one, Harvey will capitalise on that.

R6- Best Bet: FLOWER SCOTLAND is in a purple of patch and loves being able to do her own thing. 1000m didn’t seem to her liking last start and looks very well placed at 1400 in this grade fourth up as she now has the extra fitness. From barrier three expecting Derrick to be very proactive in keeping her away from the fence and on top of the speed. Despite being an on pacer actually has a strong turn of foot and find it hard to see anything catching her once she lets down with a little bit of weight relief.

R7- BARAMAGIC was a big improver last start despite having drawn inside again but draws a lovely gate for him in the car park. Needs room in his races and in a capacity field he likely will find a spot three deep with cover which is ideal. Gets back to 60+ grade which he won in three back when allowed to work into the race in the same fashion he looks like doing in this against a field that was arguably weaker. Is a nice eachway price in the weekly raffle.

R8- MISTY METAL is the best 1000m horse in this field and looks ready to fire fresh. Was very good considering her niggling issues last campaign in strong sprint races around Flirtini, Stageman and Valour Road and that form is stronger than this. Trialled very nicely to have her primed for this and looks capable of sitting just behind the speed with most of the speed drawn outside her. Does have to carry top weight but it’s only 58kg and she deserves as the quality horse.

R9- PARIS REPORT had a few things against her first up at 1200 on a very wet track but won soft and should have improved off that run. Didn’t beat much and didn’t break the clock but she can only go as fast as the leaders and they dawdled and she was pretty impressive to pick them up so easier considering. Drawn to get a soft run in transit just forward of midfield and is a good price for a horse who looks to have a ability.

Recent Comments

User Chariotsonfire

Chariotsonfire 16 Jan | Posts: 1996

Rocket I went down the corporate exotic path some years back given your theory that the bets may not find there way back into the pool.  As soon as I had a couple of decent collects I was barred from taking exotics.With trifecta and first four pools at GP...

User freodockers

freodockers 16 Jan | Posts: 671

Maybe RWWA should have told the “predictable sources” to take their bat and go home. What are they going to do,, change codes.

User Rocket_Reign

Rocket_Reign 16 Jan | Posts: 386

Not good for the industry, approximately 2.5% finds it way to RWWA whereas Tabtouch gross margin is 20%. Tabtouch fixed bet me to win 100$ and betting exotics on tabtouch you’re costing yourself money 100% of your stake goes into the pool and you are lo...

User JayJay

JayJay 16 Jan | Posts: 5679

spot on chop chop - it needs to work for all which is why $L3 should have been modified instead of being canned - I think RWWA were on the right track and just needed to address the issues that were raised but that needs both pref draw naysayers and pref draw ...

User Chariotsonfire

Chariotsonfire 16 Jan | Posts: 1996

Not good for the industry, approximately 2.5% finds it way to RWWA whereas Tabtouch gross margin is 20%.

User Rocket_Reign

Rocket_Reign 16 Jan | Posts: 386

No exotics Rocket? Yes on the corporates, how much they decide to bet back into the pools is anyone’s guess

User detonator

detonator 16 Jan | Posts: 2281

Avduffer left the fence on the fav(Yao Dash) and look where the winner came from? He is a deadset nonentity Guess who rode Yao Dash when it won the other day ? The same bloke who Avduffer let through.The Sydney racing jockey scene is dodgy as f*** I reckon....

User Chariotsonfire

Chariotsonfire 16 Jan | Posts: 1996

No exotics Rocket?

User H-BOMBER

H-BOMBER 16 Jan | Posts: 8273

R3 Power of St George. Second up and increased distance suitsR6 Celtic Diva ran on nicely last start and may be returning to old form (finished first 2 in 9 out of first 17 starts)  Nearly 3 weeks in a row. Gee whiz can find them the blue man

User Thunderstruck

Thunderstruck 16 Jan | Posts: 4037

Another PEACH of a ride champ  \:D/