WA Derby - In The Know
A lot of punters are often guided by comments or betting moves from stables. We hear 'she's flying' or 'she's the best horse I've had'. We see massive amounts of money and serious plunges for these horses on the back of this stable confidence. But how often are the stables incorrect? Or how often does the brilliance in training not equate to brilliance on the race track. Or at least brilliance over a longer journey. Chris Mayne may be great on the training track but it doesn't mean he can kick the ball straight on game day.
Watching Very Tempting knock off Royal Star in the WA Oaks got me comparing her to how Delicacy was viewed early in her three year old career. William Pike obviously gets his choice of mounts for the Bob Peters yard but in Delicacy's first ten starts he only rode her twice. During this period he opted for Western Belle, Silverstream, Disposition, Mambokadzi (it's likely on this occasion the stable opted for the claim and it wasn't his choice), Neverland (several times). Out of these ten occasions only twice did Pike's mount beat Delicacy home.
Very Tempting has now had 5 starts this campaign with Pike yet to elect to ride her. Post race last week Bob Peters said all things being equal he expects Royal Star to turn the tables on Very Tempting in the Derby. Post barrier draw I probably agree. But, we heard very similar noises about Neverland being a far superior horse in 2015. I am not saying we have another Delicacy on our hands but it is clear Very Tempting has got under everyone's (including the owners) nose this campaign. Realistically Royal Star had every chance to get past Very Tempting in the Oaks. Despite the barrier draw, can she knock off Royal Star again and claim the mantle as WA's best 3 year old?
17 Comments | 3 weeks ago