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Ascot R4. Crown Perth-jungle Mist Classic - Ascot 25 November 2017 preview

Ascot R4. Crown Perth-jungle Mist Classic - Ascot 25 November 2017

Terry Leighton | Thu 23 November, 2017

1200m | 2:24PM

I dare say these won’t be the only fillies and mares that racegoers will have their eyes on this afternoon. They’re also not the only ones which could cost you a few bucks.

This looks a very thin edition of the Jungle Mist Classic with two horses clearly standing out from a rating point of view. Meteoroid and Volkoff are rated 19 and 18 points respectively better than their nearest rival though only carry a couple of extra kilo’s. The conditions of this race are certainly in their favour after coming out of a lot stronger group races.

I do prefer Volkoff’s lead up to this event and she should be nearing peak fitness third up from a spell. The big query over this Time Thief mare will be the 1200m, but I am not too concerned about that. 1100m is her pet distance and she has had genuine excuses at her three goes at the 1200m. She is a more complete mare now and will relish a good barrier draw against far inferior opposition. Under a length behind Dainty Tess and two lengths State Solicitor reads well here.

Meteoroid has been huge this campaign, but it has been a lengthy one. She started to show signs of perhaps training off a little at her latest effort, but that was a race run at a cracking tempo. You cannot discount her but from the sticky gate after a slightly disappointing effort in the Asian Beau, she perhaps isn’t as well suited as Volkoff.

Crystal Fountain is the query runner from the East who has come across as a travelling partner. She has the runs on the board in Melbourne, though is relatively inexperienced as a race horse. Trying to match up her form lines against the ones we have here is a near impossibility and with the travel factor I’d be prepared to risk her at the $2.50 she has gone up with most corporates. That looks very thin. Celebrity Dream is going well and you can never discount The Wizard, but I have never been overly convinced about her form lines. Willy will have to ride her for luck and find a few holes.

This looks a race set up for the potent Gary Crispin & Jason Whiting combination and I am happy jumping in at the $4.50 on offer for Volkoff.
 

Suggested Bet

2. VOLKOFF

$70 win

All bets represent a maximum confidence rating of $100 expenditure.

Terry Leighton's Bets for the Meeting

RNoRunnerWPResultReturn
1 5 RHI'S ROCKET $80 X $0.00
2 5 CASH ON CALL $55 3rd $0.00
3 6 TRADESMAN $80 X $0.00
4 2 VOLKOFF $70 2nd $0.00
5 5 HARD OF HEART $40 $40 X $0.00
6 5 DON'TGETCAUGHT $10 $20 X $0.00
7 16 SOPHIA'S SECRET $25 $25 X $0.00
8 3 TOM MELBOURNE (IRE) $30 3rd $0.00
$475 Total Bets$390$85$0.00
Profit/Loss$-475.00

Recent Comments

User hash

hash 27 Nov | Posts: 5240

not sure who he is or how well he tips but.... Aaron Mills’ top three to follow from Ascot November 25There were some excellent runs in the Group I Railway Stakes on Saturday however one stands head and shoulders above the others as we head towards the Ki...

User Ridersonthestorm33

Ridersonthestorm33 26 Nov | Posts: 4947

@Chelsea not a bad Tab double dividend on your two selections...Great Shot - Push To Pass $1457. One of the bigger double dividends have seen for awhile.

User Tivers

Tivers 26 Nov | Posts: 6242

Doesn’t say anything re 7 days in the rule quoted ? What they have done this time is specified must trial twice, which will force the 7 days (+) obviously...

User RIO

RIO 26 Nov | Posts: 13107

the person that I chatted with was talking about failing to load...But whatever it was, under LR64(a) it is up to the stewards to impose those sanctions and in Sophia's instance they chose to allow it to trial on the Monday and then race on the Saturday in an ...

User Fastmoney

Fastmoney 26 Nov | Posts: 4685

Maybe the 7 day stand downs are for a scratching by the vet (different to failing to load).2 different circumstances, perhaps interpreted as the same thing.

User RIO

RIO 26 Nov | Posts: 13107

Nor can I, but others have to wait at least a week to trial, to be cleared to race again....It may be a special condition the stewards have put on for whatever reason..I think this covers it....and once again it is up to the stewards discretion....ie, "lets pl...

User Fastmoney

Fastmoney 26 Nov | Posts: 4685

 I am reliably informed (haven't checked it as i don't really know where to look) that when this happens you CAN NOT trial the horse within 7 days of the race.Even if it was a rule (don`t think it is), as long as you are cleared prior to nominating, can`t...

User RIO

RIO 26 Nov | Posts: 13107

So the Guineas.....and Sophia's Secret.She was scratched at the barriers in the Champions Fillies due to failing to load. I am reliably informed (haven't checked it as i don't really know where to look) that when this happens you CAN NOT trial the horse within...

User thefalcon

thefalcon 26 Nov | Posts: 14494

hashie you can shout me a few  :!!

User hash

hash 25 Nov | Posts: 5240

Ascot R9. Tabtouch Perth Cup - New Year's Day Handicap - Terry LeightonPush To Pass is far better than a $40 chance. If stuff has hit the fan in the first 8 races, this may be the hail mary you’ve been looking for.   10. FRIARESQUE - 4. FIRST AFFAI...