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Ascot R5. Tabtouch - Placid Ark Stakes - Ascot 25 November 2017 preview

Ascot R5. Tabtouch - Placid Ark Stakes - Ascot 25 November 2017

Perth Turf Talk | Thu 23 November, 2017

1200m | 3:00PM

An intriguing Placid Ark Stakes which, while being devoid of a star young sprinter (proven at least), is an extremely competitive betting affair. Like a night out with Benny Cousins, the speed should be on here. Cognac, Colourful Charade and Danes Maree all love to go quickly and will be fighting it out to find that rail. Danes Maree is $101, but is a totally different horse when rolling along on the fence. Unfortunately, having drawn the widest gate, it is difficult see her having the necessary toe to do so.

A bit like the first four races, the on top selection was a relatively obvious pick. Unfortunately, the confidence dwindles in the final four races, so let’s hope we’ve built a bank for when ‘beer punting decisions’ kick in. Hard Of Heart has been absolutely huge at his two runs this campaign. First up he carried 59kgs, sat 4 and 5 deep for the entire journey and kept coming to only be beaten a length by Truly Belong. That form has since been franked and he meets that filly 2.5kgs (as well as having a far superior barrier draw) better for that effort. Should be turning the tables. His most recent effort was behind the enigma that is Fabergino. Chasing again off a hot speed he kept coming at Fabergino on the line, suggesting the step up to 1200m here is exactly what he is after. He beat Epic Grey by over a length that day, and that is the exact form line which should hold up. Takes a stack of beating here.

Rockon Tommy was given a freshen up by Bill Doughty and it may have been a little bit ill-advised as the horse was disappointing on resumption. It looked as though a WA Guineas campaign beckoned after the way he hit the line over the 1300m two starts back, but Bill has obviously decided to keep him to the sprinting journeys for now. If he reproduces his first three runs, he wins this. Ocean Jewel has opened a very questionable $3.70 favourite after two failures in a row. The blinkers go on which is Simon Millers ‘go to’ move, though the price looks like gross unders currently.

In Love With Paris will appreciate taking a sit this start after being forced into the role of pacemaker at his most recent outing, while Truly Belong will have her work cut out from the wide gate. Was afforded all the favours at her most recent outing. The biggest danger to Hard Of Heart could be super impressive first up winner Portalian. Circled the field like they were standing still and put the race to bed in a matter of strides. This is a long way up in class (the horse which ran 2nd just got beaten at York), but the authority of the win can’t be understated. The $21 looks a good quote.

Very happy sticking with Hard Of Heart here, the $7 on offer looks a great each way price.

Suggested Bet

5. HARD OF HEART

$40 x $40

All bets represent a maximum confidence rating of $100 expenditure.

Perth Turf Talk's Bets for the Meeting

RNoRunnerWPResultReturn
1 5 RHI'S ROCKET $80 X $0.00
2 5 CASH ON CALL $55 3rd $0.00
3 6 TRADESMAN $80 X $0.00
4 2 VOLKOFF $70 2nd $0.00
5 5 HARD OF HEART $40 $40 X $0.00
6 5 DON'TGETCAUGHT $10 $20 X $0.00
7 16 SOPHIA'S SECRET $25 $25 X $0.00
8 3 TOM MELBOURNE (IRE) $30 3rd $0.00
$475 Total Bets$390$85$0.00
Profit/Loss$-475.00

Recent Comments

User hash

hash 27 Nov | Posts: 5240

not sure who he is or how well he tips but.... Aaron Mills’ top three to follow from Ascot November 25There were some excellent runs in the Group I Railway Stakes on Saturday however one stands head and shoulders above the others as we head towards the Ki...

User Ridersonthestorm33

Ridersonthestorm33 26 Nov | Posts: 4947

@Chelsea not a bad Tab double dividend on your two selections...Great Shot - Push To Pass $1457. One of the bigger double dividends have seen for awhile.

User Tivers

Tivers 26 Nov | Posts: 6242

Doesn’t say anything re 7 days in the rule quoted ? What they have done this time is specified must trial twice, which will force the 7 days (+) obviously...

User RIO

RIO 26 Nov | Posts: 13107

the person that I chatted with was talking about failing to load...But whatever it was, under LR64(a) it is up to the stewards to impose those sanctions and in Sophia's instance they chose to allow it to trial on the Monday and then race on the Saturday in an ...

User Fastmoney

Fastmoney 26 Nov | Posts: 4685

Maybe the 7 day stand downs are for a scratching by the vet (different to failing to load).2 different circumstances, perhaps interpreted as the same thing.

User RIO

RIO 26 Nov | Posts: 13107

Nor can I, but others have to wait at least a week to trial, to be cleared to race again....It may be a special condition the stewards have put on for whatever reason..I think this covers it....and once again it is up to the stewards discretion....ie, "lets pl...

User Fastmoney

Fastmoney 26 Nov | Posts: 4685

 I am reliably informed (haven't checked it as i don't really know where to look) that when this happens you CAN NOT trial the horse within 7 days of the race.Even if it was a rule (don`t think it is), as long as you are cleared prior to nominating, can`t...

User RIO

RIO 26 Nov | Posts: 13107

So the Guineas.....and Sophia's Secret.She was scratched at the barriers in the Champions Fillies due to failing to load. I am reliably informed (haven't checked it as i don't really know where to look) that when this happens you CAN NOT trial the horse within...

User thefalcon

thefalcon 26 Nov | Posts: 14494

hashie you can shout me a few  :!!

User hash

hash 25 Nov | Posts: 5240

Ascot R9. Tabtouch Perth Cup - New Year's Day Handicap - Terry LeightonPush To Pass is far better than a $40 chance. If stuff has hit the fan in the first 8 races, this may be the hail mary you’ve been looking for.   10. FRIARESQUE - 4. FIRST AFFAI...