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Ascot R9. Tabtouch Perth Cup - New Year's Day Handicap - Ascot 25 November 2017 preview

Ascot R9. Tabtouch Perth Cup - New Year's Day Handicap - Ascot 25 November 2017

Terry Leighton | Sat 25 November, 2017

1600m | 5:40PM

A really uninspiring betting event to finish the day. And by this stage (unless I’ve tipped the card), I will already be starting to show signs of distress at having to wait another 365 days.

Friaresque was huge first up, when coming from the clouds for a fast finishing fourth over the unsuitable 1200m. The step up to 1600m here is ideal and if he is fit enough, looks the one to beat. A concern is the stables current form (of lack thereof it), with Vaugn Sigley only training one winner from his last 42 starters.

The interesting one for me, purely from a price perspective is the differential between See Me Sizzle and First Affair. See Me Sizzle won the York Cup at his most recent outing when a very narrow victor over First Affair who was a good thing beaten. First Affair meets See Me Sizzle 3kgs better for that effort and has the services of a more experienced rider. Prior to that First Affair was ridden upside down when making an early move to lead, when a gallant third to Properantes (who has franked that form with a Group 3 victory at his next outing) and before that he beat Trap For Fools – the only horse to do so at that gallopers last six outings. See Me Sizzle $4. First Affair $13. Picking up what I’m putting down?

The advantage See Me Sizzle does have here is the fact he should lead this quite comfortably – there doesn’t appear to be a stack of speed in this. With the Wizard on, this is hard to ignore. Outlaw Pete is capable of big improvement dropping back to the 1600m, while Push To Pass is far better than a $40 chance. If stuff has hit the fan in the first 8 races, this may be the hail mary you’ve been looking for.  

Suggested Bet

No Bet.

All bets represent a maximum confidence rating of $100 expenditure.

Terry Leighton's Bets for the Meeting

RNoRunnerWPResultReturn
1 5 RHI'S ROCKET $80 X $0.00
2 5 CASH ON CALL $55 3rd $0.00
3 6 TRADESMAN $80 X $0.00
4 2 VOLKOFF $70 2nd $0.00
5 5 HARD OF HEART $40 $40 X $0.00
6 5 DON'TGETCAUGHT $10 $20 X $0.00
7 16 SOPHIA'S SECRET $25 $25 X $0.00
8 3 TOM MELBOURNE (IRE) $30 3rd $0.00
$475 Total Bets$390$85$0.00
Profit/Loss$-475.00

Recent Comments

User hash

hash 27 Nov | Posts: 5240

not sure who he is or how well he tips but.... Aaron Mills’ top three to follow from Ascot November 25There were some excellent runs in the Group I Railway Stakes on Saturday however one stands head and shoulders above the others as we head towards the Ki...

User Ridersonthestorm33

Ridersonthestorm33 26 Nov | Posts: 4947

@Chelsea not a bad Tab double dividend on your two selections...Great Shot - Push To Pass $1457. One of the bigger double dividends have seen for awhile.

User Tivers

Tivers 26 Nov | Posts: 6242

Doesn’t say anything re 7 days in the rule quoted ? What they have done this time is specified must trial twice, which will force the 7 days (+) obviously...

User RIO

RIO 26 Nov | Posts: 13107

the person that I chatted with was talking about failing to load...But whatever it was, under LR64(a) it is up to the stewards to impose those sanctions and in Sophia's instance they chose to allow it to trial on the Monday and then race on the Saturday in an ...

User Fastmoney

Fastmoney 26 Nov | Posts: 4685

Maybe the 7 day stand downs are for a scratching by the vet (different to failing to load).2 different circumstances, perhaps interpreted as the same thing.

User RIO

RIO 26 Nov | Posts: 13107

Nor can I, but others have to wait at least a week to trial, to be cleared to race again....It may be a special condition the stewards have put on for whatever reason..I think this covers it....and once again it is up to the stewards discretion....ie, "lets pl...

User Fastmoney

Fastmoney 26 Nov | Posts: 4685

 I am reliably informed (haven't checked it as i don't really know where to look) that when this happens you CAN NOT trial the horse within 7 days of the race.Even if it was a rule (don`t think it is), as long as you are cleared prior to nominating, can`t...

User RIO

RIO 26 Nov | Posts: 13107

So the Guineas.....and Sophia's Secret.She was scratched at the barriers in the Champions Fillies due to failing to load. I am reliably informed (haven't checked it as i don't really know where to look) that when this happens you CAN NOT trial the horse within...

User thefalcon

thefalcon 26 Nov | Posts: 14494

hashie you can shout me a few  :!!

User hash

hash 25 Nov | Posts: 5240

Ascot R9. Tabtouch Perth Cup - New Year's Day Handicap - Terry LeightonPush To Pass is far better than a $40 chance. If stuff has hit the fan in the first 8 races, this may be the hail mary you’ve been looking for.   10. FRIARESQUE - 4. FIRST AFFAI...