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R4. James Boag's Premium Handicap - Ascot 5 November 2016 preview

R4. James Boag's Premium Handicap - Ascot 5 November 2016

Scott Embry | Fri 4 November, 2016

1800m | 2:30PM

Searching for value

I take the stance on this race that there are enough question marks over the field to justify looking for some value and in the end I have come up with Bowl A Doosra who should bound straight to the front and get everything his own way. If Jarrad Noske can settle him early and then get rolling from the 800m then he will take a stack of beating, especially if the Easterly is howling at around 2pm. There are 6 of the 10 horses engaged who have not won for over 200 days and come from some suspect form lines, horses like Someday One Day are having their first attempt at the distance and others like Magic Rocket will get a long, long way back in the field and could easily fall victim to the anticipated track conditions. Bomber Bay always run an honest race but is still finding his feet over this type of trip and lacks a killer instinct. Confusing is desperately out of form, however, if he could repeat the run which saw him run a length behind Falcon Crest could definitely bob up at odds.

Suggested Bet

5. BOWL A DOOSRA

$20 x $80

All bets represent a maximum confidence rating of $100 expenditure.

Scott Embry's Bets for the Meeting

RNoRunnerWPResultReturn
1 1 SWEET ORA $100 Won $140.00
3 4 DISTANT MEMORY $25 $75 X $0.00
4 5 BOWL A DOOSRA $20 $80 X $0.00
$300 Total Bets$145$155$140.00
Profit/Loss$-160.00

Recent Comments

User Bucks

Bucks 06 Nov | Posts: 100

It's not the $20 entry fee stopping the majority of people going to the races so it would be poinless to can it. The majority of people aren't racing enthusiasts either so having a horse like Kawi go round meant nothing to most. The general public just want to...

User thefalcon

thefalcon 06 Nov | Posts: 14217

the band this year is Eskimo Joe..... :O)

User Gilgamesh

Gilgamesh 06 Nov | Posts: 2355

How much better is a day at the track when there are people there? You are going to spend that $20 regardless so let them spend it on the punt/food rather than walking through a gate.

User paraletic

paraletic 06 Nov | Posts: 2293

They should just throw the gates open every week, except the big days of course. Whats the worse that can happen? Extra turnover on tote, more food and drink sales? No brainer as far as im concerned.

User DamienWyer

DamienWyer 06 Nov | Posts: 5845

Might have been a day for tipsters, but the punters stayed away. NZ passport holders were invited free of charge to come along, but it appears they didn't. Kawi being a multiple group winning horse didn't prove the drawcard that was hoped for by Perth Racing. ...

User loose_goose

loose_goose 05 Nov | Posts: 1625

Kengsington Abbey has come from nowhere in last 12 months.  3rd horse called 5th or 6th lucky I have a set of eyes  8-|

User H-BOMBER

H-BOMBER 05 Nov | Posts: 5902

Oh and boom

User H-BOMBER

H-BOMBER 05 Nov | Posts: 5902

Oh yes. What a day

User brady

brady 05 Nov | Posts: 1086

Settlers Creek

User Yankee

Yankee 05 Nov | Posts: 86

I have just put another 10kgs on Ripper!