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TheDivaTheDiva    13,248 posts
edited November -1 West Australian Racing
Having seen the nominations for this race I believe we are looking at one of the most exciting races of the late summer/autumn.

Amelia's Reason - Grand Nirvana - Russell Road - Sheenasaidgrey - Zedamak

Should be a great race.

Looking at some past history on this race favorites have been dominant with no horse in the last 10 runnings winning at over $4.60. Barriers have also been a key with the last 8 winners coming from 5 or closer.

Year Horse Trainer Jockey Weight Price Bar Time Last 600m
2007 Universal Ruler D McAuliffe J Whiting 55.5 $2.70 4 1.03.50 34.27
2006 Canny Jack G Daley J Whiting 55 $2.15 5 1.05.57 34.97
2005 Hantu G Daley K Forrester 57 $4.60 4 1.11.95 34.94 **run at Belmont over 1200m
2004 Redwoldt L Lucaini J Whiting 54.5 $2.25 3 1.05.96 34.68
2003 Shout From Maroof M Pateman S J Miller 54.5 $2.80 3 1.05.47 35.86
2002 Zoometric G Webster Snr P Knuckey 55 $2.00 5 1.07.14 35.80
2001 Classic Cut S Edwards P King 55 $1.45 1 1.05.02 35.05
2000 Metal Master M Pateman S J Miller 53 $3.70 5 1.04.76 34.84
1999 Paradise Park L Morton J Brown 56 $4.50 7 1.06.51 37.03
1998 Bomber Bill H McLaren C Staples 57.5 $3.00 9 1.03.86 ntt

Comments

  • LuckyLongshotsLuckyLongshots    4,270 posts
    Who is J. Whiting riding? He has a nice track record in the race!

    Think Claite will keep the Sheenasaidgrey ride.
  • TheDivaTheDiva    13,248 posts
    Good chance Whiting will be on Amelia's Reason. Staeck is still suspended.
  • LuckyLongshotsLuckyLongshots    4,270 posts
    said:

    Good chance Whiting will be on Amelia's Reason. Staeck is still suspended.

    Good point...he will get that ride! Race is done then....3 from 4 on favs and AR should start favourite in this.

    But I'm going to have Sheenasaidgrey at the moment.
  • snakeeyessnakeeyes    25 posts
    Staeck had his time reduced, so he is riding saturday. Whiting is on Sheenasaidgrey
  • ran into Steack at the butchers this morning, said he was going for a reduction, good for him.
  • TheDivaTheDiva    13,248 posts
    So he got his suspension reduced today? Clever stuff.
  • redjavelinredjavelin    213 posts
    staeck at the butchers piston....hmm
  • dungydungy    9,278 posts
    Amelias will start Fav but will run a good 2nd behind the best 2 yold hear -GRAND NIRVANA -IMO- what a cracking race fields look brilliant Saturday i was so impressed with the way this Scenic youngster won on debut could have won by a lot more and his time was good ,this is nearly the Karrakatta field terrific race .
    Anybody got some likely markets
    Easter Stakes ??? Marasco /Uni Ruler
    Perth Satks ??? Amelias /Grand Nirvana/Zeda Mak
  • TiversTivers    7,720 posts
    Gimcrack Stakes as well. Danerip / Centro Gal rematch.
  • ChrisChris    5,233 posts
    Shout From Maroof, the Silent Witness killer
  • HenleyBrookHenleyBrook    408 posts
    History shows from those stats that favourites get up in this race. No ordinary horses win this one.
  • GlenmoreParkGlenmorePark    527 posts
    said:


    Year Horse Trainer Jockey Weight Price Bar Time Last 600m
    2007 Universal Ruler D McAuliffe J Whiting 55.5 $2.70 4 1.03.50 34.27
    2006 Canny Jack G Daley J Whiting 55 $2.15 5 1.05.57 34.97
    2005 Hantu G Daley K Forrester 57 $4.60 4 1.11.95 34.94 **run at Belmont over 1200m
    2004 Redwoldt L Lucaini J Whiting 54.5 $2.25 3 1.05.96 34.68
    2003 Shout From Maroof M Pateman S J Miller 54.5 $2.80 3 1.05.47 35.86
    2002 Zoometric G Webster Snr P Knuckey 55 $2.00 5 1.07.14 35.80
    2001 Classic Cut S Edwards P King 55 $1.45 1 1.05.02 35.05
    2000 Metal Master M Pateman S J Miller 53 $3.70 5 1.04.76 34.84
    1999 Paradise Park L Morton J Brown 56 $4.50 7 1.06.51 37.03
    1998 Bomber Bill H McLaren C Staples 57.5 $3.00 9 1.03.86 ntt

    Gee if any of them turn out as good as the Bomber you'd be very happy
  • TheDivaTheDiva    13,248 posts
    Poll added - start voting
  • BlakeBlake    8,176 posts
    Amelia's. toppies win the first 3 races for mine
  • dungydungy    9,278 posts
    I see that Grand Nirvana has been heavily backed on Tab sportsbet i looked yesterday afternoon and he was $4 now $3.20 the word is that this bloke will brain em !
  • MightAndPowerMightAndPower    4,148 posts
    said:

    Amelia's. toppies win the first 3 races for mine

    AGREE on both counts :wink:
    read an article AR is some chance of being golden slipper bound if continues on his winning ways,would need to win this race and karakatta too(AND WIN WELL) to justify a trip and help in the funding of the 150K late entry fee...

    Think the karakatta winner will be seen in this race barring some bad luck for the fancied runners.
  • TiversTivers    7,720 posts
    Is by RJ..........won't last that long !!! :lol:
  • dungydungy    9,278 posts
    TIVERS ??
    What do you meen by RJ wont last long ???
    Have you yourself raced a Rorys Jester b4 ???
    Dont they train on from 2 yolds ???
  • BlakeBlake    8,176 posts
    majority don't. i think racer's edge may be his only g1 winner over the age of 3.
  • dungydungy    9,278 posts
    Interesting Cheers Blake
  • TheDivaTheDiva    13,248 posts
    Thats a bit tough, not like he has had heaps of G1 winners, altho he is noted for precious types

    Sammy The Bull and Local Legend are two WA horses that kept on racing well as older horses.
  • BlakeBlake    8,176 posts
    i think its cos a lot of them are a tad undersized. the ones that do train on seem to be big strong types.Racer's wasn't overly big but he was a tank.
  • LuckyLongshotsLuckyLongshots    4,270 posts
    said:

    But I'm going to have Sheenasaidgrey at the moment.

    Well only one vote (mine), and the wonder horse gets up! Bugger I went against my initial thoughts in my tips today.

    Think some might come of the fact AR was allowed to run, certainly didn't finish the race off like I thought he would. Did look a little proppy to me as Staeck got legged back on!
  • GlenmoreParkGlenmorePark    527 posts
    Amelia's Reason comes from well back first start and runs enormous sectionals. Resumes in the MM running handy on pace and gets to line fairly. Today he runs on the lead and hits a brick wall. Maybe connections know how best to ride him but....
  • tonytony    2,373 posts
    Dont know whether that was the intention but I think he had no choice when 3 wide initially
  • TiversTivers    7,720 posts
    said:

    TIVERS ??
    What do you meen by RJ wont last long ???
    Have you yourself raced a Rorys Jester b4 ???
    Dont they train on from 2 yolds ???

    Do I need to reply, or you worked it out ? ;)
    RJ's only good for a couple of runs as 2yo's, then they're done. Breed infamous for it !
  • dungydungy    9,278 posts
    Spot on Tivers -AND GO THE RULER
    W.A s new superstar of the turf
  • JordanJordan    1,827 posts
    Be careful dungy you might get shot down in flames making outlandish statements like that! Seems to be a lot of knockers on here for this horse but all you can do is beat what is there and he has done it convincingly each time (and don't try the first up he just won as the horse carried a big impost and was probably only about 80% fit). This horse smashed Scenic Blast and he has run second to probably the best horse in the country. Maybe if it was trained by someone like FRK/Nev/Dan Morton/Lou Luciani people might be a bit more congratulatory, c'mon people let's show some support for what might well be the next big thing out of WA and stop finding reasons to bag him or the trainer for that matter. Size means f'all Juene if the horse can run and has a big heart!
  • I can never ever remember anyone bagging the horse, I for one have declared him the best 2 y/o here last season. Couple of stablemates got a bagging off steely mcbeam
  • JordanJordan    1,827 posts
    i didn't say bagging PB i said knockers
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