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Belmont Birthday Stakes 03/10
West Australian Racing
If this race is a snippet of whats to come this spring/summer then we are in for some good racing.
I will label the field as the best we have seen for atleast 10 years.
Past Winners
Year Horse Trainer Jockey Weight Price Bar Time Last 600m
2008 Beat The Storm R Price L Camilleri 54.5 $18.00 1 1.10.73 34.24
2007 West River Charley B Dudley D Staeck 53 $14.00 8 1.10.48 33.70
2006 Local Legend J W Price B Parnham 57 $16.00 2 1.11.26 34.44
2005 Legend Express C G Willis C Harvey 53 $4.00 6 1.11.65 34.01
2004 Fair Alert O R Sweetman W Pike 57 $9.50 4 1.11.30 33.81
2003 Cento F R Kersley P Carbery 52 $26.00 1 1.11.06 34.17
2002 Storm Shot D R Harrison P Harvey 53 $2.70 2 1.10.89 34.14
2001 Fair Alert O R Sweetman D Staeck 57 $3.00 4 1.14.32 35.42
2000 Victory Trump J P Taylor J Brown 54 $1.80 3 1.11.35 34.02
1999 Machine Gun Tom M Campbell P Carbery 57.5 $9.00 10 1.10.75 34.63
1998 Sumer Beau R S Taylor D Miller 59.5 $4.50 6 1.10.38 34.06
I will post a Poll later today when final field comes thro
I will label the field as the best we have seen for atleast 10 years.
Past Winners
Year Horse Trainer Jockey Weight Price Bar Time Last 600m
2008 Beat The Storm R Price L Camilleri 54.5 $18.00 1 1.10.73 34.24
2007 West River Charley B Dudley D Staeck 53 $14.00 8 1.10.48 33.70
2006 Local Legend J W Price B Parnham 57 $16.00 2 1.11.26 34.44
2005 Legend Express C G Willis C Harvey 53 $4.00 6 1.11.65 34.01
2004 Fair Alert O R Sweetman W Pike 57 $9.50 4 1.11.30 33.81
2003 Cento F R Kersley P Carbery 52 $26.00 1 1.11.06 34.17
2002 Storm Shot D R Harrison P Harvey 53 $2.70 2 1.10.89 34.14
2001 Fair Alert O R Sweetman D Staeck 57 $3.00 4 1.14.32 35.42
2000 Victory Trump J P Taylor J Brown 54 $1.80 3 1.11.35 34.02
1999 Machine Gun Tom M Campbell P Carbery 57.5 $9.00 10 1.10.75 34.63
1998 Sumer Beau R S Taylor D Miller 59.5 $4.50 6 1.10.38 34.06
I will post a Poll later today when final field comes thro
Comments
Any issues with either of them????
Dante`s Volonte 17897 1.75 1.13 $ $
Vain Raider 22241 5.00 1.70 $ $
Escadaire 20914 7.00 2.05 $ $
Tarzi 16996 9.00 2.40 $ $
London 30427 10.00 2.60 $ $
Oroya Gold 25192 11.00 2.70 $ $
Foxy Boy 25965 11.00 2.70 $ $
Hadabeclorka 17982 17.00 3.80 $
Two horse race for mine. Thought the top two might be on about equal price.
Curses, no money in Player account. Could run down there (3 blocks away), nah. Fudge it.
All those that are better credentialed than me would be able to see that a victory here would cost him many many races.
He is rated on 75 and on equal weight terms with Foxy Boy.
Oroya Gold is on 54kg and rated on 94.
My reckoning is that a victory to London will cost him close to 20 rating points and how many races does that equate to.
No drama if he wins the Railway Stakes and one or two of the lead ups to the Ascot mile.
I agree with many he is a horse on the way up but I haven't pencilled the Railway in as his just yet.
LATE CHANGES
Race 3: Black Nijinsky - Bar Shoe On (Off Fore).
Maybe tread with caution if you were going to back BN.....
I think weights can be over rated at times - esp in sprints. I think barrier positions with tempo and settling positions are a lot more important.
Dean White obviously has a big opinion of this horse to continue to test it against these topliners and if it is to make the Railway it won't get there going thro the grades so needs to grab one of those to push the rating up.
If you take a line thro Centrum who is consistenly around 2 lengths off the better gallopers then this horse isnt far away - add to the fact he is a lot better suited at 1200m with a run under the belt and jumps from probably the perfect barrier Im happy to be aboard at $10 e/w odds.
2/2 second up and 4/4 at the distance are too good to ignore at that price
L Smith has stated in todays paper that he scr Snug Buggles to start at Northam next Thursday in a 57-68 then Paul Harvey will ride in his words She[snug buggles will get more weight ] its a 58 rater so how on earth can this filly get more weight than the race she was going to be in today at Belmont ???? she got 53kg[northam] compared to 53.5kg[belmont] i would suggest L Smith start learning the ratings system because it seems to me he does not have a clue and if this filly was going to the VRC Oaks you would think she would have been upto todays race ,its got Best Beware stamped all over it .
L Smith has stated in todays paper that he scr Snug Buggles to start at Northam next Thursday in a 57-68 then Paul Harvey will ride in his words She[snug buggles will get more weight ] its a 58 rater so how on earth can this filly get more weight than the race she was going to be in today at Belmont ???? she got 53kg[northam] compared to 53.5kg[belmont] i would suggest L Smith start learning the ratings system because it seems to me he does not have a clue and if this filly was going to the VRC Oaks you would think she would have been upto todays race ,its got Best Beware stamped all over it .
ok so he was mistaken about the weight !!!! everyone makes mistakes
as for the filly not being up to todays race is not the case, she has not been herself in the last couple of days and had an elavated temp so was decided its not worth running if shes not 100 % connections are disapointed but nothing has changed regarding her progress.