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- brady November 2012
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a friend of mine is a physicist, although he actually works in the field of cochlear implants and hearing in general.
and is now working on a bionic eye to help the blind.
he won a 2012 clunies ross award a few months back.
he would be the most intelligent person i have ever met.
anyway he actually helped me with a quite a few things, and weirdly some of the results of his equations were near perfect fits for some stuff i had analysed with programs i had written to do with time and class(which to me are basically the same and haven proven to self that they are).
but when i took him to the races one day, he thought i was an idiot for backing multiple horses, and was scathing of the way i set my markets. horses for courses!
and dt he was able to quantify stuff for me, but constants are usually a big no no, so it's more a case of inputting the variables a,b,c....... and getting the variable z
Im not sure exactly how they would help in setting markets though... and certainly I would very quickly dismiss someone saying not to back more than one horse in a race.
dt i didn't even finish high school, and left when i was 15 to do a trade.
education just makes you better educated, not more intelligent.
but yes, i have the same trouble where maths is concerned.
perhaps you should look at it as an advantage, even if more time consuming.
1200m 1 length - 0.17
I'm glad I eventually got the education I did, otherwise I might have had a chip on my shoulder. In the end, I didn't make much use of my degree but just having it gives me a sense of achievement and is a box I had to tick.
but how can there be a constant?
not sure if you realise this.....
in australia all the margins are derived from time via the photolynx(or similar) system.
so you might have wa officials using .165 seconds per length.(just examples can't remember actual figures)
sa might use .15 and vary it because of pace(there is an idiotic pace factor in the lynx software)
vic might use whatever.
do you see where this is going as far as reporting of beaten margins is concerned?
so what is actually happening is that the various authorities are expressing a perfectly valid time margin as a length margin......in other words they are taking an accurate measurement and converting it into something less accurate.
to the credit of wa they actually give the times AND the inaccurate margins.
other states mostly just give the inaccurate margins and omit the accurate times.
how weird is that?
anyway, i am not going to tell you how, but you can't have a figure that fits them all.
you need to make it proportionate.
you don't expect group one races to be the same speed as maidens, and you don't expect barakey to be as fast as trav =)) or is that arse up!!!
the same with going, beaten 1 second on a fast track, is not the same as being beaten 1 second on a heavy track.
or beaten 5 lengths in south australia is not the same as being beaten 5 lengths in western australia.
or as wilson says.....nobody but carey can talk so much and say so little!!!
in fact i probably would still be doing it now except for an industrial accident which severed three fingers and a thumb(thankfully reattached and working although my thumb is held together with pins and i can't bend it).
it was very good money in those days, and the tradies would earn far more than the guys in the front office did.
but i lost my nerve, so i needed to do something else.
and that was about 35 years ago.
i must have done something right.
Thanks for the food for thought !
Did not no what system they use for timing in W.A
Don't rate interstate races !
When you say proportionate do you mean at different distances ?
What do you think about energy distribution ??
if you mean brohammer or whatever his name is, then imo he is off with the fairies.
he does not understand 'proportionate' and thus his whole methodology falls over.
but there is no doubt that there is something to be said of energy distribution, but if you figure it all out, can you whisper in my ear how you did it?
i have my own ways, but am not so silly as to think i couldn't improve them if i worked hard at it.
unfortunately age is catching up to me, and i just can't be stuffed doing it any more, although i do enjoy crapping on, on forums!
for proportionate, i mean distance, going, class and just about anything else that can and does affect how many seconds they can cover in a second.
for brohammer, i mean that he takes various section lengths, and converts them to feet per second or whatever it is, and thinks they all are equal after that conversion.
in his dreams maybe.
it's very small !
Variation in pace effects energy once you understand that well it helps
Brohammer methodology does have question marks but is a interesting read.