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Belmont Preview, 24th Sep 2016
West Australian Racing
PerthTurfTalk
3,054 posts
R1. Our Town Maiden - Scott Embry
There were a fair few hard luck stories to emerge from last weekend's Saturday maiden with King Louie flying late to grab victory over Dagorlad who was planted three and four deep throughout. Looks as though he will have to contend with a similar run here for claiming apprentice Randy Tan and while he must be respected from a tipping perspective, $3.30 is very short for a horse drawn barrier 12 who went around at 50-1 last start. Argenterre has blinkers added to gear afte a luckless run in the same race, he goes round at 70-1 which is much more my style in these maiden events. Balmont Stunner is another who was luckless in the same race and could have finished in the money with normal luck. Anywhere to Go is the final of my three eachway plays in the opener, after some handy trial form draws a perfect alley for the in-form Pontiff and $14 looks overs.
13. ARGENTERRE - 16. ANYWHERE TO GO - 10. BALMONT STUNNER
There were a fair few hard luck stories to emerge from last weekend's Saturday maiden with King Louie flying late to grab victory over Dagorlad who was planted three and four deep throughout. Looks as though he will have to contend with a similar run here for claiming apprentice Randy Tan and while he must be respected from a tipping perspective, $3.30 is very short for a horse drawn barrier 12 who went around at 50-1 last start. Argenterre has blinkers added to gear afte a luckless run in the same race, he goes round at 70-1 which is much more my style in these maiden events. Balmont Stunner is another who was luckless in the same race and could have finished in the money with normal luck. Anywhere to Go is the final of my three eachway plays in the opener, after some handy trial form draws a perfect alley for the in-form Pontiff and $14 looks overs.
13. ARGENTERRE - 16. ANYWHERE TO GO - 10. BALMONT STUNNER
Comments
On track at Northam last Thursday catching up with Sticks McCormack and a few other mates we treated ourselves to a decent chunk of $11 for Zefiro only moments before he was crunched into $4.20 nationwide. Unfortunately for us he missed the kick by three lengths and worked home strongly through the field for fourth and we left our money with the bookies, however, with Paul Harvey in the saddle and a favourable barrier draw I will happily re-invest because I have a bit of time for the Von Costa De Hero gelding. Someday One Day has been dealt bitter barrier blows at his past two, drawn the inside on a rain affected track where you wanted to be wide and then drawn wide on a leader bias day where you wanted to lead. Again has to deal with an awkward gate but is closing in rapidly on a maiden win. Crowder is in a similar boat, capable of reeling off exceptionally quick sectionals late he just needs a little more luck in races and wins one.
5. ZEFIRO - 3. SOMEDAY ONE DAY - 2. CROWDER
SUGGESTED BET - 5. ZEFIRO $25 x $25
This is really a bracket winning selection with my top 4 selections, not a race I want to be financially invested in but certainly a race I do not want to miss from a betting persepctive. I'll be at Toodyay with a bunch of ripsnorting lads sinking beers and cheering on our world-beating 1850m grinder Masarari but will no doubt have an alarm set to watch this race because it's a cracker. Caipirinha was forced into the roll of pace-maker first-up but can take a sit here and be hard to hold out. Elegant Blast will improve with fitness and as the distances stretch. Cool Knight was an ultra impressive trialler turned debut winner and Speeding Comet looks as though he will lead with ease and is clearly the one to run down. They look the 4 winning chances in an epic early three year old clash.
8. COOL KNIGHT - 10. CAIPIRINHA - 5. ELEGANT BLAST
Certainly not a horse of mine but I have taken quite a liking to the 10 year old grey veteran Verdello Blue in the delicious Hahn Superdry 2200m battle. Looks very well weighted carrying only 55.5kg for apprentice Fiona Bell and a lack of exposed speed on paper I really think that Verdello Blue will get the chance to roll forwards, find the front and control. From there he is in his comfort zone and meets Charlestown an incredible 7kg better at the weights from their last start encounter. Go the old Grey. Charlestown has come up very short with Pike jumping aboard, I can not take even money about a stayer - full stop. Dust Me Off continues to run honest races while Military Service could be an improver. Great to see Aaron Mitchell riding at 55kg, very impressive for a young man of his size.
2. VERDELLO BLUE - 4. CHARLESTOWN - 3. DUST ME OFF
SUGGESTED BET - 2. VERDELLO BLUE $10 x $40
Dance Master was a very impressive winner over 1700m on a rainy day at Belmont Park two starts back before settling last in a race dominated and dictated by All Too Much from the front. Dance Master reeled off an impressive final 600m sectional and meets that galloper 2kg better at the weights, can definitely figure in the finish here. The Forgotten One is a forgotten commodity and seemingly has also forgotten how to win because his run of outs is quickly building. Two starts back behind Falcon Crest was a good thing beaten, held up the entire length of the straight before putting in a lacklustre performance last start. If you can forgive him then he goes close. All Too Much looked to appreciate leading and could easily take up a similar role here.
4. DANCE MASTER - 8. THE FORGOTTEN ONE - 3. ALL TOO MUCH
SUGGESTED BET - 4. DANCE MASTER $50 x $50
My strong suggestion would be to sit this race out from a punters perspective and play the first leg of the quaddie with extreme caution. I could easily make a case for every single runner in the field apart from potentially Bergantina but even he has a myriad of gear changes which may prove the difference. I would include all 11 in the opening leg of the quaddie and hope for a result. Forever Diamonds is drawn awkwardly and a galloper with both ability and a few issues, Big Caroline is ultra consistent but lacks a killer instinct, Goldbo is one who could definitely improve sharply at odds, Kensington Abbey was a sensational run wide throughout last start and meets Scottish Trader 4kg better for a long necks defeat at Pinjarra, Bayella meets her weakest field in months, Bourbon Dynasty draws the inside and savages the line week to week. Great race.
6. FOREVER DIAMONDS - 4. BIG CAROLINE - 7. GOLDBO
Bomber Bay ran Pretentious Chant to within a short neck last start and is sure to improve off that race. He has always been a galloper who promises a lot and delivers disappointment more often than not. Has a few quirky issues, like missing the kick on occasion but when he puts it all together he can run some very big races. Putting him on top here for Joey Azzopardi who has built a bit of an assoication with the horse over the last three runs, including trials. It isn't very often that big money misses at Belmont Park but many a punter left their cash in the bookies bag with Crusoe last start. He meets Bomber Bay 2kg better and is drawn to get a lovely tow into the race from barrier 1 for Jordy Turner. War God is shooting for an unbelievable four straight wins after once being a 14 start maiden. Paul Harvey rides him over Card Knight which gives an indication.
3. BOMBER BAY - 2. CRUSOE - 1. WAR GOD
SUGGESTED BET - 3. BOMBER BAY $50 x $50
This is another very evenly graded leg of the quaddie at Belmont on Saturday with last start winners Pretentious Chant and Regal Gleam heading the market. Pretentious Chant was my best bet two weeks ago and duly saluted, will need to keep improving to win this because it is stronger than his first-up assignment. Regal Gleam is gunning for four straight wins and boasts the scalp of Chocolate Holic three back before two booming all the way wins. Can find the front again here and prove the one to catch. Spin Da Wheels has finished in the money at his past 5 starts in 72+ grade, drops back to 66+ and gets the services of W.Pike fresh off winning 6 races at Kalgoorlie on Thursday. Discount at your own peril. Recoiled continues to ruin his chances as the barriers open and fingers crossed that Blinkers Off can make a difference because he is talented.
3. PRETENTIOUS CHANT - 4. REGAL GLEAM - 2. SPIN DA WHEELS
Saker is a noted non-winner having finished the Brides Maid at an incredible 11 of his 20 career starts. Is always a places lock for any multi or all-up but finds it very hard to win races. Dropping back from a mile to 1400m with a month between runs he will settle midfield and charge late. Max Almighty was a little disappointing in the It's It - Lite 'N' In My Veins race last weeekend but should enjoy the step up in distance off the back of an economic run in transit. Flying Roar continues to race well from up on speed. Can lead or box seat from barrier 4 and is a genuine winning chance. Royal Supreme is yet to prove himself at this level after an outstanding 66+ win on a rain affected track was found wanting behind Flying Roar. Can't discount Pike but he's not one I'll be running to the Tab or the Punta que to back. Another toughie to round out an even card. Go wide in the quaddie because there might be a few hidden gems.
5. SAKER - 6. MAX ALMIGHTY - 4. FLYING ROAR
TorpedoPunt likes this post.
:-O Why have you not thrown in Wakaha Kid in the first. :)) :))
RIO likes this post.
Race 2 Crowder $7
Race 3 Rising Sea $21
Race 6 Goldbo $51
Race 8 Regal Gleam $3.20
Race 9 Saker $7.50
Really like Crowder to break its duck in the maiden race 2. Hally very kind to Rising Sea last start I thought. Regal Gleam leads and wins and its a long wait but Saker my best in the last
Good luck
Chelsea likes this post.
Be careful TRK don't go and upset Col Pearce lol lol
therealkramer likes this post.
Rising Sea
Regal Gleam
Saker
Bomber Bay
FreoHitman likes this post.
On what lol
sonny, hash likes this post.