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R1- SASSY TRADER was first up at 1200 against quality 3yo opposition. That’s not his go and now comes back to 1100 second up against a weaker field and drops 2kg. His trial prior to the first up run was really good when he displayed an electric turn of foot after sitting leaders back. Looks like finding a similar spot in this field from the inside draw and will just need clear running on straightening.

R2- LUCKY IN THE WEST trialled sharply in his most recent trial when the shades went on. Shades stay on for race day and so Paul Harvey which are both positives. Wasn’t super fast out in the trial but was able to muster nicely and lead and with a wider gate will have time to get push forward. He displayed a turn of foot when asked to go in the trial and if he can find the breeze here he’ll be competitive.

R3- BRITISH BESSY looks ready to win here third up at a staying trip after two terrific runs since resuming. Hit the line really well in a bunched finish first up before chasing hard behind a real talent in Truly Great at 1800. Backs up here which she has done with success in the past and drops in grade. Likely settles just beyond midfield with cover, which looks ideal and gets the services of Chris Parnham.

R4- BAD WOLF has really found form of late and can win again out to 1600. Was strong through the line winning at 1200 three back before getting no luck over the same trip on return to Ascot. Last start stepped back up to 1400 and once he got clear running monstered the line again and although his form suggests that’s his best trip 1600 looks like it will be no problem for him. Will get a long way back from the outside but if he can get some cover he’ll get home well.

R5- NOTORIOUS ONE was ridden forward to overcome his quirks last start and it half worked. Was ridden forward and with the whip in the left hand and although he still didn’t go straight he was able to win a little easier. Stepping to 1800 looks suitable and barrier one at the 1800 means he should be able to find the front again and provided he can improve his manners a little more every start he can keep winning.

R6- INVICTUS DOMINI hasn’t beaten anything but has always looked a talented type. Blinkers went on this campaign and since then is 2/2 winning by panels unextended in slick time. There isn’t a great deal of speed engaged here so Pateman doesn’t have to rush him across from the wide gate. He does have to prove himself in city grade but suspect he will have something left to give when he is asked for an effort.

R7- DOM TO SHOOT brings excellent form around the older horses back to 3yo company. Sat deep with cover two back before hitting the front early and holding a subsequent winner in Luke’s Gold to the line and last start simply found himself too far back behind EM TEE AYE. Meets that horse and the rest of the field really well at the weights carrying a career low 55.5kg. Will again likely find himself deep with cover but is going super.

R8- PLATOON was excellent first up in the Northerly and should only improve second up on his way to the Railway. Settled midfield and got home nicely into second beating a number of his opposition comfortably. Looks like getting a similar run albeit with off much softer tempo after they went ridiculously fast early in that race. Provided they don’t walk in this which they shouldn’t it looks a nice race for him.

R9- Best Bet: ELITE STREET was simply outstanding last start and only needs to reproduce that run to be very hard to beat. Was first up no trial when sitting three deep without cover the entire but was still able to unleash a withering turn of foot. Broke 33 seconds for his last 600 in a race that was run faster than the feature sprint on the day. Gets to 1100 second up and from the middle gate should be able to find some cover.
+1 -1

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Comments

  • GoddGodd    203 posts
    Ascot
    R1-5
    R2-
    R3-3
    R4-4
    R5-14
    R6-11-3 both overs
    R7-1w 10ew
    R8-1
    R9-9w 6place

    Thunderstruck likes this post.

  • JellJell    1,202 posts
    I’m with you on R6 @Godd
    You Am I - I took 71/15 each way

    My only bet of the day in what looks to be a hard card. Drawn wide, up in class and 1400m first up but he’s way over the odds.

    Godd likes this post.

  • ChrisChris    5,734 posts
    Really aligned with Train today. Some damage to be done.
  • thefalconthefalcon    20,481 posts
    does anyone agree with me that kementari might be too good for this field?

    Godd, jum, Manchild, hash likes this post.

  • GoddGodd    203 posts
    thefalcon said:

    does anyone agree with me that kementari might be too good for this field?

    100%


  • The_BullThe_Bull    929 posts
    Naughty by Nature my best. Should be ready at 3rd run back. Gets in on the minimum and just needs a bit of luck from the inside gate.
  • jumjum    3,581 posts
    edited November 2020
    thefalcon said:

    does anyone agree with me that kementari might be too good for this field?

    Absolutely $6 is a gift
  • bradybrady    1,463 posts
    jum said:

    thefalcon said:

    does anyone agree with me that kementari might be too good for this field?

    Absolutely $6 is a gift
    It's a non winner
    973 days 

    Thunderstruck likes this post.

  • silkysilky    430 posts
    Just heard on racing.com that Tiarna has had 2 operations for a broken leg after being kicked by fabergino
  • bookieloverbookielover    2,709 posts
    TAB is down.
    Must be the corona virus. 
    :D
  • hashhash    7,495 posts
    Wait for Catmentari second up in the Railway and you’ll see a different horse! Take the $16 now cause that price will halve after its run this arvo
  • TheSwooperTheSwooper    1,718 posts
    Its hard getting a good steer.

    TheDiva likes this post.

  • TheDivaTheDiva    13,248 posts
    Steer is being generous...
  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    Glad I sat that race out..phew.

  • The_BullThe_Bull    929 posts
    The_Bull said:

    Naughty by Nature my best. Should be ready at 3rd run back. Gets in on the minimum and just needs a bit of luck from the inside gate.




    Gate7, not 1. Shoulda gone to specsavers :-B
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,567 posts
    Kallaroo for my man Brad Parnham

    :x
  • therealkramertherealkramer    8,008 posts
    Two & a half years 18 starts now since Kementari won a race but still starts fav. What am I missing here?  8-}
  • hashhash    7,495 posts
    Nice Railway trial I thought with a better gate it probably runs second today
  • therealkramertherealkramer    8,008 posts
    Inspirational Girl still the main one at this point. Red Can Man couldn't have gone slower last start and yet the mare finished like a train. Kay Cee the obvious other one but the weight will make it difficult-although not impossible.
  • TheDivaTheDiva    13,248 posts
    no reason Kay Cee won't stack up on some good races in Melbourne. 
  • EndlessroadsEndlessroads    4 posts
    Well done Steven
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,567 posts
    That was Elite Bradley
  • ThunderstruckThunderstruck    7,696 posts
    At level weights RCM is little hope of beating Inspirational Girl, assume William will slip straight back on her? She looks the top pick of Bob's?

    Will Cameltari go to the 1600 Railway or 1200 Winterbottom?
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