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The Other Ascot Preview for 26/1/19 by TMP
West Australian Racing
piker
404 posts
I was just about 'Lucy'd' out after that Galah 3YO of M Lane became boxed in around the turn and through the straight; before the turn I was right in it at great each way odds taken early. Then I had 'Defeat snatched from the jaws of Victory'.
Well I spotted Dynabelle with Lucy on in the 5th at Narrogin (sorry Rodent).
R/1 I have gone for the Bragga(what do you call it) horse in the first with A Lucy Lucy double going.
I really liked this horse's first run (well backed). I thought he was reluctant to come around Fire and rain that day. The 2nd run at 1.8 was forgiven becos of the wet track. My hope that maturity will see a different more tractable horse.
I looked at the Metro horse but the odds put me off a bit and The Finest is already easing. probablty AD and WP will knock me off but I am on the LS horse.
R/2 I will just be watching these 2yo's unless somebody wants to give me a hot tip.
R/3 The logical one is the fave here with WP up; but not to me a real convincing win last time.
The 2 bunbury winners Collaberate and He's a Parker have poor sectionals in their wins; but the former proved the form last time with a great placing. I would love to see Collaberate run well (another Lucy ride!).
R/4 I am hoping the fave will weaken again.
Amazingly over here Miss Swindle out to 6.5!
I thought the top weight and the bottom one had chances; the former becos of the new trainer and great previous country form, the latter becos of the sire and the great sectionals in the only win (have not heard about this trainer).
R/5 I really think this is a field job; even Slik Sam on his old form has a chance!
King's Authority looks good with his Melb form.
Then there is Hoboken; oh when will he show his best that I am sure he has!
And.... you cannot leave out Kaapander.
R/6 Everyone will take a set against Disruptive; just scrambled in last time over 1100m; he has been v well known to 'squib it' in his races towards the finish. But I added 6 secs to his time in his last win and it is pretty good. So I am with him.
Mad Brad seems a crazy price at 13.
Forceful has not beaten much in his wins and his times are not flash.
I have to put in Beat the Devil not only becos of his good form, plus that of the trainer but also as I have said before due the great film he is named after (starred Humphrey Bogart amongst many other stars in the film).
R/7 Well here is Wrinkly again; and why not again. There are certain riders that have a gift to settle a horse and help in conserving energy ( of course there is also judgement of pace plus timing of run and the necessary vigour to ride the horse out).. I think the 6's here is pretty good.
That Western horse of the Peters camp is a great looker and is the big shortener over here; so will go in.
R/8 I saw 2 stand out for me here; Harry Thomas and King of Chaos.
Harry always seems to find a way to be beaten but he looks to me a stronger horse this time in.
I had King of Chaos going for a Motza last run and he was close. l like the change of jockey for reasons I cannot explain ; maybe CP is better at sit and sprint and the barrier looks good.
Well, we are either going to win or go close or be right out of it. The first is best but what about the second two?
Good Luck.
Comments
Goes to the apprentice ,
So I think it's a risk ?
hash likes this post.
She's capable and the horse is apparently in fine fettle.
I'm staying out of that race
hash, rooboy likes this post.