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Overseas tips - 23rd Jan
The Blackbook
Paulo8
253 posts
First time I have offered tips on here, I hope it's not my last! do with them what you will....
Kempton (GB) R1: I like the look of 'Prom Dress' at a great price in a race that will take little to win. This filly is going in the right direction and the trainers fave whip on board. Currently paying $30 on betfair, I'll have her EW.
Kempton R4 'Strategic Action' is more consistent than the others here and goes at suited distance. $4 or more for the win only is value.
Happy Valley R6: NAP of the night....'Genuine Leader' this horse loves winning and is still improving. Sits just off the pace and slingshots in to the straight. The class/distance/course/jockey all line up tonight. Here are the last three starts (video) for those interested;
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/video/play.asp?type=replay-full&date=20121128&no=07&lang=eng
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/video/play.asp?type=replay-full&date=20121021&no=05&lang=eng
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/video/play.asp?type=replay-full&date=20120314&no=03&lang=eng
Good luck!
Kempton (GB) R1: I like the look of 'Prom Dress' at a great price in a race that will take little to win. This filly is going in the right direction and the trainers fave whip on board. Currently paying $30 on betfair, I'll have her EW.
Kempton R4 'Strategic Action' is more consistent than the others here and goes at suited distance. $4 or more for the win only is value.
Happy Valley R6: NAP of the night....'Genuine Leader' this horse loves winning and is still improving. Sits just off the pace and slingshots in to the straight. The class/distance/course/jockey all line up tonight. Here are the last three starts (video) for those interested;
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/video/play.asp?type=replay-full&date=20121128&no=07&lang=eng
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/video/play.asp?type=replay-full&date=20121021&no=05&lang=eng
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/video/play.asp?type=replay-full&date=20120314&no=03&lang=eng
Good luck!
Comments
Clearly the whole forum is hinging on my tips here but if any fancies I really like;
Meydan (UAE) R4: 'Garbah'. Punters apparently staying away from her after going too hard too early over further last out (4th), but this time back at ideal distance when won last twice and carrying less. Currently $16 and she should jump at $12 or more. I am all over her.
Lingfield R4: 'Avonrose', finished 2nd last out at wolverhampton and the winner recorded the fastest ever class 5 race at that distance and they were both WELL clear of the others. Reproduction of that wins this. $4 or better is bargain.
Good luck.
Kempton R3: 'Peddlers Cross' should be too strong for this lot, runner up in Champion Hurdle 2011, this is a class 4. If you can get $2 or better...I would. This is a flat race for the record, I rarely bet on steeplechase.
Dundalk R1: the first two home should be (in either order) should be 'Sylvan Mist' and 'Sword of Light'. Unless the debutants are a cut above.
Jebel Ali (UAE) R2: beaten fave last out can regain this trip: 'Ru'oud'.
Jebel Ali R3: boxed trifecta (all ways) for this Group 3 race 'Capital Attraction', 'Treble Jig' and 'Haatheq'.
Jebel Ali R4: 'Straight Talk'. No disgrace in loss to 'capital attraction' last out, won three on the trot (ahem) prior.
As always this is just the way I see them, do with them what you will. Goo'luck.
Haven't looked at US racing yet, but I think I've said enough anyways!
:-c
"Today looks difficult with a few false favourites about.
Caiyaya (3) in race six we suspect is one of those. It's had two good wins, finally after more runs than a dodgy curry, and will attract big money, but there's a few who could beat him. Taichi Master (5) is smart, but is first up after a long break and drawn off the track so watch him go round and consider him next start. Coup Da Vinci (10) looks primed for this after a couple of runs back and as Joao Moreira has chosen him so will we.
Best of the day for us is the top weight Ghozi (1) in race nine over the 1400m. He's primed for this after a nice run behind Valevole when resuming last start. He was squeezed in the straight and although he wouldn't have beaten the winner he would have finished close up. He's weighted well against the bottom half of the field who will find this tough. Always Certain (2) is classy but may need the run, while Excavator (6) appears the main danger.
Finally, as a bit of an outsider try Sir Oakley (4) in race three over 2400m. We tipped him a couple of weeks back, but he only plugged home over 1600m after chasing up for the lead early. His previous start over the odd 1700m trip had lots to like about it. We're taking Sir Oakley on trust over the 2400m, but the word from the track is that this is his distance."