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Belmont Preview, 5th Sep
West Australian Racing
PerthTurfTalk
3,054 posts
R1. Westspeed 3yo Plate - Scott Embry
London Line was simply sensational first-up behind highly talented PocketRocket Hot Goods and then second-up was a tad disappointing finishing in third but I really do think he is a 1400m horse rather than a short course sprinter. This looks a perfect assignment and he should be too good. Kia Ora Koutou was a big debut winner and looks a promising proposition for the Durrant stable. Not sure where he will get too from barrier 1 and looks like he will need room to move. Looks classy and should run second. Headlander Boy should whack away on speed and give a sight.
1. LONDON LINE - 5. KIA ORA KOUTOU - 2. HEDLANDER BOY
SUGGESTED BET - 1. LONDON LINE $80
London Line was simply sensational first-up behind highly talented PocketRocket Hot Goods and then second-up was a tad disappointing finishing in third but I really do think he is a 1400m horse rather than a short course sprinter. This looks a perfect assignment and he should be too good. Kia Ora Koutou was a big debut winner and looks a promising proposition for the Durrant stable. Not sure where he will get too from barrier 1 and looks like he will need room to move. Looks classy and should run second. Headlander Boy should whack away on speed and give a sight.
1. LONDON LINE - 5. KIA ORA KOUTOU - 2. HEDLANDER BOY
SUGGESTED BET - 1. LONDON LINE $80
Comments
Murphy's Law says that today Zarantz will win. I've given up, I can't catch him and will put the cue back into the rack. He sat 3 deep the trip last start and only went down by a half length but that was a midweek type field and these are Saturday gallopers. Putting Raising Dubai on top for the sake of tipping in a race where you need a raffle ticket to pick a clear winner. Super consistent type who should give a very good show. Dubai Escapade is 'fresh' at 2200 after a quick let-up and is the best horse in the race. Black Uma will improve rapidly and steal one of these sooner rather than later.
4. RAISING DUBAI - 1. DUBAI ESCAPADE - 3. BLACK UMA
Thowing up Spin Da Wheels as a big improver with the weight relief of Clint Johnson-Porter. Drops a massive 4.5kg on his last start meeting The Director and Already Famous 5.5kg better and Street Bandit 4kg better. Along with that massive weight swing Blinkers are added to race gear and so at around $5 the place in a Pay 1-2 event I'm happy to be aboard him as a speculation. Already Famous has Paul Harvey added to racing gear so must be respected. Finished in the money at 11 of his past 12. The People's Horse Street Bandit must be in there as well.
5. SPIN DA WHEELS - 1. ALREADY FAMOUS - 7. STREET BANDIT
SUGGESTED BET - 5. SPIN DA WHEELS $20
hash, Gray likes this post.
Most would be expecting the two Red silks to be fighting out the finish and I'll be going with W.Pike and Red Ora to get over the top of Madassa. Certainly not convinced that Madassa can get 1200m especially if there was to be a little pressure applied up front. He was paddling last weekend over the final hundred and I just feel that at 1200m Red Ora has a definite advantage and looks one of the better bets of the day. Expecting Pike to unleash Red Ora over the top and prove too good. Stagnite is too good to be left out but is probably more of a betting proposition second-up over 1400m.
6. RED ORA - 2. MADASSA - 7. STAGNITE
SUGGESTED BET - 6. RED ORA $50 x $50
Happy to just take the field in the opening leg of the quaddie and hope for a result to be thrown up. Logic says that Quintessence probably wins because Lucy is the Best Apprentice but these stayers are so evenly graded that realistically anything could win. With Randy Tan likely to let Successful Spin roll along out in front and Cougar Express close behind him there should be enough pace in the race for them to make ground. Military Service should get a soft run towards the back as should noted non-winner Spondula. They are both eachway prices so I put them ahead of Quintessence. Not a race I'll be playing in.
2. MILITARY SERVICE - 9. SPONDULA - 5. QUINTESSENCE
Coldy, hash likes this post.
Big question is, can the weight impost stop Lucy and Noddy from notching another Listed victory? Meets the entire field significantly worse at the weights and yet to win beyond 1400m, however, she is absolutely flying. I think she should still win but there are certainly others at value around her. Resonates was left in her wake first-up beaten by 2.5 but meets her 5kg better. Should give a sight out in front. Rock Magic looked the winner in the Idylic Prince but got the staggers late. Putting him on top with a 3kg weight swing over Wink and a Nod. I feel as though those two should fight it out. Very keen to see Rebel King out at 1400m and whether he settles for Pike on the inside against the fence.
2. ROCK MAGIC - 1. WINK AND A NOD - 8. RESONATES
This looks the perfect assignment for McAuliffe galloper Military Ruler. His efforts so far this preparation have been outstanding and last time out he beat home Red Ora. Jordan Turner has a brilliant record aboard Darren McAuliffe's horses and I think that relationship will extend to Military Ruler on Saturday. Putting a mark next to him as one of the best bets. Im Feeling Lucky is over the odds at $14 in my opinion and expecting her to sprint well fresh. Top Show will settle last and come rattling home late. Coming Back best of the rest.
9. MILITARY RULER - 2. I'M FEELING LUCKY - 5. TOP SHOW
SUGGESTED BET - 9. MILITARY RULER $50 x $50
Tudor Bolt definitely looks a galloper on the rise and his first-up win over the sprint trip was excellent. Harvey sat 3 deep throughout and held off Roman Fighter, a galloper I have a lot of time for, even after he got the run of the race up along the cutaway. Strong first-up win, comes into a relatively weak Saturday event and should go close to making it 4 wins from 6 starts. Cuanzo is a class dropped and looks hardest to beat. Has run placings to Disposition and Sheidel, form which would see him go mighty close here. Chasing Chaos can bounce back after a disappointing effort last start. Will be looking to the Pontiff to carry me home in the last.
6. TUDOR BOLT - 3. CUANZO - 12. CHASING CHAOS
SUGGESTED BET - 6. TUDOR BOLT $100
Hate getting 1
jum likes this post.
hash, Chris, nosoup4u likes this post.
Rebel king
Military ruler
All up each way for me .
Quaddie
1.8.11
1.4
9
3.6
Coldy likes this post.
A Cat
R Runs like a busted ****
A Hole burner
N Never Again
T To many chances
Z Should be in the Tigers enclosure at the Zoo...............(couldn't think of anything else)
JayJay, therealkramer, oldhendo, rooboy, jum, LuckyLongshots likes this post.
thefalcon dislikes this post.
RIO likes this post.
I don't think London Line is over the line in the first. I think the 5 is very smart and the stable are back in form
Red Ora should win
Gilgamesh, jum likes this post.
lots of decent prices 2morrow...benito will improve on his 3rd start over 1200m.
black uma..BIG chance..had a trial over 1450m this week....
good luck to you all.....
jum, Darkhorse likes this post.
Halo Express
Holy Sky
Rock Magic
Moonsearch
Cuanzo
Might have an all up place with the lot
Quaddie Donation.
1,8,11/ 1,2 / 3,5,6,7,9/ 2,3,6,12 flexi
May you have the winning tickets.