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Ted Van Heemst Preview & Selections
West Australian Racing
Chris
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Summary of Best Bets
| Confidence | Stake | Horse | Race |
| Best Bet | 3 Units | Supernatural | Race 5 |
| High | 2 Units | Graceful Lass | Race 2 |
| High | 2 Units | He's A Machino | Race 4 |
| High | 2 Units | Redback Flyer | Race 8 |
| High | 2 Units | Keep Ita Mystery | Race 10 |
| Medium | 1.5 Units | Radiant Light | Race 1 |
| Medium | 1.5 Units | Heaven Specified | Race 3 |
| Medium | 1.5 Units | Grand Reserve | Race 6 |
| Medium | 1.5 Units | Without Reg | Race 7 |
| Medium | 1.5 Units | Diamond Scene | Race 9 |
Comments
Race 1: Virbac Westspeed Platinum Maiden (1400m)
This is a wide-open start to the day. Radiant Light is the standout "fifty-percenter" here, having placed in 5 of 7 career starts (71%)222. He drops back from a tough run in the Fairetha Stakes where he was outclassed 3, but his recent third at Pinjarra when hitting the line hard suggests he is ready for the 1400m4. The danger is Western Ace, who was a fast-finishing third at Pinjarra Park over 1200m5. He looks like a horse looking for more ground and gets the services of William Pike6.
Recommended Bet: Medium (1.5 Units) – Radiant Light ($2.70 estimated)
Race 2: Baldivis Vets Westspeed Platinum Maiden (1200m)
Graceful Lass looks very hard to beat here after a professional debut where she held her position strongly to the line over 1000m7777. The step up to 1200m is ideal. She comes from a yard that excels in these Westspeed features8. Bosun is the interesting newcomer; he has shown plenty in trials, notably a narrow second behind the talented Offshore9.
Recommended Bet: High (2 Units) – Graceful Lass ($4.00 estimated)
Race 3: Murray Veterinary Services Sires Stakes (1200m)
Heaven Specified is the benchmark here. With 4 wins/places from 8 starts (50%), he comes off a dominant win at Bunbury where he sat on the pace and never looked like losing10101010. He is well-weighted and has a fitness edge over Sunset Session, who is a very high-quality gelding but is currently only second-up11111111. Sunset Session showed great determination when second at Bunbury and will be breathing down the top pick's neck late12.
Recommended Bet: Medium (1.5 Units) – Heaven Specified ($2.40 estimated)
Race 4: Mogumber Park Westspeed Platinum Plate (1000m)
He's A Machino is the class runner here, having won at this track and distance just 14 days ago13131313. He is a "fifty-percenter" (1 win from 2 starts) and showed great grit to win a photo finish last time out14141414. Ace Queen Suited is the logical threat; she was only 0.4L behind the winner in a strong 2YO Sweepstakes and will be improved by that experience15151515.
Recommended Bet: High (2 Units) – He's A Machino ($3.20 estimated)
Race 5: Ridgeport 2026 MM Yearlings Epona Classic (1200m)
Supernatural is arguably the best-weighted horse on the card16161616. She has a 53% place strike rate (7/13) and is a specialist at this track17. Her win in the Westspeed Heat was clinical, and she gets William Pike back in the saddle18. Jaz Session is the threat, having already proven herself at this level with multiple wins this preparation, though the wide barrier makes her task harder19191919.
Recommended Bet: Best Bet (3 Units) – Supernatural ($3.50 estimated)
Race 6: Milne Feeds Westspeed Platinum Cup (2100m)
Grand Reserve was exceptional winning over 2200m here recently202020. He has placed in 11 of 27 starts and carries the weight well for a horse that stays all day21. Rocking Society is the danger; he has been honest without winning this prep but is a proven performer at this specific track and distance22222222.
Recommended Bet: Medium (1.5 Units) – Grand Reserve ($4.50 estimated)
Race 7: Ascot Equine Veterinarians Platinum Sprint (1400m)
Without Reg produced a sensational performance to win over this track and distance 14 days ago232323. He is a veteran "fifty-percenter" with 17 placings from 33 starts24. He is currently at peak fitness and handles the 1400m better than most in this field25. Our Paladin Al is the saver; he flashed home for third in a strong Graduate Handicap and looks ready to win now that he's second-up26.
Recommended Bet: Medium (1.5 Units) – Without Reg ($5.50 estimated)
Race 8: Ducimus & Rommel at Ridgeport Platinum Mile (1600m)
Redback Flyer is the one they have to beat. He has an incredible 55% place rate (5/9) and comes off a dominant win in a Graduate Handicap27272727. He is a second-up winner in the past and the mile at Ascot is his pet distance28282828. Auto Cruise is the major threat after winning the Westspeed Final in impressive fashion292929. She is remarkably consistent and handles all conditions30.
Recommended Bet: High (2 Units) – Redback Flyer ($3.80 estimated)
Race 9: Ted Van Heemst Stakes (2100m)
This is the feature, and Diamond Scene looks the play. With 11 wins/places from 20 starts (55%), he was excellent in the Railway Stakes and will relish the return to 2100m where he has won before31313131. Apulia is the clear danger; a high-class Victorian raider with a Group win recently, though he must prove he can handle the Ascot heat first time out32323232.
Recommended Bet: Medium (1.5 Units) – Diamond Scene ($4.00 estimated)
Race 10: Thoroughbred Breeders Australia Trophy (1200m)
We finish the day with Keep Ita Mystery. He has 9 wins/places from 16 starts (56%) and his last-start second over 1000m was full of merit33333333. He is a notorious second-up performer and the step to 1200m is exactly what he needs34343434. Charino is the main threat; he missed by a whisker two starts back and will be charging home late35353535.
Recommended Bet: High (2 Units) – Keep Ita Mystery ($4.20 estimated)
redevelopment
oldhendo, Manchild likes this post.
To be fair, the placement was terrible. It was always going to get smashed with points if it ran well.
Placed better and it can run in handicaps and rise through the grades. Now it is a struggle